Pollster

Garin-Hart-Yang Research Group

Also published as Garin-Hart-Yang.

Not yet researched

Polls since 2024: 0
Record vs. results, relative: D+3.6

§1Who it works with

Why this matters: Owners, news partners and the firms behind a poll's interviews shape what gets asked, how, and what gets published.

Published with

Names its polls have been published under, alongside other pollsters or news outlets.

Garin-Hart-Yang/Global Strategy Group: Global Strategy Group

§2Record against results

Why this matters: The one test that doesn't depend on other polls: how close a firm's final polls came to what voters did.

From FiveThirtyEight's final public data^1,2: general-election polls between a Democrat and a Republican in the last three weeks before each election, compared with the certified result. FiveThirtyEight rated each name polls were published under separately. Across all 8,957 such polls, the average miss was D+0.7, so the relative figure takes out the misses every pollster shared that year.

Error is the poll's D−R margin minus the result's; D+ means it showed Democrats doing better than they did.
Published as	Polls	Elections	Average miss	Relative to other polls	Typical size of miss	538's last rating
Garin-Hart-Yang Research Group	29	1998–2022	D+2.5	D+3.6	4.8 pts	1.0 of 3 · 1% partisan work
Garin-Hart-Yang/Global Strategy Group	1	2012	R+0.9	D+2.0	0.9 pts	Not graded (inactive) · 1% partisan work

ABC News closed FiveThirtyEight in March 2025; its data stops at the 2022 elections. 2026 results will be added once states certify them.