Pollster · Commercial firm

TrueDot.ai

Also published as TrueDot, TrueDot AI.

Research draft
Polls since 2024
4
Latest poll ended
October 14, 2026

Polls from the VoteHub polling API, used under CC BY 4.0. Each result links to the pollster's or sponsor's own release. Imported once a day; a poll VoteHub later changes keeps its earlier version on record here.

§1About

Drafted by AI from the public sources cited. Each sentence links to its source.

TrueDot describes itself as a company that combines survey technology, AI and expert researchers to help organizations draw on existing studies and run new ones, with researchers overseeing design and fieldwork and real people answering its surveys.1 Its about page names Jon Cohen, formerly chief research officer at SurveyMonkey and head of polling at The Washington Post, as founder and CEO, and lists Bloomberg Beta, Tuesday Capital, Primera Capital and Athene Partners as backers.2 Decision Desk HQ named Cohen to its advisory board in June 2024, describing Truedot.ai as a professional-grade data collection platform.3

Kind
Commercial firm1,2

§2Who it works with

Why this matters: Owners, news partners and the firms behind a poll's interviews shape what gets asked, how, and what gets published.

News partners

  • POLITICO (2025–now). The Citrin Center names POLITICO as a partner in the TrueDot-fielded California Issues Survey of 2025, which surveyed registered voters and 512 POLITICO subscribers it describes as policy influencers.4

Fieldwork or panel by

  • Dynata. NewsNation wrote that respondents to the April NewsNation-DDHQ poll run by TrueDot.ai came from opt-in online panels via Rep Data and Dynata.5
  • Rep Data. NewsNation wrote that respondents to the April NewsNation-DDHQ poll run by TrueDot.ai came from opt-in online panels via Rep Data and Dynata.5
  • Verasight (2025–now). The Citrin Center says the registered-voter sample for the 2025 California Issues Survey was selected at random by Verasight.4

Does fieldwork for

  • NewsNation (2025–now). NewsNation wrote that TrueDot.ai ran a NewsNation-DDHQ poll of 1,448 registered voters from April 23 to 27 (2025 in Decision Desk HQ's poll file), and according to KRON4 TrueDot.ai conducted a NewsNation-DDHQ poll of 974 likely voters from October 5 to 9 ahead of the 2026 midterms.5,6,7
  • Decision Desk HQ (2025–now). The same NewsNation and KRON4 reports describe the TrueDot.ai polls as joint NewsNation and Decision Desk HQ polls, and Decision Desk HQ lists the April 2025 poll in its poll files.5,6,7
  • University of California Berkeley Jack Citrin Center for Public Opinion Research (2025–now). The Citrin Center says its California Issues Survey with POLITICO, fielded July 28 to August 12, 2025, was fielded by TrueDot, working with the Citrin Center, POLITICO and the Possibility Lab at UC Berkeley.4

Founded by

  • Jon Cohen. TrueDot's home and about pages name Jon Cohen as its founder.1,2

Led by

  • Jon Cohen. TrueDot's about page names Jon Cohen as CEO.2

Published with

Names its polls have been published under, alongside other pollsters or news outlets.

Who paid for its polls

Sponsors named on its polls, most polls first8. A party-aligned flag is VoteHub's, per poll.
SponsorPollsBetweenFlagged party-aligned
Decision Desk HQ2April 27, 2025No
NewsNation2April 27, 2025No
POLITICO2September 16, 2026 – October 14, 2026No

§3Whom it works for

Why this matters: A firm that also works for one party's campaigns can still publish accurate polls, but readers deserve to know.

Doesn’t say whom it works for. Its home and about pages describe clients in public affairs, communications and universities and do not say whether it works for candidates or parties.1,2

Of its 4 polls listed since the 2024 election, VoteHub flags 0 as paid for by a Democratic-aligned sponsor and 0 by a Republican-aligned sponsor8.

§42026 record against the count

Why this matters: How close this pollster's last 2026 polls came to how people voted, measured the way FiveThirtyEight measured earlier elections.

One poll of one race between a Democrat and a Republican, with field periods ending in the 21 days before November 3, 2026, compared with each race's count. Some of those races are still being counted, so these figures use the unofficial count and will change until states certify.

Average miss
R+10.4
Relative to other polls of the same races
R+4.2
Typical size of miss
10.4 pts

Error is the poll's D−R margin minus the count's, as shares of all votes in the race; D+ means it showed Democrats doing better than they did. From fewer than 5 polls, so read it as a few data points, not a pattern.

§5Its polls

The 4 polls of its we list, newest first.
In the fieldQuestionResultWithPaid for bySample
October 9–October 14, 2026Governor · 2026 CaliforniaXavier Becerra 55 · Steve Hilton 35University of California Berkeley Jack Citrin Center for Public Opinion Research / VerasightPOLITICO909 LV
September 11–September 16, 2026Governor · 2026 CaliforniaXavier Becerra 54 · Steve Hilton 36University of California Berkeley Jack Citrin Center for Public Opinion Research / VerasightPOLITICO1,983 LV
April 23–April 27, 2025Job approval · Donald TrumpDisapprove 56 · Approve 44NewsNation, Decision Desk HQ1,448 RV
April 23–April 27, 2025Generic congressional ballot · 2026Dem 45 · Rep 40NewsNation, Decision Desk HQ1,448 RV

§6What we looked for and didn't find

  • Its pages give no founding year or headquarters, so founded is left empty.
  • Panel vendors are named only for the April 2025 NewsNation-DDHQ poll; the Citrin Center page for the 2026 wave did not state who fielded it, and the 2026 POLITICO California Playbook items could not be fetched.
  • The NewsNation article for the April poll shows no year of its own; the year comes from Decision Desk HQ's poll file.
  • Searches on 2026-11-06 under TrueDot, TrueDot.ai and TrueDot AI for AAPOR statements, court rulings or settlements, regulator actions, aggregator decisions and retractions or corrections found none naming the firm or its polls, and Silver Bulletin's ratings chart on Datawrapper, updated January 12, 2026, grades it, as Truedot on two polls, B/C rather than the F it gives banned pollsters.