Polls · updated daily

Polls

Published opinion polls on job approval, the generic ballot, and Senate, House and governor races, with who conducted each one, who paid for it, and how each pollster's numbers have compared with other polls and with results.

Pollsters in the directory
617

Polls from the VoteHub polling API, used under CC BY 4.0. Each result links to the pollster's or sponsor's own release. Imported once a day; a poll VoteHub later changes keeps its earlier version on record here.

§1Latest polls

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§2How we help you judge a poll

Why this matters: Any one poll can be off. Knowing who ran it, who paid for it, and how that firm's numbers have compared with everyone else's tells you how much weight it can carry.

We don't call any pollster good, bad or slanted. Each pollster's page shows things you can check instead:

  • Who conducted it and who paid for it. A poll paid for by a party committee, a campaign or a group that works for one party is marked, as VoteHub flags it. Such polls aren't wrong for being sponsored, but sponsors can choose which polls to release.
  • Its standing relationships: owners, news partners, other firms it works with and, where it says so or public filings show it, the parties and campaigns it works for. Each one cites its source.
  • How its numbers compare with other polls (its house effect): the average gap between its polls and other pollsters' polls of the same question that finished within 14 days, with each other pollster counted once, so a firm that releases many polls can't move the comparison. Shown once a pollster has 5 comparable polls. A house effect compares a firm with other polls, not with the truth.
  • Its record against results: how far its final-weeks polls landed from the certified result, on average, from FiveThirtyEight's final public data (8,957 polls of 1,779 races, 1998–2022)2,3. We show it next to the average for every poll of the same races, since in some years nearly every poll missed in the same direction. 2026 results will be added once states certify them.
  • Whether it discloses its methods as a member of AAPOR's Transparency Initiative4, and any finding against it by a professional body, a court, a regulator or an aggregator's own published decision, cited to that decision.

Every pollster lists all of these side by side.