Pollster · Academic

Siena Research Institute

Also published as Siena College Research Institute, Siena College, Siena University.

AAPOR Transparency Initiative since January 25, 20151Research draft
Polls since 2024
69
Latest poll ended
November 1, 2026
House effect vs. other polls
D+1.3
Record vs. results, relative
D+0.7

Polls from the VoteHub polling API, used under CC BY 4.0. Each result links to the pollster's or sponsor's own release. Imported once a day; a poll VoteHub later changes keeps its earlier version on record here.

§1About

Drafted by AI from the public sources cited. Each sentence links to its source.

The Siena Research Institute (SRI), formerly the Siena College Research Institute, says it was founded in 1980 at Siena University in New York's Capital District and conducts regional, statewide and national surveys.2,3 Its January 2026 announcement names Don Levy as director and says SRI began a polling partnership with The New York Times in 2013.2 From January 2026 SRI entered what it and ReconMR, a Texas research firm, call a strategic integration, with ReconMR handling large-scale data collection and analytics; Siena University's president wrote that the work would continue under the SRI name with a powered by ReconMR designation and with its team kept on campus.2,4,5

Kind
Academic2,3
Founded
19802

§2Who it works with

Why this matters: Owners, news partners and the firms behind a poll's interviews shape what gets asked, how, and what gets published.

Part of

  • Siena University. SRI describes itself as conducting its research at Siena University, and the university president's December 2025 message describes the ReconMR arrangement as one that preserves the SRI brand.3,5

News partners

  • The New York Times (2013–now). SRI's January 2026 announcement says it began the partnership that produces the NYT/Siena Poll in 2013; a 2023 Siena University article quotes an SRI staff member dating it to early 2012.2,6
  • Newsday. SRI's website lists a section headed as a partnership with Newsday.7

Fieldwork or panel by

  • ReconMR (2026–now). SRI and ReconMR announced in January 2026 that the two would be combined into one organization, with ReconMR focused on large-scale data collection and analytics and SRI on academic and polling expertise.2,4

Led by

  • Don Levy. SRI's January 2026 announcement and its website name Don Levy as director of the Siena Research Institute.2,7

Published with

Names its polls have been published under, alongside other pollsters or news outlets.

Who paid for its polls

Sponsors named on its polls, most polls first8. A party-aligned flag is VoteHub's, per poll.
SponsorPollsBetweenFlagged party-aligned
Portland Press Herald5June 26, 2026 – September 22, 2026No
Texas A&M University Bush School of Government & Public Service4June 4, 2026 – July 30, 2026No
The Philadelphia Inquirer3August 21, 2026 – September 22, 2026No
Maine Trust for Local News1September 22, 2026No
Albany Times Union1October 6, 2026No
WAMC-FM1October 6, 2026No
WPTZ1October 6, 2026No

§3Whom it works for

Why this matters: A firm that also works for one party's campaigns can still publish accurate polls, but readers deserve to know.

Says it does no work for parties or candidates. Its Policy of Non-partisanship calls SRI a non-partisan organization that does not support or oppose candidates or take a stand for or against a political party.3

Of its 69 polls listed since the 2024 election, VoteHub flags 0 as paid for by a Democratic-aligned sponsor and 0 by a Republican-aligned sponsor8.

§4How its numbers compare with other polls

Why this matters: A firm whose polls run steadily to one side of everyone else's is worth reading alongside others.

Each of its polls since the 2024 election is compared with other pollsters' polls of the same question whose field period ended within 14 days, each other pollster counted once8. The figure is the average gap, with a 95% margin. This compares it with other polls, not with the truth: the others can be the ones that are off.

Party margin
D+1.3 (±1.5) across 41 polls of the generic ballot and 2026 races, in 18 contests.

D+ means its polls showed Democrats doing better than other polls did; R+, Republicans. A figure from fewer than 5 polls isn't shown.

§5Record against results

Why this matters: The one test that doesn't depend on other polls: how close a firm's final polls came to what voters did.

From FiveThirtyEight's final public data9,10: general-election polls between a Democrat and a Republican in the last three weeks before each election, compared with the certified result. FiveThirtyEight rated each name polls were published under separately. Across all 8,957 such polls, the average miss was D+0.7, so the relative figure takes out the misses every pollster shared that year.

Error is the poll's D−R margin minus the result's; D+ means it showed Democrats doing better than they did.
Published asPollsElectionsAverage missRelative to other pollsTypical size of miss538's last rating
The New York Times/Siena College922016–2022D+1.3D+0.74.1 pts3.0 of 3
Siena College572002–2022R+3.2D+0.35.7 pts2.7 of 3

ABC News closed FiveThirtyEight in March 2025; its data stops at the 2022 elections. 2026 results will be added once states certify them.

§62026 record against the count

Why this matters: How close this pollster's last 2026 polls came to how people voted, measured the way FiveThirtyEight measured earlier elections.

4 polls of 4 races between a Democrat and a Republican, with field periods ending in the 21 days before November 3, 2026, compared with each race's count. Some of those races are still being counted, so these figures use the unofficial count and will change until states certify.

Average miss
R+3.2
Relative to other polls of the same races
D+2.7
Typical size of miss
3.3 pts

Error is the poll's D−R margin minus the count's, as shares of all votes in the race; D+ means it showed Democrats doing better than they did. From fewer than 5 polls, so read it as a few data points, not a pattern.

§7Its polls

The 71 polls of its we list, newest first.
In the fieldQuestionResultWithPaid for bySample
October 26–November 1, 2026Governor · 2026 IowaRob Sand 51 · Zach Lahn 43The New York Times705 LV
October 27–November 1, 2026Governor · 2026 TexasGina Hinojosa 48 · Greg Abbott 47The New York Times1,215 LV
October 27–November 1, 2026U.S. Senate · 2026 TexasJames Talarico 50 · Ken Paxton 43The New York Times1,215 LV
October 26–November 1, 2026U.S. Senate · 2026 OhioSherrod Brown 49 · Jon Husted 44The New York Times717 LV
October 26–November 1, 2026Governor · 2026 OhioAmy Acton 49 · Vivek Ramaswamy 43The New York Times717 LV
October 23–November 1, 2026U.S. Senate · 2026 MichiganAbdul El-Sayed 53 · Mike Rogers 42The New York Times1,011 LV
October 23–November 1, 2026Governor · 2026 MichiganJocelyn Benson 52 · John James 39The New York Times1,011 LV
October 27–November 1, 2026Governor · 2026 MaineHannah Pingree 49 · Bobby Charles 37 · Rick Bennett 8The New York Times714 LV
October 27–November 1, 2026Governor · 2026 KansasCindy Holscher 48 · Ty Masterson 47The New York Times736 LV
October 27–November 1, 2026U.S. Senate · 2026 MaineTroy Jackson 51 · Susan Collins 45The New York Times714 LV
October 27–November 1, 2026U.S. Senate · 2026 KansasAdam Hamilton 49 · Roger Marshall 44 · David Graham 4The New York Times736 LV
October 26–November 1, 2026U.S. Senate · 2026 IowaJosh Turek 48 · Ashley Hinson 47The New York Times705 LV
October 23–October 30, 2026Governor · 2026 AlaskaJonathan Kreiss-Tomkins 54 · Bernadette Wilson 46The New York Times610 LV
October 23–October 30, 2026U.S. House · 2026 AK-01Nick Begich 52 · Bill Hill 48The New York Times610 LV
October 23–October 30, 2026U.S. Senate · 2026 AlaskaMary Peltola 48 · Dan Sullivan 46The New York Times610 LV
October 5–October 8, 2026U.S. Senate · 2026 TexasJames Talarico 48 · Ken Paxton 44ReconMR617 LV
October 5–October 8, 2026Governor · 2026 TexasGreg Abbott 48 · Gina Hinojosa 47ReconMR617 LV
September 30–October 6, 2026U.S. House · 2026 NY-21Blake Gendebien 46 · Anthony Constantino 42 · Christopher Schmidt 5WAMC-FM, Albany Times Union, WPTZ496 LV
September 24–October 1, 2026Governor · 2026 AlaskaJonathan Kreiss-Tomkins 52 · Bernadette Wilson 48The New York Times431 LV
September 22–October 1, 2026Governor · 2026 IowaRob Sand 52 · Zach Lahn 41The New York Times606 LV
September 22–October 1, 2026Governor · 2026 OhioAmy Acton 49 · Vivek Ramaswamy 45The New York Times616 LV
September 22–September 30, 2026Governor · 2026 KansasTy Masterson 49 · Cindy Holscher 44The New York Times605 LV
September 22–September 30, 2026Governor · 2026 TexasGina Hinojosa 49 · Greg Abbott 46The New York Times605 LV
September 15–September 22, 2026Governor · 2026 PennsylvaniaJosh Shapiro 58 · Stacy Garrity 38The New York Times, The Philadelphia Inquirer615 LV
September 15–September 22, 2026U.S. Senate · 2026 MaineSusan Collins 49 · Troy Jackson 46The New York Times, Portland Press Herald619 LV
September 15–September 22, 2026Governor · 2026 MichiganJocelyn Benson 48 · John James 43The New York Times605 LV
September 15–September 22, 2026Governor · 2026 New HampshireKelly Ayotte 52 · Cinde Warmington 41The New York Times613 LV
September 15–September 22, 2026Governor · 2026 MaineHannah Pingree 47 · Bobby Charles 34 · Rick Bennett 8The New York Times, Portland Press Herald, Maine Trust for Local News619 LV
September 15–September 22, 2026U.S. Senate · 2026 New HampshireChris Pappas 50 · John Sununu 45The New York Times613 LV
September 15–September 22, 2026U.S. Senate · 2026 MichiganAbdul El-Sayed 49 · Mike Rogers 44The New York Times605 LV
September 8–September 11, 2026Governor · 2026 TexasGina Hinojosa 49 · Greg Abbott 45 · Pat Dixon 0ReconMR614 LV
September 8–September 11, 2026U.S. Senate · 2026 TexasJames Talarico 49 · Ken Paxton 43ReconMR614 LV
August 17–August 21, 2026Governor · 2026 PennsylvaniaJosh Shapiro 55 · Stacy Garrity 39The New York Times, The Philadelphia Inquirer760 LV
August 17–August 21, 2026Governor · 2026 PennsylvaniaJosh Shapiro 54 · Stacy Garrity 37The New York Times, The Philadelphia Inquirer760 RV
August 3–August 6, 2026Governor · 2026 New YorkKathy Hochul 49 · Bruce Blakeman 39811 LV
July 27–July 30, 2026Governor · 2026 TexasGreg Abbott 46 · Gina Hinojosa 45 · Pat Dixon 0ReconMRTexas A&M University Bush School of Government & Public Service619 LV
July 27–July 30, 2026U.S. Senate · 2026 TexasJames Talarico 47 · Ken Paxton 43ReconMRTexas A&M University Bush School of Government & Public Service619 LV
June 15–June 29, 2026U.S. House · 2026 AK-01Nick Begich 51 · Matt Schultz 39The New York Times593 LV
June 15–June 29, 2026U.S. Senate · 2026 AlaskaDan Sullivan 47 · Mary Peltola 45The New York Times593 LV
June 15–June 28, 2026U.S. Senate · 2026 OhioJon Husted 50 · Sherrod Brown 47The New York Times601 LV
June 15–June 28, 2026Governor · 2026 OhioAmy Acton 47 · Vivek Ramaswamy 47The New York Times601 LV
June 15–June 27, 2026U.S. Senate · 2026 North CarolinaRoy Cooper 50 · Michael Whatley 43The New York Times601 LV
June 15–June 27, 2026U.S. Senate · 2026 IowaAshley Hinson 48 · Josh Turek 46The New York Times600 LV
June 19–June 27, 2026U.S. Senate · 2026 TexasJames Talarico 47 · Ken Paxton 47The New York Times656 LV
June 19–June 27, 2026Governor · 2026 TexasGreg Abbott 51 · Gina Hinojosa 44The New York Times656 LV
June 19–June 26, 2026Governor · 2026 MaineHannah Pingree 50 · Bobby Charles 36 · Rick Bennett 8The New York Times, Portland Press Herald608 LV
June 19–June 26, 2026Governor · 2026 MaineHannah Pingree 55 · Bobby Charles 40The New York Times, Portland Press Herald608 LV
June 23–June 26, 2026Governor · 2026 New YorkKathy Hochul 44 · Bruce Blakeman 19800 RV
June 19–June 26, 2026U.S. Senate · 2026 MaineGraham Platner 49 · Susan Collins 47The New York Times, Portland Press Herald608 LV
June 17–June 23, 2026Governor · 2026 New YorkKathy Hochul 52 · Bruce Blakeman 321,120 RV
June 15–June 17, 2026Governor · 2026 IowaRob Sand 48 · Zach Lahn 47The New York Times600 LV
June 1–June 4, 2026Governor · 2026 TexasGreg Abbott 49 · Gina Hinojosa 44 · Pat Dixon 0ReconMRTexas A&M University Bush School of Government & Public Service807 LV
June 1–June 4, 2026U.S. Senate · 2026 TexasJames Talarico 47 · Ken Paxton 44ReconMRTexas A&M University Bush School of Government & Public Service807 LV
May 11–May 15, 2026Job approval · Donald TrumpDisapprove 59 · Approve 37The New York Times1,507 RV
May 11–May 15, 2026Generic congressional ballot · 2026Dem 49.5 · Rep 39.1The New York Times1,507 RV
April 27–April 30, 2026Governor · 2026 New YorkKathy Hochul 49 · Bruce Blakeman 33806 RV
March 23–March 26, 2026Governor · 2026 New YorkKathy Hochul 47 · Bruce Blakeman 34804 RV
February 23–February 26, 2026Governor · 2026 New YorkKathy Hochul 51 · Bruce Blakeman 31805 RV
January 26–January 28, 2026Governor · 2026 New YorkKathy Hochul 54 · Bruce Blakeman 28802 RV
January 12–January 17, 2026Generic congressional ballot · 2026Dem 48 · Rep 43The New York Times1,625 RV
January 12–January 17, 2026Job approval · Donald TrumpDisapprove 56 · Approve 40The New York Times1,625 RV
December 8–December 12, 2025Governor · 2026 New YorkKathy Hochul 50 · Bruce Blakeman 25801 RV
December 8–December 12, 2025Governor · 2026 New YorkKathy Hochul 50 · Bruce Blakeman 25801 RV
September 22–September 27, 2025Generic congressional ballot · 2026Dem 47 · Rep 45The New York Times1,313 RV
September 22–September 27, 2025Job approval · Donald TrumpDisapprove 54 · Approve 43The New York Times1,313 RV
April 21–April 24, 2025Generic congressional ballot · 2026Dem 47 · Rep 44The New York Times913 RV
April 21–April 24, 2025Favorability · Supreme CourtFavorable 46 · Unfavorable 43The New York Times913 RV
April 21–April 24, 2025Favorability · Donald TrumpUnfavorable 56 · Favorable 43The New York Times913 RV
April 21–April 24, 2025Job approval · Donald TrumpDisapprove 54 · Approve 42The New York Times913 RV
July 22–July 24, 2024Favorability · JD VanceUnfavorable 39 · Favorable 36The New York Times1,004 LV
July 22–July 24, 2024Favorability · JD VanceUnfavorable 38 · Favorable 34The New York Times1,004 RV

§8What we looked for and didn't find

  • Sources disagree on when the New York Times partnership began: SRI's 2026 announcement says 2013, while a 2023 Siena University article quotes a staff member saying early 2012.
  • Neither SRI nor ReconMR says who owns what after the January 2026 integration.
  • The October 2026 ReconMR Texas Poll release read does not mention Siena, so the ReconMR/Siena University byline on Texas polls was not traced to a statement of each party's role.
  • Albany Times Union, WAMC-FM, WPTZ, the Maine Trust for Local News, the Portland Press Herald, The Philadelphia Inquirer and the Texas A&M Bush School appear as sponsors on its polls in our data; no page describing a standing arrangement with any of them was read.
  • No start date was found for the Newsday partnership.
  • No call centers or panel vendors used for NYT/Siena polls were confirmed from a primary page.
  • Searches found no AAPOR statement, court ruling or filing, regulator action, aggregator statement about excluding or reweighting its polls, or retraction by the firm.