Pollster · Commercial firm

Verasight

AAPOR Transparency Initiative since August 1, 20211Research draft
Polls since 2024
88
Latest poll ended
October 23, 2026
House effect vs. other polls
D+1.6

Polls from the VoteHub polling API, used under CC BY 4.0. Each result links to the pollster's or sponsor's own release. Imported once a day; a poll VoteHub later changes keeps its earlier version on record here.

§1About

Drafted by AI from the public sources cited. Each sentence links to its source.

Verasight is a survey research company that says it recruits its own panel of more than 300,000 Americans with verified identities.2 A Verasight post says chief executive Ben Leff and chief data scientist Peter Enns founded the company.3

Kind
Commercial firm2

§2Who it works with

Why this matters: Owners, news partners and the firms behind a poll's interviews shape what gets asked, how, and what gets published.

News partners

  • Strength In Numbers (2025–now). G. Elliott Morris announced in May 2025 a monthly Strength In Numbers/Verasight poll in which Verasight makes the sampling, field period and weighting decisions and Strength In Numbers publishes the analysis.4,5

Does fieldwork for

  • The Argument (2025–now). The Argument wrote in September 2025 that it designs and weights its surveys and uses Verasight to field them, through text messages, online targeting and address-based sampling.6
  • SSRS (The Voter Poll). Verasight says it is a primary data contributor to The Voter Poll by SSRS, which it says major news networks use.5
  • Catalist (2022–now). Verasight wrote in 2023 that it supplied the polling data, 16,114 interviews in 10 waves, for the 2022 Omnibus Project of Catalist, which it says informs work for major unions.7

Founded by

  • Ben Leff. A Verasight post names Ben Leff as a founder.3
  • Peter Enns. A Verasight post names Peter Enns, its chief data scientist, as a founder.3

Led by

  • Ben Leff. A Verasight post names Ben Leff as chief executive.3

Published with

Names its polls have been published under, alongside other pollsters or news outlets.

Who paid for its polls

Sponsors named on its polls, most polls first8. A party-aligned flag is VoteHub's, per poll.
SponsorPollsBetweenFlagged party-aligned
Strength In Numbers30May 6, 2025 – June 22, 2026No
POLITICO2September 16, 2026 – October 14, 2026No
VoteHub2October 20, 2026No
Unite Here1May 20, 2026No
Brennan Center for Justice1May 6, 2026No

§3Whom it works for

Why this matters: A firm that also works for one party's campaigns can still publish accurate polls, but readers deserve to know.

Doesn’t say whom it works for. The Verasight pages read do not say whether it works for candidates or parties; one post lists academic researchers, nonprofits, government agencies and media organizations as typical clients.2,7

Of its 88 polls listed since the 2024 election, VoteHub flags 0 as paid for by a Democratic-aligned sponsor and 0 by a Republican-aligned sponsor8.

§4How its numbers compare with other polls

Why this matters: A firm whose polls run steadily to one side of everyone else's is worth reading alongside others.

Each of its polls since the 2024 election is compared with other pollsters' polls of the same question whose field period ended within 14 days, each other pollster counted once8. The figure is the average gap, with a 95% margin. This compares it with other polls, not with the truth: the others can be the ones that are off.

Party margin
D+1.6 (±0.9) across 40 polls of the generic ballot and 2026 races, in 8 contests.
Net approval: Donald Trump
−4.7 points (±1.1) across 25 polls, against other polls of the same question.
Net favorability: Donald Trump
−2.7 points (±1.2) across 11 polls, against other polls of the same question.
Net favorability: JD Vance
−4.1 points (±1.4) across 10 polls, against other polls of the same question.

D+ means its polls showed Democrats doing better than other polls did; R+, Republicans. A figure from fewer than 5 polls isn't shown.

§52026 record against the count

Why this matters: How close this pollster's last 2026 polls came to how people voted, measured the way FiveThirtyEight measured earlier elections.

5 polls of 5 races between a Democrat and a Republican, with field periods ending in the 21 days before November 3, 2026, compared with each race's count. Some of those races are still being counted, so these figures use the unofficial count and will change until states certify.

Average miss
R+7.3
Relative to other polls of the same races
R+1.3
Typical size of miss
7.3 pts

Error is the poll's D−R margin minus the count's, as shares of all votes in the race; D+ means it showed Democrats doing better than they did. From 5 polls in all.

§6Its polls

The 88 polls of its we list, newest first.
In the fieldQuestionResultWithPaid for bySample
October 8–October 23, 2026U.S. Senate · 2026 MichiganAbdul El-Sayed 50.5 · Mike Rogers 43.1Michigan State University Department of Political Science1,383 LV
October 8–October 23, 2026Governor · 2026 MichiganJocelyn Benson 50.9 · John James 41.5Michigan State University Department of Political Science1,383 LV
October 1–October 20, 2026U.S. Senate · 2026 TexasJames Talarico 47.6 · Ken Paxton 45.2 · Ted Brown 1.4VoteHub601 LV
October 1–October 20, 2026Governor · 2026 OhioAmy Acton 46.2 · Vivek Ramaswamy 45.4 · Travis Kissick 2VoteHub531 LV
October 1–October 20, 2026Governor · 2026 TexasGreg Abbott 47.7 · Gina Hinojosa 46.4 · Pat Dixon 0.7VoteHub601 LV
October 1–October 20, 2026U.S. Senate · 2026 OhioSherrod Brown 47.5 · Jon Husted 43.6 · Bill Redpath 1.1 · Greg Levy 1VoteHub531 LV
October 9–October 14, 2026Governor · 2026 CaliforniaXavier Becerra 55 · Steve Hilton 35University of California Berkeley Jack Citrin Center for Public Opinion Research / TrueDot.aiPOLITICO909 LV
September 16–September 22, 2026Generic congressional ballot · 2026Dem 55 · Rep 45The Argument— LV
September 11–September 16, 2026Governor · 2026 CaliforniaXavier Becerra 54 · Steve Hilton 36University of California Berkeley Jack Citrin Center for Public Opinion Research / TrueDot.aiPOLITICO1,983 LV
June 17–June 22, 2026Generic congressional ballot · 2026Dem 50 · Rep 43Strength In Numbers1,896 RV
June 17–June 22, 2026Job approval · Donald TrumpDisapprove 60 · Approve 37Strength In Numbers2,087 A
May 29–June 3, 2026Favorability · Donald TrumpUnfavorable 60 · Favorable 39The Argument3,008 RV
May 29–June 3, 2026Generic congressional ballot · 2026Dem 53 · Rep 47The Argument3,008 RV
May 29–June 3, 2026Favorability · JD VanceUnfavorable 54 · Favorable 39The Argument3,008 RV
May 29–June 3, 2026Job approval · Donald TrumpDisapprove 61 · Approve 38The Argument3,008 RV
May 18–May 20, 2026Generic congressional ballot · 2026Dem 52 · Rep 41Morris Predictive InsightsUnite Here2,000 A
May 18–May 19, 2026Job approval · Donald TrumpDisapprove 60 · Approve 37Strength In Numbers1,520 A
May 18–May 19, 2026Job approval · Donald TrumpDisapprove 59 · Approve 38Strength In Numbers1,413 RV
May 18–May 19, 2026Generic congressional ballot · 2026Dem 51 · Rep 41Strength In Numbers1,520 A
May 18–May 19, 2026Generic congressional ballot · 2026Dem 51 · Rep 43Strength In Numbers1,413 RV
April 28–May 6, 2026Favorability · Donald TrumpUnfavorable 59 · Favorable 38Brennan Center for Justice2,000 RV
April 20–April 23, 2026Job approval · Donald TrumpDisapprove 60 · Approve 39The Argument1,516 RV
April 21–April 23, 2026Presidential primary · 2028 RepublicanJD Vance 37 · Marco Rubio 16 · Donald Trump Jr. 13 · Ron DeSantis 7 · Nikki Haley 4 · Vivek Ramaswamy 3 · 7 more802 A
April 21–April 23, 2026Presidential primary · 2028 DemocraticKamala Harris 22 · Gavin Newsom 15 · Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 13 · Pete Buttigieg 12 · Bernie Sanders 11 · Mark Kelly 6 · 5 more864 A
April 20–April 23, 2026Favorability · JD VanceUnfavorable 54 · Favorable 39The Argument1,516 RV
April 20–April 23, 2026Favorability · Donald TrumpUnfavorable 58 · Favorable 39The Argument1,516 RV
April 20–April 23, 2026Generic congressional ballot · 2026Dem 53 · Rep 47The Argument1,000 LV
April 10–April 14, 2026Generic congressional ballot · 2026Dem 49 · Rep 41Strength In Numbers1,514 A
April 10–April 14, 2026Job approval · Donald TrumpDisapprove 61 · Approve 35Strength In Numbers1,514 A
April 10–April 14, 2026Job approval · Donald TrumpDisapprove 61 · Approve 371,386 RV
April 10–April 14, 2026Generic congressional ballot · 2026Dem 50 · Rep 43Strength In Numbers1,386 RV
March 12–March 17, 2026Favorability · JD VanceUnfavorable 53 · Favorable 39The Argument1,519 RV
March 12–March 17, 2026Job approval · Donald TrumpDisapprove 58 · Approve 40The Argument— LV
March 12–March 17, 2026Generic congressional ballot · 2026Dem 54 · Rep 46The Argument1,519 RV
March 12–March 17, 2026Job approval · Donald TrumpDisapprove 58 · Approve 40The Argument1,519 RV
March 12–March 17, 2026Favorability · Donald TrumpUnfavorable 58 · Favorable 41The Argument1,519 RV
February 18–February 20, 2026Job approval · Donald TrumpDisapprove 60 · Approve 38Strength In Numbers1,401 RV
February 18–February 20, 2026Generic congressional ballot · 2026Dem 50 · Rep 40Strength In Numbers1,566 A
February 18–February 20, 2026Generic congressional ballot · 2026Dem 52 · Rep 42Strength In Numbers1,401 RV
February 18–February 20, 2026Job approval · Donald TrumpDisapprove 59 · Approve 37Strength In Numbers1,566 A
February 4–February 10, 2026Favorability · Donald TrumpUnfavorable 56 · Favorable 41The Argument3,003 RV
February 4–February 10, 2026Job approval · Donald TrumpDisapprove 57 · Approve 42The Argument3,003 RV
February 4–February 10, 2026Favorability · JD VanceUnfavorable 52 · Favorable 40The Argument3,003 RV
February 4–February 10, 2026Generic congressional ballot · 2026Dem 53 · Rep 47The Argument3,003 RV
February 4–February 10, 2026Generic congressional ballot · 2026Dem 53 · Rep 47The Argument— LV
January 26–January 27, 2026Favorability · Donald TrumpUnfavorable 57 · Favorable 42The Argument1,515 RV
January 26–January 27, 2026Job approval · Donald TrumpDisapprove 57 · Approve 42The Argument1,515 RV
January 26–January 27, 2026Favorability · JD VanceUnfavorable 52 · Favorable 40The Argument1,515 RV
January 26–January 27, 2026Generic congressional ballot · 2026Dem 52 · Rep 48The Argument1,515 RV
January 26–January 27, 2026Generic congressional ballot · 2026Dem 55 · Rep 45The Argument— LV
January 14–January 20, 2026Job approval · Donald TrumpDisapprove 58 · Approve 40Strength In Numbers1,532 A
January 14–January 20, 2026Generic congressional ballot · 2026Dem 51 · Rep 43Strength In Numbers— RV
December 5–December 11, 2025Generic congressional ballot · 2026Dem 52.4 · Rep 47.6The Argument— LV
December 5–December 11, 2025Favorability · JD VanceUnfavorable 50 · Favorable 41The Argument1,521 RV
December 5–December 11, 2025Favorability · Donald TrumpUnfavorable 53 · Favorable 43The Argument1,521 RV
December 5–December 11, 2025Generic congressional ballot · 2026Dem 50.6 · Rep 49.4The Argument1,521 RV
November 10–November 17, 2025Generic congressional ballot · 2026Dem 53.8 · Rep 46.2The Argument— LV
November 10–November 17, 2025Favorability · JD VanceUnfavorable 52 · Favorable 39The Argument1,508 RV
November 10–November 17, 2025Favorability · Donald TrumpUnfavorable 56 · Favorable 42The Argument1,508 RV
November 10–November 17, 2025Job approval · Donald TrumpDisapprove 56 · Approve 42The Argument1,508 RV
November 10–November 17, 2025Generic congressional ballot · 2026Dem 53 · Rep 47The Argument1,508 RV
November 12–November 14, 2025Generic congressional ballot · 2026Dem 47 · Rep 42Strength In Numbers1,004 A
November 12–November 14, 2025Generic congressional ballot · 2026Dem 49 · Rep 44Strength In Numbers896 RV
November 12–November 14, 2025Job approval · Donald TrumpDisapprove 57 · Approve 41Strength In Numbers2,038 A
October 24–October 29, 2025Job approval · Donald TrumpDisapprove 56 · Approve 41Strength In Numbers1,567 A
October 24–October 29, 2025Generic congressional ballot · 2026Dem 49 · Rep 41Strength In Numbers1,567 A
October 10–October 16, 2025Favorability · JD VanceUnfavorable 49 · Favorable 42The Argument1,530 RV
October 10–October 16, 2025Job approval · Donald TrumpDisapprove 54 · Approve 44The Argument1,530 RV
October 10–October 16, 2025Favorability · Donald TrumpUnfavorable 54 · Favorable 44The Argument1,530 RV
October 10–October 16, 2025Generic congressional ballot · 2026Dem 51 · Rep 49The Argument1,530 RV
September 15–September 19, 2025Generic congressional ballot · 2026Dem 47 · Rep 42Strength In Numbers1,500 A
September 15–September 19, 2025Job approval · Donald TrumpDisapprove 55 · Approve 42Strength In Numbers1,500 A
September 15–September 18, 2025Favorability · JD VanceUnfavorable 51 · Favorable 39The Argument1,541 RV
September 15–September 18, 2025Job approval · Donald TrumpDisapprove 56 · Approve 42The Argument1,541 RV
September 15–September 18, 2025Favorability · Donald TrumpUnfavorable 57 · Favorable 42The Argument1,541 RV
September 15–September 18, 2025Generic congressional ballot · 2026Dem 53 · Rep 47The Argument1,541 RV
August 18–August 21, 2025Job approval · Donald TrumpDisapprove 56 · Approve 41Strength In Numbers1,500 A
August 18–August 21, 2025Generic congressional ballot · 2026Dem 49 · Rep 41Strength In Numbers1,500 A
August 8–August 17, 2025Favorability · JD VanceUnfavorable 49 · Favorable 40The Argument1,563 RV
August 8–August 17, 2025Generic congressional ballot · 2026Dem 50.7 · Rep 49.3The Argument1,562 RV
August 8–August 17, 2025Favorability · Donald TrumpUnfavorable 54 · Favorable 44The Argument1,562 RV
August 8–August 17, 2025Job approval · Donald TrumpDisapprove 55 · Approve 43The Argument1,562 RV
July 14–July 16, 2025Generic congressional ballot · 2026Dem 47 · Rep 43Strength In Numbers1,500 A
July 14–July 16, 2025Job approval · Donald TrumpDisapprove 57 · Approve 42Strength In Numbers1,500 A
June 6–June 12, 2025Generic congressional ballot · 2026Dem 45 · Rep 37Strength In Numbers1,500 A
June 6–June 12, 2025Job approval · Donald TrumpDisapprove 56 · Approve 42Strength In Numbers1,500 A
May 1–May 6, 2025Generic congressional ballot · 2026Dem 47 · Rep 41Strength In Numbers1,000 A
May 1–May 6, 2025Job approval · Donald TrumpDisapprove 56 · Approve 40Strength In Numbers1,000 A

§7What we looked for and didn't find

  • No founding year or location was found on its website, so founded is left out.
  • The Verasight pages read do not describe how its panel is recruited beyond identity checks; the recruitment methods noted here come from The Argument.
  • Searches found no AAPOR statement, court ruling or filing, regulator action, aggregator statement about excluding or reweighting its polls, or retraction by the firm.
  • The Silver Bulletin ratings table and the VoteHub methodology pages could not be read, so aggregator checks rest on published text from aggregators and news searches.