Pollster · Works for one party

Global Strategy Group

Research draft
Polls since 2024
65
Latest poll ended
September 3, 2026
Record vs. results, relative
D+3.2

Polls from the VoteHub polling API, used under CC BY 4.0. Each result links to the pollster's or sponsor's own release. Imported once a day; a poll VoteHub later changes keeps its earlier version on record here.

§1About

Drafted by AI from the public sources cited. Each sentence links to its source.

Global Strategy Group (GSG) is a research, public affairs and communications firm that lists nine U.S. offices, including New York and Washington, D.C., and names founding partners Jon Silvan as CEO and Jefrey Pollock as president.2,3 Its About page says GSG was founded in 1995 as a Democratic polling firm and now also works for corporations and advocacy organizations.2

Kind
Works for one party2
Founded
19952

§2Who it works with

Why this matters: Owners, news partners and the firms behind a poll's interviews shape what gets asked, how, and what gets published.

Owned by

  • SEC Newgate (2022–now). SEC Newgate, a communications group founded in Milan, says it acquired a significant stake in GSG in April 2022 and that Investcorp took a majority stake in SEC Newgate in July 2023, and the GSG site says GSG is part of SEC Newgate.2,4

Polls regularly for

  • Navigator Research. Navigator Research says GSG conducted its national survey of 1,000 registered voters fielded April 23 to 27, 2026, and lists Nick Gourevitch of GSG among its pollsters.5,6

Published with

Names its polls have been published under, alongside other pollsters or news outlets.

Who paid for its polls

Sponsors named on its polls, most polls first7. A party-aligned flag is VoteHub's, per poll.
SponsorPollsBetweenFlagged party-aligned
Navigator Research66August 4, 2024 – June 8, 2026No
House Majority PAC3July 19, 2026 – August 13, 2026Democratic-aligned sponsor (3)
Fight for Nebraska1September 3, 2026Democratic-aligned sponsor (1)
Accountable.US1May 8, 2020No

§3Whom it works for

Why this matters: A firm that also works for one party's campaigns can still publish accurate polls, but readers deserve to know.

Works for Democratic candidates or groups. Its About page says GSG began as a Democratic polling firm and that, as Democratic pollsters, it has worked for dozens of winning campaigns and political organizations.2

Of its 65 polls listed since the 2024 election, VoteHub flags 4 as paid for by a Democratic-aligned sponsor and 0 by a Republican-aligned sponsor7.

Federal campaigns and committees that paid it

From 2023 through 2026, 120 federal committees reported paying Global Strategy Group $20,482,749 for polling, surveys or research8,9,10,11. By the party each committee reports to the FEC: 79 Democratic, 0 Republican, and 41 none (most PACs and super PACs report none).

The largest payers, by amount paid for polling, surveys or research. Only federal committees report to the FEC; state and local campaigns, work paid through another consultant, and polling billed as consulting are not here. Matched by the payee name on the filing: GLOBAL STRATEGY GROUP; GLOBAL STRATEGY GROUP LLC; GLOBAL STRATEGY GROUP, LLC.
CommitteeKindParty it reportsPaid for pollingBetween
DSCCParty committeeDemocratic$1,947,236May 25, 2023 – August 25, 2026
DCCCParty committeeDemocratic$1,557,892February 17, 2023 – August 28, 2026
FIGHT FOR THE PEOPLE PACPACDemocratic$1,304,000October 17, 2024 – October 23, 2024
DNC SERVICES CORP / DEMOCRATIC NATIONAL COMMITTEEParty committeeDemocratic$1,199,076February 28, 2024 – October 21, 2024
SMPSuper PACNone reported$1,065,199January 5, 2023 – May 22, 2026
FAIRSHAKESuper PACNone reported$571,659October 3, 2023 – May 28, 2026
ROSEN FOR NEVADASenate campaignDemocratic$522,228June 9, 2023 – October 23, 2024
DGA ACTIONSuper PACNone reported$522,158March 20, 2025 – June 29, 2026
EMILYS LISTPACNone reported$522,095February 15, 2024 – October 8, 2026
VINDMAN FOR CONGRESSHouse campaignDemocratic$519,389April 1, 2024 – July 6, 2026
GABE VASQUEZ FOR CONGRESSHouse campaignDemocratic$442,135November 3, 2023 – May 7, 2026
UNITED DEMOCRACY PROJECT ('UDP')Super PACNone reported$341,117November 5, 2025 – July 22, 2026

§4How its numbers compare with other polls

Why this matters: A firm whose polls run steadily to one side of everyone else's is worth reading alongside others.

Each of its polls since the 2024 election is compared with other pollsters' polls of the same question whose field period ended within 14 days, each other pollster counted once7. The figure is the average gap, with a 95% margin. This compares it with other polls, not with the truth: the others can be the ones that are off.

Net approval: Donald Trump
−2.2 points (±0.8) across 24 polls, against other polls of the same question.
Net favorability: Donald Trump
−2.4 points (±1.0) across 19 polls, against other polls of the same question.
Net favorability: JD Vance
−1.1 points (±1.1) across 17 polls, against other polls of the same question.

D+ means its polls showed Democrats doing better than other polls did; R+, Republicans. A figure from fewer than 5 polls isn't shown.

§5Record against results

Why this matters: The one test that doesn't depend on other polls: how close a firm's final polls came to what voters did.

From FiveThirtyEight's final public data12,13: general-election polls between a Democrat and a Republican in the last three weeks before each election, compared with the certified result. FiveThirtyEight rated each name polls were published under separately. Across all 8,957 such polls, the average miss was D+0.7, so the relative figure takes out the misses every pollster shared that year.

Error is the poll's D−R margin minus the result's; D+ means it showed Democrats doing better than they did.
Published asPollsElectionsAverage missRelative to other pollsTypical size of miss538's last rating
Global Strategy Group262004–2022D+2.7D+3.25.6 pts1.8 of 3 · 1% partisan work
Global Strategy Group/National Research (Philadelphia Inquirer)42012R+2.7D+0.23.0 ptsNot graded (inactive)
Polling Company/Global Strategy Group42000R+4.3R+2.64.3 ptsNot graded (inactive)
Global Strategy Group/GBAO (Navigator Research)32020–2022D+5.4D+1.85.4 pts1.3 of 3
Garin-Hart-Yang/Global Strategy Group12012R+0.9D+2.00.9 ptsNot graded (inactive) · 1% partisan work

ABC News closed FiveThirtyEight in March 2025; its data stops at the 2022 elections. 2026 results will be added once states certify them.

§6Its polls

The 71 polls of its we list, newest first.
In the fieldQuestionResultWithPaid for bySample
August 31–September 3, 2026U.S. House · 2026 NE-01Chris Backemeyer 49 · Mike Flood 45Fight for NebraskaDemocratic-aligned sponsor600 LV
August 10–August 13, 2026U.S. House · 2026 MI-10Christina Hines 45 · Michael Bouchard 45House Majority PACDemocratic-aligned sponsor600 LV
August 11–August 13, 2026U.S. House · 2026 MI-07William Lawrence 49 · Tom Barrett 47House Majority PACDemocratic-aligned sponsor500 LV
July 14–July 19, 2026U.S. House · 2026 IA-02Lindsay James 46 · Joe Mitchell 45House Majority PACDemocratic-aligned sponsor— LV
June 4–June 8, 2026Job approval · Donald TrumpDisapprove 58 · Approve 40Navigator Research1,000 RV
June 4–June 8, 2026Favorability · JD VanceUnfavorable 52 · Favorable 40Navigator Research1,000 RV
June 4–June 8, 2026Favorability · Donald TrumpUnfavorable 58 · Favorable 41Navigator Research1,000 RV
June 4–June 8, 2026Job approval · JD VanceDisapprove 54 · Approve 40Navigator Research1,000 RV
May 13–May 18, 2026Favorability · JD VanceUnfavorable 49 · Favorable 38Navigator Research1,000 RV
May 13–May 18, 2026Favorability · Donald TrumpUnfavorable 59 · Favorable 39Navigator Research1,000 RV
May 13–May 18, 2026Job approval · Donald TrumpDisapprove 59 · Approve 39Navigator Research1,000 RV
April 23–April 27, 2026Favorability · Donald TrumpUnfavorable 57 · Favorable 41Navigator Research1,000 RV
April 23–April 27, 2026Favorability · JD VanceUnfavorable 49 · Favorable 38Navigator Research1,000 RV
April 23–April 27, 2026Job approval · Donald TrumpDisapprove 58 · Approve 40Navigator Research1,000 RV
April 2–April 6, 2026Favorability · Donald TrumpUnfavorable 57 · Favorable 41Navigator Research1,000 RV
April 2–April 6, 2026Favorability · JD VanceUnfavorable 49 · Favorable 39Navigator Research1,000 RV
April 2–April 6, 2026Job approval · Donald TrumpDisapprove 58 · Approve 40Navigator Research1,000 RV
February 19–February 23, 2026Favorability · Donald TrumpUnfavorable 58 · Favorable 41Navigator Research1,000 RV
February 19–February 23, 2026Job approval · Donald TrumpDisapprove 58 · Approve 41Navigator Research1,000 RV
January 29–February 1, 2026Favorability · Donald TrumpUnfavorable 56 · Favorable 42Navigator Research1,000 RV
January 29–February 1, 2026Job approval · Donald TrumpDisapprove 56 · Approve 41Navigator Research1,000 RV
January 8–January 12, 2026Favorability · Donald TrumpUnfavorable 56 · Favorable 43Navigator Research1,000 RV
January 8–January 12, 2026Favorability · JD VanceUnfavorable 48 · Favorable 41Navigator Research1,000 RV
January 8–January 12, 2026Job approval · Donald TrumpDisapprove 56 · Approve 42Navigator Research1,000 RV
December 4–December 8, 2025Favorability · Donald TrumpUnfavorable 56 · Favorable 43Navigator Research1,000 RV
December 4–December 8, 2025Favorability · JD VanceUnfavorable 47 · Favorable 39Navigator Research1,000 RV
December 4–December 8, 2025Job approval · Donald TrumpDisapprove 56 · Approve 42Navigator Research1,000 RV
November 6–November 9, 2025Favorability · Donald TrumpUnfavorable 56 · Favorable 42Navigator Research1,000 RV
November 6–November 9, 2025Favorability · JD VanceUnfavorable 48 · Favorable 41Navigator Research1,000 RV
November 6–November 9, 2025Job approval · Donald TrumpDisapprove 58 · Approve 40Navigator Research1,000 RV
November 1–November 3, 2025Favorability · Donald TrumpUnfavorable 57 · Favorable 41Navigator Research1,000 RV
November 1–November 3, 2025Favorability · JD VanceUnfavorable 47 · Favorable 40Navigator Research1,000 RV
November 1–November 3, 2025Job approval · Donald TrumpDisapprove 56 · Approve 41Navigator Research1,000 RV
October 23–October 27, 2025Job approval · Donald TrumpDisapprove 57 · Approve 41Navigator Research1,000 RV
October 23–October 27, 2025Favorability · Donald TrumpUnfavorable 57 · Favorable 42Navigator Research1,000 RV
October 23–October 27, 2025Favorability · JD VanceUnfavorable 48 · Favorable 41Navigator Research1,000 RV
October 16–October 20, 2025Favorability · JD VanceUnfavorable 47 · Favorable 39Navigator Research1,000 RV
October 16–October 20, 2025Favorability · Donald TrumpUnfavorable 55 · Favorable 44Navigator Research1,000 RV
October 16–October 20, 2025Job approval · Donald TrumpDisapprove 55 · Approve 43Navigator Research1,000 RV
October 9–October 13, 2025Job approval · Donald TrumpDisapprove 54 · Approve 44Navigator Research1,000 RV
October 9–October 13, 2025Favorability · JD VanceUnfavorable 48 · Favorable 42Navigator Research1,000 RV
October 9–October 13, 2025Favorability · Donald TrumpUnfavorable 54 · Favorable 44Navigator Research1,000 RV
October 2–October 5, 2025Favorability · Donald TrumpUnfavorable 54 · Favorable 44Navigator Research1,000 RV
October 2–October 5, 2025Favorability · JD VanceUnfavorable 47 · Favorable 40Navigator Research1,000 RV
October 2–October 5, 2025Job approval · Donald TrumpDisapprove 54 · Approve 44Navigator Research1,000 RV
September 4–September 8, 2025Favorability · Donald TrumpUnfavorable 55 · Favorable 43Navigator Research1,000 RV
September 4–September 8, 2025Job approval · Donald TrumpDisapprove 53 · Approve 43Navigator Research1,000 RV
August 7–August 11, 2025Job approval · Donald TrumpDisapprove 55 · Approve 43Navigator Research1,000 RV
July 16–July 19, 2025Job approval · Donald TrumpDisapprove 54 · Approve 43Navigator Research1,000 RV
June 26–June 30, 2025Favorability · Donald TrumpUnfavorable 54 · Favorable 45Navigator Research1,000 RV
June 26–June 30, 2025Favorability · JD VanceUnfavorable 48 · Favorable 38Navigator Research1,000 RV
June 26–June 30, 2025Job approval · Donald TrumpDisapprove 53 · Approve 45Navigator Research1,000 RV
June 5–June 9, 2025Favorability · Donald TrumpUnfavorable 56 · Favorable 43Navigator Research1,000 RV
June 5–June 9, 2025Job approval · Donald TrumpDisapprove 55 · Approve 42Navigator Research1,000 RV
May 15–May 18, 2025Job approval · Donald TrumpDisapprove 54 · Approve 44Navigator Research1,000 RV
May 15–May 18, 2025Favorability · Donald TrumpUnfavorable 54 · Favorable 44Navigator Research1,000 RV
April 24–April 28, 2025Job approval · Donald TrumpDisapprove 54 · Approve 44Navigator Research1,000 RV
April 3–April 7, 2025Favorability · Donald TrumpUnfavorable 53 · Favorable 46Navigator Research1,000 RV
April 3–April 7, 2025Job approval · Donald TrumpDisapprove 53 · Approve 44Navigator Research1,000 RV
March 13–March 17, 2025Favorability · JD VanceUnfavorable 46 · Favorable 39Navigator Research1,375 RV
March 13–March 17, 2025Job approval · Donald TrumpDisapprove 49 · Approve 47Navigator Research1,375 RV
January 30–February 3, 2025Job approval · Donald TrumpApprove 49 · Disapprove 47Navigator Research1,000 RV
January 9–January 13, 2025Favorability · JD VanceUnfavorable 42 · Favorable 40Navigator Research1,000 RV
December 5–December 8, 2024Favorability · JD VanceUnfavorable 41 · Favorable 39Navigator Research1,000 RV
October 31–November 9, 2024Favorability · JD VanceUnfavorable 45 · Favorable 41Navigator Research5,000 LV
October 24–October 28, 2024Favorability · JD VanceUnfavorable 45 · Favorable 34Navigator Research1,000 RV
October 3–October 7, 2024Favorability · JD VanceUnfavorable 44 · Favorable 35Navigator Research1,000 RV
September 12–September 16, 2024Favorability · JD VanceUnfavorable 45 · Favorable 32Navigator Research1,003 RV
August 22–August 25, 2024Favorability · JD VanceUnfavorable 44 · Favorable 31Navigator Research1,000 RV
August 1–August 4, 2024Favorability · JD VanceUnfavorable 45 · Favorable 29Navigator Research1,000 RV
May 4–May 8, 2020Job approval · CongressDisapprove 49 · Approve 44Accountable.US534 RV

§7What we looked for and didn't find

  • No named campaign or party clients found on its site.
  • SEC Newgate gives no ownership percentage for its GSG stake.
  • Navigator Research does not say, on the pages read, who funds it or how often GSG conducts its surveys; its home page refused a direct request (bot check).
  • No standing news-outlet partner or co-pollster arrangement found.
  • No fieldwork vendor found; Navigator describes an opt-in online panel without naming the vendor.
  • Findings search: web searches combining the firm name with AAPOR, FiveThirtyEight, Silver Bulletin, exclusion and retraction terms found nothing that fits the finding rules; the Silver Bulletin January 2026 ratings page names no banned pollsters; FiveThirtyEight pages now redirect to ABC News and could not be read; RealClearPolitics, The New York Times, Cook Political Report, Decision Desk HQ and VoteHub policy pages were not reviewed one by one.
  • Court records: a web search limited to CourtListener and Justia found no case naming the firm; PACER and state court dockets were not searched.