Poll sponsor · News outlet

The New York Times

An organization that commissioned or published polls without conducting them itself.

Polls listed
53
Pollsters used
1

Polls from the VoteHub polling API, used under CC BY 4.0. Each result links to the pollster's or sponsor's own release. Imported once a day; a poll VoteHub later changes keeps its earlier version on record here.

§1Pollsters it has used

§2Record against results

Why this matters: The one test that doesn't depend on other polls: how close the final polls published under its name came to what voters did.

From FiveThirtyEight's final public data2,3: general-election polls between a Democrat and a Republican in the last three weeks before each election, compared with the certified result. FiveThirtyEight rated each name polls were published under separately. Across all 8,957 such polls, the average miss was D+0.7, so the relative figure takes out the misses every pollster shared that year.

Error is the poll's D−R margin minus the result's; D+ means it showed Democrats doing better than they did.
Published asPollsElectionsAverage missRelative to other pollsTypical size of miss538's last rating
CBS News/The New York Times311998–2016R+0.5D+0.74.5 ptsNot graded (inactive)
The New York Times32010D+1.0D+7.95.3 ptsNot graded (inactive)
The New York Times/Siena College922016–2022D+1.3D+0.74.1 pts3.0 of 3

ABC News closed FiveThirtyEight in March 2025; its data stops at the 2022 elections. 2026 results will be added once states certify them.

§3Its polls

53 polls it paid for or published, newest first.
In the fieldQuestionResultPollsterPaid for bySample
October 26–November 1, 2026Governor · 2026 IowaRob Sand 51 · Zach Lahn 43Siena Research Institute705 LV
October 27–November 1, 2026Governor · 2026 TexasGina Hinojosa 48 · Greg Abbott 47Siena Research Institute1,215 LV
October 27–November 1, 2026U.S. Senate · 2026 TexasJames Talarico 50 · Ken Paxton 43Siena Research Institute1,215 LV
October 26–November 1, 2026U.S. Senate · 2026 OhioSherrod Brown 49 · Jon Husted 44Siena Research Institute717 LV
October 26–November 1, 2026Governor · 2026 OhioAmy Acton 49 · Vivek Ramaswamy 43Siena Research Institute717 LV
October 23–November 1, 2026U.S. Senate · 2026 MichiganAbdul El-Sayed 53 · Mike Rogers 42Siena Research Institute1,011 LV
October 23–November 1, 2026Governor · 2026 MichiganJocelyn Benson 52 · John James 39Siena Research Institute1,011 LV
October 27–November 1, 2026Governor · 2026 MaineHannah Pingree 49 · Bobby Charles 37 · Rick Bennett 8Siena Research Institute714 LV
October 27–November 1, 2026Governor · 2026 KansasCindy Holscher 48 · Ty Masterson 47Siena Research Institute736 LV
October 27–November 1, 2026U.S. Senate · 2026 MaineTroy Jackson 51 · Susan Collins 45Siena Research Institute714 LV
October 27–November 1, 2026U.S. Senate · 2026 KansasAdam Hamilton 49 · Roger Marshall 44 · David Graham 4Siena Research Institute736 LV
October 26–November 1, 2026U.S. Senate · 2026 IowaJosh Turek 48 · Ashley Hinson 47Siena Research Institute705 LV
October 23–October 30, 2026Governor · 2026 AlaskaJonathan Kreiss-Tomkins 54 · Bernadette Wilson 46Siena Research Institute610 LV
October 23–October 30, 2026U.S. House · 2026 AK-01Nick Begich 52 · Bill Hill 48Siena Research Institute610 LV
October 23–October 30, 2026U.S. Senate · 2026 AlaskaMary Peltola 48 · Dan Sullivan 46Siena Research Institute610 LV
September 22–October 1, 2026Governor · 2026 IowaRob Sand 52 · Zach Lahn 41Siena Research Institute606 LV
September 24–October 1, 2026Governor · 2026 AlaskaJonathan Kreiss-Tomkins 52 · Bernadette Wilson 48Siena Research Institute431 LV
September 22–October 1, 2026Governor · 2026 OhioAmy Acton 49 · Vivek Ramaswamy 45Siena Research Institute616 LV
September 22–September 30, 2026Governor · 2026 TexasGina Hinojosa 49 · Greg Abbott 46Siena Research Institute605 LV
September 22–September 30, 2026Governor · 2026 KansasTy Masterson 49 · Cindy Holscher 44Siena Research Institute605 LV
September 15–September 22, 2026Governor · 2026 MichiganJocelyn Benson 48 · John James 43Siena Research Institute605 LV
September 15–September 22, 2026Governor · 2026 PennsylvaniaJosh Shapiro 58 · Stacy Garrity 38Siena Research InstituteThe Philadelphia Inquirer615 LV
September 15–September 22, 2026U.S. Senate · 2026 MaineSusan Collins 49 · Troy Jackson 46Siena Research InstitutePortland Press Herald619 LV
September 15–September 22, 2026U.S. Senate · 2026 MichiganAbdul El-Sayed 49 · Mike Rogers 44Siena Research Institute605 LV
September 15–September 22, 2026U.S. Senate · 2026 New HampshireChris Pappas 50 · John Sununu 45Siena Research Institute613 LV
September 15–September 22, 2026Governor · 2026 MaineHannah Pingree 47 · Bobby Charles 34 · Rick Bennett 8Siena Research InstitutePortland Press Herald, Maine Trust for Local News619 LV
September 15–September 22, 2026Governor · 2026 New HampshireKelly Ayotte 52 · Cinde Warmington 41Siena Research Institute613 LV
August 17–August 21, 2026Governor · 2026 PennsylvaniaJosh Shapiro 54 · Stacy Garrity 37Siena Research InstituteThe Philadelphia Inquirer760 RV
August 17–August 21, 2026Governor · 2026 PennsylvaniaJosh Shapiro 55 · Stacy Garrity 39Siena Research InstituteThe Philadelphia Inquirer760 LV
June 15–June 29, 2026U.S. House · 2026 AK-01Nick Begich 51 · Matt Schultz 39Siena Research Institute593 LV
June 15–June 29, 2026U.S. Senate · 2026 AlaskaDan Sullivan 47 · Mary Peltola 45Siena Research Institute593 LV
June 15–June 28, 2026U.S. Senate · 2026 OhioJon Husted 50 · Sherrod Brown 47Siena Research Institute601 LV
June 15–June 28, 2026Governor · 2026 OhioAmy Acton 47 · Vivek Ramaswamy 47Siena Research Institute601 LV
June 19–June 27, 2026U.S. Senate · 2026 TexasJames Talarico 47 · Ken Paxton 47Siena Research Institute656 LV
June 15–June 27, 2026U.S. Senate · 2026 North CarolinaRoy Cooper 50 · Michael Whatley 43Siena Research Institute601 LV
June 15–June 27, 2026U.S. Senate · 2026 IowaAshley Hinson 48 · Josh Turek 46Siena Research Institute600 LV
June 19–June 27, 2026Governor · 2026 TexasGreg Abbott 51 · Gina Hinojosa 44Siena Research Institute656 LV
June 19–June 26, 2026U.S. Senate · 2026 MaineGraham Platner 49 · Susan Collins 47Siena Research InstitutePortland Press Herald608 LV
June 19–June 26, 2026Governor · 2026 MaineHannah Pingree 50 · Bobby Charles 36 · Rick Bennett 8Siena Research InstitutePortland Press Herald608 LV
June 19–June 26, 2026Governor · 2026 MaineHannah Pingree 55 · Bobby Charles 40Siena Research InstitutePortland Press Herald608 LV
June 15–June 17, 2026Governor · 2026 IowaRob Sand 48 · Zach Lahn 47Siena Research Institute600 LV
May 11–May 15, 2026Job approval · Donald TrumpDisapprove 59 · Approve 37Siena Research Institute1,507 RV
May 11–May 15, 2026Generic congressional ballot · 2026Dem 49.5 · Rep 39.1Siena Research Institute1,507 RV
January 12–January 17, 2026Generic congressional ballot · 2026Dem 48 · Rep 43Siena Research Institute1,625 RV
January 12–January 17, 2026Job approval · Donald TrumpDisapprove 56 · Approve 40Siena Research Institute1,625 RV
September 22–September 27, 2025Job approval · Donald TrumpDisapprove 54 · Approve 43Siena Research Institute1,313 RV
September 22–September 27, 2025Generic congressional ballot · 2026Dem 47 · Rep 45Siena Research Institute1,313 RV
April 21–April 24, 2025Job approval · Donald TrumpDisapprove 54 · Approve 42Siena Research Institute913 RV
April 21–April 24, 2025Generic congressional ballot · 2026Dem 47 · Rep 44Siena Research Institute913 RV
April 21–April 24, 2025Favorability · Donald TrumpUnfavorable 56 · Favorable 43Siena Research Institute913 RV
April 21–April 24, 2025Favorability · Supreme CourtFavorable 46 · Unfavorable 43Siena Research Institute913 RV
July 22–July 24, 2024Favorability · JD VanceUnfavorable 38 · Favorable 34Siena Research Institute1,004 RV
July 22–July 24, 2024Favorability · JD VanceUnfavorable 39 · Favorable 36Siena Research Institute1,004 LV