Poll sponsor · News outlet

The Associated Press

An organization that commissioned or published polls without conducting them itself.

Polls listed
42
Pollsters used
1

Polls from the VoteHub polling API, used under CC BY 4.0. Each result links to the pollster's or sponsor's own release. Imported once a day; a poll VoteHub later changes keeps its earlier version on record here.

§1Pollsters it has used

§2Record against results

Why this matters: The one test that doesn't depend on other polls: how close the final polls published under its name came to what voters did.

From FiveThirtyEight's final public data2,3: general-election polls between a Democrat and a Republican in the last three weeks before each election, compared with the certified result. FiveThirtyEight rated each name polls were published under separately. Across all 8,957 such polls, the average miss was D+0.7, so the relative figure takes out the misses every pollster shared that year.

Error is the poll's D−R margin minus the result's; D+ means it showed Democrats doing better than they did.
Published asPollsElectionsAverage missRelative to other pollsTypical size of miss538's last rating
AP-NORC0————2.0 of 3

ABC News closed FiveThirtyEight in March 2025; its data stops at the 2022 elections. 2026 results will be added once states certify them.

§3Its polls

42 polls it paid for or published, newest first.
In the fieldQuestionResultPollsterPaid for bySample
June 11–June 17, 2026Job approval · Donald TrumpDisapprove 62 · Approve 37NORC at the University of Chicago3,040 A
May 14–May 18, 2026Job approval · Donald TrumpDisapprove 62 · Approve 37NORC at the University of Chicago1,117 A
April 16–April 20, 2026Favorability · JD VanceUnfavorable 53 · Favorable 31NORC at the University of Chicago2,596 A
April 16–April 20, 2026Favorability · Donald TrumpUnfavorable 61 · Favorable 33NORC at the University of Chicago2,596 A
April 16–April 20, 2026Job approval · Donald TrumpDisapprove 67 · Approve 33NORC at the University of Chicago2,596 A
March 20–March 23, 2026Job approval · Donald TrumpDisapprove 60 · Approve 38NORC at the University of Chicago1,150 A
February 5–February 8, 2026Job approval · Donald TrumpDisapprove 62 · Approve 36NORC at the University of Chicago1,156 A
February 5–February 8, 2026Favorability · JD VanceUnfavorable 49 · Favorable 32NORC at the University of Chicago1,156 A
February 5–February 8, 2026Favorability · Donald TrumpUnfavorable 61 · Favorable 34NORC at the University of Chicago1,156 A
January 8–January 11, 2026Job approval · Donald TrumpDisapprove 59 · Approve 40NORC at the University of Chicago1,203 A
December 4–December 8, 2025Job approval · Donald TrumpDisapprove 61 · Approve 36NORC at the University of Chicago1,146 A
November 6–November 10, 2025Job approval · Donald TrumpDisapprove 62 · Approve 36NORC at the University of Chicago1,143 A
October 9–October 13, 2025Favorability · Donald TrumpUnfavorable 56 · Favorable 39NORC at the University of Chicago1,289 A
October 9–October 13, 2025Favorability · JD VanceUnfavorable 48 · Favorable 34NORC at the University of Chicago1,289 A
October 9–October 13, 2025Job approval · Donald TrumpDisapprove 61 · Approve 37NORC at the University of Chicago1,289 A
September 11–September 15, 2025Job approval · Donald TrumpDisapprove 55 · Approve 41NORC at the University of Chicago1,183 A
September 11–September 15, 2025Favorability · Donald TrumpUnfavorable 54 · Favorable 41NORC at the University of Chicago1,183 A
September 11–September 15, 2025Favorability · JD VanceUnfavorable 46 · Favorable 32NORC at the University of Chicago1,183 A
August 21–August 25, 2025Job approval · Donald TrumpDisapprove 53 · Approve 45NORC at the University of Chicago1,182 A
July 10–July 14, 2025Job approval · Donald TrumpDisapprove 58 · Approve 40NORC at the University of Chicago1,437 A
June 5–June 9, 2025Job approval · Donald TrumpDisapprove 60 · Approve 39NORC at the University of Chicago1,158 A
May 1–May 5, 2025Job approval · Donald TrumpDisapprove 57 · Approve 41NORC at the University of Chicago1,175 A
April 17–April 21, 2025Favorability · JD VanceUnfavorable 46 · Favorable 33NORC at the University of Chicago1,260 A
April 17–April 21, 2025Favorability · Donald TrumpUnfavorable 57 · Favorable 39NORC at the University of Chicago1,260 A
April 17–April 21, 2025Job approval · Donald TrumpDisapprove 59 · Approve 39NORC at the University of Chicago1,260 A
March 20–March 24, 2025Job approval · Donald TrumpDisapprove 56 · Approve 42NORC at the University of Chicago1,229 A
March 20–March 24, 2025Favorability · Donald TrumpUnfavorable 54 · Favorable 42NORC at the University of Chicago1,229 A
January 9–January 13, 2025Favorability · JD VanceUnfavorable 47 · Favorable 32NORC at the University of Chicago1,147 A
December 5–December 9, 2024Favorability · JD VanceUnfavorable 48 · Favorable 32NORC at the University of Chicago1,251 A
December 5–December 9, 2024Job approval · CongressDisapprove 80 · Approve 17NORC at the University of Chicago1,251 A
October 11–October 14, 2024Favorability · JD VanceUnfavorable 48 · Favorable 33NORC at the University of Chicago957 RV
October 11–October 14, 2024Favorability · JD VanceUnfavorable 48 · Favorable 32NORC at the University of Chicago1,072 A
September 12–September 16, 2024Favorability · JD VanceUnfavorable 57 · Favorable 27NORC at the University of Chicago1,771 RV
September 12–September 16, 2024Favorability · JD VanceUnfavorable 49 · Favorable 26NORC at the University of Chicago2,028 A
August 8–August 12, 2024Favorability · JD VanceUnfavorable 44 · Favorable 27NORC at the University of Chicago1,164 A
July 25–July 29, 2024Favorability · JD VanceUnfavorable 40 · Favorable 27NORC at the University of Chicago1,143 A
July 11–July 15, 2024Favorability · JD VanceUnfavorable 22 · Favorable 17NORC at the University of Chicago1,253 A
January 26–January 30, 2023Job approval · CongressDisapprove 79 · Approve 19NORC at the University of Chicago1,068 A
October 6–October 10, 2022Job approval · CongressDisapprove 78 · Approve 21NORC at the University of Chicago1,121 A
January 28–February 1, 2021Job approval · CongressDisapprove 63 · Approve 36NORC at the University of Chicago1,055 A
February 13–February 16, 2020Job approval · CongressDisapprove 79 · Approve 56 · Approve 20NORC at the University of Chicago1,074 A
October 24–October 28, 2019Job approval · CongressDisapprove 71 · Approve 27NORC at the University of Chicago1,075 A