Pollster · Commercial firm
Verasight
- Polls since 2024
- 88
- Latest poll ended
- October 23, 2026
- House effect vs. other polls
- D+1.6
Polls from the VoteHub polling API, used under CC BY 4.0. Each result links to the pollster's or sponsor's own release. Imported once a day; a poll VoteHub later changes keeps its earlier version on record here.
§1About
Drafted by AI from the public sources cited. Each sentence links to its source.
Verasight is a survey research company that says it recruits its own panel of more than 300,000 Americans with verified identities.2 A Verasight post says chief executive Ben Leff and chief data scientist Peter Enns founded the company.3
- Kind
- Commercial firm2
§2Who it works with
Why this matters: Owners, news partners and the firms behind a poll's interviews shape what gets asked, how, and what gets published.
News partners
- Strength In Numbers (2025–now). G. Elliott Morris announced in May 2025 a monthly Strength In Numbers/Verasight poll in which Verasight makes the sampling, field period and weighting decisions and Strength In Numbers publishes the analysis.4,
5
Does fieldwork for
- The Argument (2025–now). The Argument wrote in September 2025 that it designs and weights its surveys and uses Verasight to field them, through text messages, online targeting and address-based sampling.6
- SSRS (The Voter Poll). Verasight says it is a primary data contributor to The Voter Poll by SSRS, which it says major news networks use.5
- Catalist (2022–now). Verasight wrote in 2023 that it supplied the polling data, 16,114 interviews in 10 waves, for the 2022 Omnibus Project of Catalist, which it says informs work for major unions.7
Founded by
Led by
- Ben Leff. A Verasight post names Ben Leff as chief executive.3
Published with
Names its polls have been published under, alongside other pollsters or news outlets.
- The Argument/Verasight: The Argument · 45 polls listed
- VoteHub/Verasight: VoteHub · 4 polls listed
- Michigan State University Department of Political Science/Verasight: Michigan State University Department of Political Science · 2 polls listed
- University of California Berkeley Jack Citrin Center for Public Opinion Research/Verasight/TrueDot: University of California Berkeley Jack Citrin Center for Public Opinion Research, TrueDot.ai · 2 polls listed
- Verasight/Morris Predictive Insights: Morris Predictive Insights · 1 poll listed
- Wave Polling and Research/Verasight: Wave Polling and Research
Who paid for its polls
| Sponsor | Polls | Between | Flagged party-aligned |
|---|---|---|---|
| Strength In Numbers | 30 | May 6, 2025 – June 22, 2026 | No |
| POLITICO | 2 | September 16, 2026 – October 14, 2026 | No |
| VoteHub | 2 | October 20, 2026 | No |
| Unite Here | 1 | May 20, 2026 | No |
| Brennan Center for Justice | 1 | May 6, 2026 | No |
§3Whom it works for
Why this matters: A firm that also works for one party's campaigns can still publish accurate polls, but readers deserve to know.
Doesn’t say whom it works for. The Verasight pages read do not say whether it works for candidates or parties; one post lists academic researchers, nonprofits, government agencies and media organizations as typical clients.2,
Of its 88 polls listed since the 2024 election, VoteHub flags 0 as paid for by a Democratic-aligned sponsor and 0 by a Republican-aligned sponsor8.
§4How its numbers compare with other polls
Why this matters: A firm whose polls run steadily to one side of everyone else's is worth reading alongside others.
Each of its polls since the 2024 election is compared with other pollsters' polls of the same question whose field period ended within 14 days, each other pollster counted once8. The figure is the average gap, with a 95% margin. This compares it with other polls, not with the truth: the others can be the ones that are off.
- Party margin
- D+1.6 (±0.9) across 40 polls of the generic ballot and 2026 races, in 8 contests.
- Net approval: Donald Trump
- −4.7 points (±1.1) across 25 polls, against other polls of the same question.
- Net favorability: Donald Trump
- −2.7 points (±1.2) across 11 polls, against other polls of the same question.
- Net favorability: JD Vance
- −4.1 points (±1.4) across 10 polls, against other polls of the same question.
D+ means its polls showed Democrats doing better than other polls did; R+, Republicans. A figure from fewer than 5 polls isn't shown.
§52026 record against the count
Why this matters: How close this pollster's last 2026 polls came to how people voted, measured the way FiveThirtyEight measured earlier elections.
5 polls of 5 races between a Democrat and a Republican, with field periods ending in the 21 days before November 3, 2026, compared with each race's count. Some of those races are still being counted, so these figures use the unofficial count and will change until states certify.
- Average miss
- R+7.3
- Relative to other polls of the same races
- R+1.3
- Typical size of miss
- 7.3 pts
Error is the poll's D−R margin minus the count's, as shares of all votes in the race; D+ means it showed Democrats doing better than they did. From 5 polls in all.
§6Its polls
| In the field | Question | Result | With | Paid for by | Sample |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| October 8–October 23, 2026 | U.S. Senate · 2026 Michigan | Abdul El-Sayed 50.5 · Mike Rogers 43.1 | Michigan State University Department of Political Science | 1,383 LV | |
| October 8–October 23, 2026 | Governor · 2026 Michigan | Jocelyn Benson 50.9 · John James 41.5 | Michigan State University Department of Political Science | 1,383 LV | |
| October 1–October 20, 2026 | U.S. Senate · 2026 Texas | James Talarico 47.6 · Ken Paxton 45.2 · Ted Brown 1.4 | VoteHub | 601 LV | |
| October 1–October 20, 2026 | Governor · 2026 Ohio | Amy Acton 46.2 · Vivek Ramaswamy 45.4 · Travis Kissick 2 | VoteHub | 531 LV | |
| October 1–October 20, 2026 | Governor · 2026 Texas | Greg Abbott 47.7 · Gina Hinojosa 46.4 · Pat Dixon 0.7 | VoteHub | 601 LV | |
| October 1–October 20, 2026 | U.S. Senate · 2026 Ohio | Sherrod Brown 47.5 · Jon Husted 43.6 · Bill Redpath 1.1 · Greg Levy 1 | VoteHub | 531 LV | |
| October 9–October 14, 2026 | Governor · 2026 California | Xavier Becerra 55 · Steve Hilton 35 | University of California Berkeley Jack Citrin Center for Public Opinion Research / TrueDot.ai | POLITICO | 909 LV |
| September 16–September 22, 2026 | Generic congressional ballot · 2026 | Dem 55 · Rep 45 | The Argument | — LV | |
| September 11–September 16, 2026 | Governor · 2026 California | Xavier Becerra 54 · Steve Hilton 36 | University of California Berkeley Jack Citrin Center for Public Opinion Research / TrueDot.ai | POLITICO | 1,983 LV |
| June 17–June 22, 2026 | Generic congressional ballot · 2026 | Dem 50 · Rep 43 | Strength In Numbers | 1,896 RV | |
| June 17–June 22, 2026 | Job approval · Donald Trump | Disapprove 60 · Approve 37 | Strength In Numbers | 2,087 A | |
| May 29–June 3, 2026 | Favorability · Donald Trump | Unfavorable 60 · Favorable 39 | The Argument | 3,008 RV | |
| May 29–June 3, 2026 | Generic congressional ballot · 2026 | Dem 53 · Rep 47 | The Argument | 3,008 RV | |
| May 29–June 3, 2026 | Favorability · JD Vance | Unfavorable 54 · Favorable 39 | The Argument | 3,008 RV | |
| May 29–June 3, 2026 | Job approval · Donald Trump | Disapprove 61 · Approve 38 | The Argument | 3,008 RV | |
| May 18–May 20, 2026 | Generic congressional ballot · 2026 | Dem 52 · Rep 41 | Morris Predictive Insights | Unite Here | 2,000 A |
| May 18–May 19, 2026 | Job approval · Donald Trump | Disapprove 60 · Approve 37 | Strength In Numbers | 1,520 A | |
| May 18–May 19, 2026 | Job approval · Donald Trump | Disapprove 59 · Approve 38 | Strength In Numbers | 1,413 RV | |
| May 18–May 19, 2026 | Generic congressional ballot · 2026 | Dem 51 · Rep 41 | Strength In Numbers | 1,520 A | |
| May 18–May 19, 2026 | Generic congressional ballot · 2026 | Dem 51 · Rep 43 | Strength In Numbers | 1,413 RV | |
| April 28–May 6, 2026 | Favorability · Donald Trump | Unfavorable 59 · Favorable 38 | Brennan Center for Justice | 2,000 RV | |
| April 20–April 23, 2026 | Job approval · Donald Trump | Disapprove 60 · Approve 39 | The Argument | 1,516 RV | |
| April 21–April 23, 2026 | Presidential primary · 2028 Republican | JD Vance 37 · Marco Rubio 16 · Donald Trump Jr. 13 · Ron DeSantis 7 · Nikki Haley 4 · Vivek Ramaswamy 3 · 7 more | 802 A | ||
| April 21–April 23, 2026 | Presidential primary · 2028 Democratic | Kamala Harris 22 · Gavin Newsom 15 · Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 13 · Pete Buttigieg 12 · Bernie Sanders 11 · Mark Kelly 6 · 5 more | 864 A | ||
| April 20–April 23, 2026 | Favorability · JD Vance | Unfavorable 54 · Favorable 39 | The Argument | 1,516 RV | |
| April 20–April 23, 2026 | Favorability · Donald Trump | Unfavorable 58 · Favorable 39 | The Argument | 1,516 RV | |
| April 20–April 23, 2026 | Generic congressional ballot · 2026 | Dem 53 · Rep 47 | The Argument | 1,000 LV | |
| April 10–April 14, 2026 | Generic congressional ballot · 2026 | Dem 49 · Rep 41 | Strength In Numbers | 1,514 A | |
| April 10–April 14, 2026 | Job approval · Donald Trump | Disapprove 61 · Approve 35 | Strength In Numbers | 1,514 A | |
| April 10–April 14, 2026 | Job approval · Donald Trump | Disapprove 61 · Approve 37 | 1,386 RV | ||
| April 10–April 14, 2026 | Generic congressional ballot · 2026 | Dem 50 · Rep 43 | Strength In Numbers | 1,386 RV | |
| March 12–March 17, 2026 | Favorability · JD Vance | Unfavorable 53 · Favorable 39 | The Argument | 1,519 RV | |
| March 12–March 17, 2026 | Job approval · Donald Trump | Disapprove 58 · Approve 40 | The Argument | — LV | |
| March 12–March 17, 2026 | Generic congressional ballot · 2026 | Dem 54 · Rep 46 | The Argument | 1,519 RV | |
| March 12–March 17, 2026 | Job approval · Donald Trump | Disapprove 58 · Approve 40 | The Argument | 1,519 RV | |
| March 12–March 17, 2026 | Favorability · Donald Trump | Unfavorable 58 · Favorable 41 | The Argument | 1,519 RV | |
| February 18–February 20, 2026 | Job approval · Donald Trump | Disapprove 60 · Approve 38 | Strength In Numbers | 1,401 RV | |
| February 18–February 20, 2026 | Generic congressional ballot · 2026 | Dem 50 · Rep 40 | Strength In Numbers | 1,566 A | |
| February 18–February 20, 2026 | Generic congressional ballot · 2026 | Dem 52 · Rep 42 | Strength In Numbers | 1,401 RV | |
| February 18–February 20, 2026 | Job approval · Donald Trump | Disapprove 59 · Approve 37 | Strength In Numbers | 1,566 A | |
| February 4–February 10, 2026 | Favorability · Donald Trump | Unfavorable 56 · Favorable 41 | The Argument | 3,003 RV | |
| February 4–February 10, 2026 | Job approval · Donald Trump | Disapprove 57 · Approve 42 | The Argument | 3,003 RV | |
| February 4–February 10, 2026 | Favorability · JD Vance | Unfavorable 52 · Favorable 40 | The Argument | 3,003 RV | |
| February 4–February 10, 2026 | Generic congressional ballot · 2026 | Dem 53 · Rep 47 | The Argument | 3,003 RV | |
| February 4–February 10, 2026 | Generic congressional ballot · 2026 | Dem 53 · Rep 47 | The Argument | — LV | |
| January 26–January 27, 2026 | Favorability · Donald Trump | Unfavorable 57 · Favorable 42 | The Argument | 1,515 RV | |
| January 26–January 27, 2026 | Job approval · Donald Trump | Disapprove 57 · Approve 42 | The Argument | 1,515 RV | |
| January 26–January 27, 2026 | Favorability · JD Vance | Unfavorable 52 · Favorable 40 | The Argument | 1,515 RV | |
| January 26–January 27, 2026 | Generic congressional ballot · 2026 | Dem 52 · Rep 48 | The Argument | 1,515 RV | |
| January 26–January 27, 2026 | Generic congressional ballot · 2026 | Dem 55 · Rep 45 | The Argument | — LV | |
| January 14–January 20, 2026 | Job approval · Donald Trump | Disapprove 58 · Approve 40 | Strength In Numbers | 1,532 A | |
| January 14–January 20, 2026 | Generic congressional ballot · 2026 | Dem 51 · Rep 43 | Strength In Numbers | — RV | |
| December 5–December 11, 2025 | Generic congressional ballot · 2026 | Dem 52.4 · Rep 47.6 | The Argument | — LV | |
| December 5–December 11, 2025 | Favorability · JD Vance | Unfavorable 50 · Favorable 41 | The Argument | 1,521 RV | |
| December 5–December 11, 2025 | Favorability · Donald Trump | Unfavorable 53 · Favorable 43 | The Argument | 1,521 RV | |
| December 5–December 11, 2025 | Generic congressional ballot · 2026 | Dem 50.6 · Rep 49.4 | The Argument | 1,521 RV | |
| November 10–November 17, 2025 | Generic congressional ballot · 2026 | Dem 53.8 · Rep 46.2 | The Argument | — LV | |
| November 10–November 17, 2025 | Favorability · JD Vance | Unfavorable 52 · Favorable 39 | The Argument | 1,508 RV | |
| November 10–November 17, 2025 | Favorability · Donald Trump | Unfavorable 56 · Favorable 42 | The Argument | 1,508 RV | |
| November 10–November 17, 2025 | Job approval · Donald Trump | Disapprove 56 · Approve 42 | The Argument | 1,508 RV | |
| November 10–November 17, 2025 | Generic congressional ballot · 2026 | Dem 53 · Rep 47 | The Argument | 1,508 RV | |
| November 12–November 14, 2025 | Generic congressional ballot · 2026 | Dem 47 · Rep 42 | Strength In Numbers | 1,004 A | |
| November 12–November 14, 2025 | Generic congressional ballot · 2026 | Dem 49 · Rep 44 | Strength In Numbers | 896 RV | |
| November 12–November 14, 2025 | Job approval · Donald Trump | Disapprove 57 · Approve 41 | Strength In Numbers | 2,038 A | |
| October 24–October 29, 2025 | Job approval · Donald Trump | Disapprove 56 · Approve 41 | Strength In Numbers | 1,567 A | |
| October 24–October 29, 2025 | Generic congressional ballot · 2026 | Dem 49 · Rep 41 | Strength In Numbers | 1,567 A | |
| October 10–October 16, 2025 | Favorability · JD Vance | Unfavorable 49 · Favorable 42 | The Argument | 1,530 RV | |
| October 10–October 16, 2025 | Job approval · Donald Trump | Disapprove 54 · Approve 44 | The Argument | 1,530 RV | |
| October 10–October 16, 2025 | Favorability · Donald Trump | Unfavorable 54 · Favorable 44 | The Argument | 1,530 RV | |
| October 10–October 16, 2025 | Generic congressional ballot · 2026 | Dem 51 · Rep 49 | The Argument | 1,530 RV | |
| September 15–September 19, 2025 | Generic congressional ballot · 2026 | Dem 47 · Rep 42 | Strength In Numbers | 1,500 A | |
| September 15–September 19, 2025 | Job approval · Donald Trump | Disapprove 55 · Approve 42 | Strength In Numbers | 1,500 A | |
| September 15–September 18, 2025 | Favorability · JD Vance | Unfavorable 51 · Favorable 39 | The Argument | 1,541 RV | |
| September 15–September 18, 2025 | Job approval · Donald Trump | Disapprove 56 · Approve 42 | The Argument | 1,541 RV | |
| September 15–September 18, 2025 | Favorability · Donald Trump | Unfavorable 57 · Favorable 42 | The Argument | 1,541 RV | |
| September 15–September 18, 2025 | Generic congressional ballot · 2026 | Dem 53 · Rep 47 | The Argument | 1,541 RV | |
| August 18–August 21, 2025 | Job approval · Donald Trump | Disapprove 56 · Approve 41 | Strength In Numbers | 1,500 A | |
| August 18–August 21, 2025 | Generic congressional ballot · 2026 | Dem 49 · Rep 41 | Strength In Numbers | 1,500 A | |
| August 8–August 17, 2025 | Favorability · JD Vance | Unfavorable 49 · Favorable 40 | The Argument | 1,563 RV | |
| August 8–August 17, 2025 | Generic congressional ballot · 2026 | Dem 50.7 · Rep 49.3 | The Argument | 1,562 RV | |
| August 8–August 17, 2025 | Favorability · Donald Trump | Unfavorable 54 · Favorable 44 | The Argument | 1,562 RV | |
| August 8–August 17, 2025 | Job approval · Donald Trump | Disapprove 55 · Approve 43 | The Argument | 1,562 RV | |
| July 14–July 16, 2025 | Generic congressional ballot · 2026 | Dem 47 · Rep 43 | Strength In Numbers | 1,500 A | |
| July 14–July 16, 2025 | Job approval · Donald Trump | Disapprove 57 · Approve 42 | Strength In Numbers | 1,500 A | |
| June 6–June 12, 2025 | Generic congressional ballot · 2026 | Dem 45 · Rep 37 | Strength In Numbers | 1,500 A | |
| June 6–June 12, 2025 | Job approval · Donald Trump | Disapprove 56 · Approve 42 | Strength In Numbers | 1,500 A | |
| May 1–May 6, 2025 | Generic congressional ballot · 2026 | Dem 47 · Rep 41 | Strength In Numbers | 1,000 A | |
| May 1–May 6, 2025 | Job approval · Donald Trump | Disapprove 56 · Approve 40 | Strength In Numbers | 1,000 A |
§7What we looked for and didn't find
- No founding year or location was found on its website, so founded is left out.
- The Verasight pages read do not describe how its panel is recruited beyond identity checks; the recruitment methods noted here come from The Argument.
- Searches found no AAPOR statement, court ruling or filing, regulator action, aggregator statement about excluding or reweighting its polls, or retraction by the firm.
- The Silver Bulletin ratings table and the VoteHub methodology pages could not be read, so aggregator checks rest on published text from aggregators and news searches.