Pollster · Works for one party
Fabrizio, Lee & Associates
Also published as Fabrizio Lee & Associates.
- Polls since 2024
- 26
- Latest poll ended
- September 22, 2026
- House effect vs. other polls
- D+0.9
- Record vs. results, relative
- R+1.0
Polls from the VoteHub polling API, used under CC BY 4.0. Each result links to the pollster's or sponsor's own release. Imported once a day; a poll VoteHub later changes keeps its earlier version on record here.
§1About
Drafted by AI from the public sources cited. Each sentence links to its source.
Fabrizio, Lee & Associates describes itself as a survey research and strategic consulting firm that works on campaigns, public policy debates and crisis management.1,
§2Who it works with
Why this matters: Owners, news partners and the firms behind a poll's interviews shape what gets asked, how, and what gets published.
News partners
- The Wall Street Journal. The firm's Tony Fabrizio page says he has conducted The Wall Street Journal's election-focused public polling in partnership with Democratic firm Impact Research.4
Polls jointly with
- Impact Research. The firm's Tony Fabrizio page names Impact Research as its Democratic partner on The Wall Street Journal's election polling.4
Founded by
Published with
Names its polls have been published under, alongside other pollsters or news outlets.
- Fabrizio, Lee & Associates/Impact Research: Impact Research · 21 polls listed
- Fabrizio, Lee & Associates/GBAO: GBAO · 4 polls listed
- Fabrizio Lee & Associates/Impact Research: Impact Research
- Fabrizio, Lee & Associates/McLaughlin & Associates: McLaughlin & Associates
Who paid for its polls
| Sponsor | Polls | Between | Flagged party-aligned |
|---|---|---|---|
| The Wall Street Journal | 13 | November 22, 2021 – July 20, 2025 | No |
| AARP | 12 | February 1, 2025 – September 22, 2026 | No |
| Pine Tree Results | 3 | January 24, 2026 – June 3, 2026 | Republican-aligned sponsor (3) |
| Building America's Future | 1 | December 17, 2025 | Republican-aligned sponsor (1) |
§3Whom it works for
Why this matters: A firm that also works for one party's campaigns can still publish accurate polls, but readers deserve to know.
Works for Republican candidates or groups. Its clients page lists Republican party committees (the RNC, the Republican Governors Association, the NRSC and the NRCC) and Republican officeholders as its political clients and names no Democratic clients, and its about page calls Tony Fabrizio one of the leading GOP pollsters.1,
- Republican National Committee. The firm's clients page lists the Republican National Committee.5
- Republican Governors Association. The firm's clients page lists the Republican Governors Association.5
- National Republican Senatorial Committee. The firm's clients page lists the National Republican Senatorial Committee.5
- National Republican Congressional Committee. The firm's clients page lists the National Republican Congressional Committee.5
- Donald Trump presidential campaigns (2016–now). The firm's clients page lists Donald Trump's 2016 and 2020 presidential campaigns, and its Tony Fabrizio page cites the 2016 and 2024 campaigns.4,
5
Of its 26 polls listed since the 2024 election, VoteHub flags 0 as paid for by a Democratic-aligned sponsor and 4 by a Republican-aligned sponsor6.
Federal campaigns and committees that paid it
From 2023 through 2026, 28 federal committees reported paying Fabrizio, Lee & Associates $25,480,170 for polling, surveys or research7,
| Committee | Kind | Party it reports | Paid for polling | Between |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| REPUBLICAN NATIONAL COMMITTEE | Party committee | Republican | $14,298,345 | May 8, 2024 – September 30, 2026 |
| MAKE AMERICA GREAT AGAIN INC. | Super PAC | None reported | $8,528,405 | January 3, 2023 – November 5, 2024 |
| CONSERVATIVES FOR AMERICAN EXCELLENCE INC. | Super PAC | None reported | $360,320 | September 16, 2025 – July 23, 2026 |
| WHATLEY FOR SENATE | Senate campaign | Republican | $349,200 | October 20, 2025 – May 28, 2026 |
| AMERICA FIRST AGRICULTURE ACTION INC. | Super PAC | None reported | $220,750 | September 10, 2025 – November 10, 2025 |
| MORE JOBS, LESS GOVERNMENT | PAC | None reported | $194,700 | November 10, 2023 – September 23, 2024 |
| FIGHT FOR KENTUCKY | Super PAC | None reported | $190,110 | March 30, 2026 – May 8, 2026 |
| PINE TREE RESULTS PAC | Super PAC | None reported | $159,500 | February 9, 2026 – June 18, 2026 |
| LALOTA FOR CONGRESS | House campaign | Republican | $135,475 | July 1, 2024 – June 23, 2026 |
| RANDY FINE FOR CONGRESS | House campaign | Republican | $121,465 | March 12, 2025 – March 27, 2025 |
| PROTECT FREEDOM POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE | Super PAC | None reported | $92,650 | February 26, 2024 – October 4, 2024 |
| NRCC | Party committee | Republican | $88,650 | August 29, 2024 – September 18, 2026 |
§4How its numbers compare with other polls
Why this matters: A firm whose polls run steadily to one side of everyone else's is worth reading alongside others.
Each of its polls since the 2024 election is compared with other pollsters' polls of the same question whose field period ended within 14 days, each other pollster counted once6. The figure is the average gap, with a 95% margin. This compares it with other polls, not with the truth: the others can be the ones that are off.
- Party margin
- D+0.9 (±1.2) across 8 polls of the generic ballot and 2026 races, in 5 contests.
- Without a party-aligned sponsor
- D+0.5 (±1.1) across 7 polls
D+ means its polls showed Democrats doing better than other polls did; R+, Republicans. A figure from fewer than 5 polls isn't shown.
§5Record against results
Why this matters: The one test that doesn't depend on other polls: how close a firm's final polls came to what voters did.
From FiveThirtyEight's final public data11,
| Published as | Polls | Elections | Average miss | Relative to other polls | Typical size of miss | 538's last rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fabrizio, Lee & Associates | 10 | 2008–2022 | R+0.9 | R+1.0 | 4.2 pts | 1.7 of 3 · 0% partisan work |
| Fabrizio Lee & Associates/Impact Research | 1 | 2022 | D+0.6 | R+1.7 | 0.6 pts | 1.7 of 3 |
ABC News closed FiveThirtyEight in March 2025; its data stops at the 2022 elections. 2026 results will be added once states certify them.
§6Its polls
| In the field | Question | Result | With | Paid for by | Sample |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| September 20–September 22, 2026 | Governor · 2026 Maine | Hannah Pingree 52 · Bobby Charles 39 · Rick Bennett 6 | Impact Research | AARP | 982 LV |
| September 20–September 22, 2026 | U.S. Senate · 2026 Maine | Troy Jackson 50 · Susan Collins 47 | Impact Research | AARP | 982 LV |
| September 8–September 11, 2026 | U.S. House · 2026 AK-01 | Nick Begich 57 · Bill Hill 43 | Impact Research | AARP | 800 LV |
| September 8–September 11, 2026 | Governor · 2026 Alaska | Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins 55 · Bernadette Wilson 45 | Impact Research | AARP | 800 LV |
| September 8–September 11, 2026 | U.S. Senate · 2026 Alaska | Mary Peltola 53 · Dan Sullivan 47 | Impact Research | AARP | 800 LV |
| August 9–August 11, 2026 | U.S. Senate · 2026 Michigan | Abdul El-Sayed 48 · Mike Rogers 47 | Impact Research | AARP | 877 LV |
| August 9–August 11, 2026 | Governor · 2026 Michigan | Jocelyn Benson 49 · John James 44 | Impact Research | AARP | 877 LV |
| July 26–July 28, 2026 | Governor · 2026 Arizona | Katie Hobbs 52 · Andy Biggs 44 | Impact Research | AARP | 913 LV |
| July 21–July 22, 2026 | U.S. House · 2026 FL-13 | Anna Paulina Luna 49 · Leela Gray 41 | 400 LV | ||
| July 13–July 16, 2026 | Governor · 2026 Georgia | Keisha Lance Bottoms 48 · Rick Jackson 46 | Impact Research | AARP | 1,060 LV |
| July 13–July 16, 2026 | U.S. Senate · 2026 Georgia | Jon Ossoff 52 · Mike Collins 43 | Impact Research | AARP | 1,060 LV |
| June 1–June 3, 2026 | U.S. Senate · 2026 Maine | Susan Collins 46 · Graham Platner 46 | Pine Tree ResultsRepublican-aligned sponsor | 800 LV | |
| January 20–January 24, 2026 | U.S. Senate · 2026 Maine | Susan Collins 45 · Graham Platner 44 | Pine Tree ResultsRepublican-aligned sponsor | 800 LV | |
| January 20–January 24, 2026 | U.S. Senate · 2026 Maine | Susan Collins 45 · Janet Mills 44 | Pine Tree ResultsRepublican-aligned sponsor | 800 LV | |
| December 15–December 17, 2025 | Generic congressional ballot · 2026 | Dem 45 · Rep 38 | Building America's FutureRepublican-aligned sponsor | 1,000 RV | |
| July 16–July 20, 2025 | Job approval · Donald Trump | Disapprove 52 · Approve 46 | Impact Research | The Wall Street Journal | 1,500 RV |
| July 16–July 20, 2025 | Generic congressional ballot · 2026 | Dem 46 · Rep 43 | Impact Research | The Wall Street Journal | 1,500 RV |
| July 16–July 20, 2025 | Favorability · Supreme Court | Unfavorable 49 · Favorable 44 | Impact Research | The Wall Street Journal | 1,500 RV |
| July 16–July 20, 2025 | Favorability · Donald Trump | Unfavorable 52 · Favorable 45 | Impact Research | The Wall Street Journal | 1,500 RV |
| March 27–April 1, 2025 | Job approval · Donald Trump | Disapprove 51 · Approve 46 | Impact Research | The Wall Street Journal | 1,500 RV |
| March 27–April 1, 2025 | Favorability · Donald Trump | Unfavorable 51 · Favorable 47 | Impact Research | The Wall Street Journal | 1,500 RV |
| March 27–April 1, 2025 | Generic congressional ballot · 2026 | Dem 44 · Rep 43 | Impact Research | The Wall Street Journal | 1,500 RV |
| March 27–April 1, 2025 | Favorability · JD Vance | Unfavorable 50 · Favorable 43 | Impact Research | The Wall Street Journal | 1,500 RV |
| January 27–February 1, 2025 | Job approval · Donald Trump | Approve 48 · Disapprove 47 | Impact Research | AARP | 3,000 RV |
| January 27–February 1, 2025 | Generic congressional ballot · 2026 | Dem 43 · Rep 43 | Impact Research | AARP | 3,000 RV |
| January 9–January 14, 2025 | Favorability · JD Vance | Unfavorable 45 · Favorable 44 | GBAO | The Wall Street Journal | 750 RV |
| October 19–October 22, 2024 | Favorability · JD Vance | Unfavorable 47 · Favorable 45 | GBAO | The Wall Street Journal | 1,500 RV |
| August 24–August 28, 2024 | Favorability · JD Vance | Unfavorable 50 · Favorable 40 | GBAO | The Wall Street Journal | 1,500 RV |
| July 23–July 25, 2024 | Favorability · JD Vance | Unfavorable 44 · Favorable 42 | GBAO | The Wall Street Journal | 1,000 RV |
| November 16–November 22, 2021 | Job approval · Congress | Disapprove 66 · Approve 28 | Impact Research | The Wall Street Journal | 1,500 RV |
§7What we looked for and didn't find
- No office location was found on the pages read.
- No start or end dates were found for the Wall Street Journal arrangement; our data also show joint bylines with GBAO, but no page read confirms that partnership.
- AARP's 2026 battleground polls credit Fabrizio-Ward, which our directory lists as a separate pollster, so AARP is not recorded here as a client of this firm.
- Its clients page also lists corporations and associations; these are not recorded as standing poll clients.
- No fieldwork or panel vendor was named on the pages read.
- Searches found no AAPOR statement, court ruling or filing, regulator action, aggregator statement about excluding or reweighting its polls, or retraction by the firm.