Pollster · Works for one party

Fabrizio, Lee & Associates

Also published as Fabrizio Lee & Associates.

Research draft
Polls since 2024
26
Latest poll ended
September 22, 2026
House effect vs. other polls
D+0.9
Record vs. results, relative
R+1.0

Polls from the VoteHub polling API, used under CC BY 4.0. Each result links to the pollster's or sponsor's own release. Imported once a day; a poll VoteHub later changes keeps its earlier version on record here.

§1About

Drafted by AI from the public sources cited. Each sentence links to its source.

Fabrizio, Lee & Associates describes itself as a survey research and strategic consulting firm that works on campaigns, public policy debates and crisis management.1,2 According to Roll Call, Republican pollsters Tony Fabrizio and David Lee launched the firm in January 2014 as a successor to Fabrizio McLaughlin & Associates.3 Its about page lists Fabrizio and Lee as partners and says Fabrizio was chief pollster for President Donald Trump's 2016 and 2024 campaigns.1,4

Kind
Works for one party1,5
Founded
2014-013

§2Who it works with

Why this matters: Owners, news partners and the firms behind a poll's interviews shape what gets asked, how, and what gets published.

News partners

  • The Wall Street Journal. The firm's Tony Fabrizio page says he has conducted The Wall Street Journal's election-focused public polling in partnership with Democratic firm Impact Research.4

Polls jointly with

  • Impact Research. The firm's Tony Fabrizio page names Impact Research as its Democratic partner on The Wall Street Journal's election polling.4

Founded by

  • Tony Fabrizio (2014). According to Roll Call, Tony Fabrizio launched the firm with David Lee in January 2014.3
  • David Lee (2014). According to Roll Call, David Lee launched the firm with Tony Fabrizio in January 2014.3

Published with

Names its polls have been published under, alongside other pollsters or news outlets.

Who paid for its polls

Sponsors named on its polls, most polls first6. A party-aligned flag is VoteHub's, per poll.
SponsorPollsBetweenFlagged party-aligned
The Wall Street Journal13November 22, 2021 – July 20, 2025No
AARP12February 1, 2025 – September 22, 2026No
Pine Tree Results3January 24, 2026 – June 3, 2026Republican-aligned sponsor (3)
Building America's Future1December 17, 2025Republican-aligned sponsor (1)

§3Whom it works for

Why this matters: A firm that also works for one party's campaigns can still publish accurate polls, but readers deserve to know.

Works for Republican candidates or groups. Its clients page lists Republican party committees (the RNC, the Republican Governors Association, the NRSC and the NRCC) and Republican officeholders as its political clients and names no Democratic clients, and its about page calls Tony Fabrizio one of the leading GOP pollsters.1,5

  • Republican National Committee. The firm's clients page lists the Republican National Committee.5
  • Republican Governors Association. The firm's clients page lists the Republican Governors Association.5
  • National Republican Senatorial Committee. The firm's clients page lists the National Republican Senatorial Committee.5
  • National Republican Congressional Committee. The firm's clients page lists the National Republican Congressional Committee.5
  • Donald Trump presidential campaigns (2016–now). The firm's clients page lists Donald Trump's 2016 and 2020 presidential campaigns, and its Tony Fabrizio page cites the 2016 and 2024 campaigns.4,5

Of its 26 polls listed since the 2024 election, VoteHub flags 0 as paid for by a Democratic-aligned sponsor and 4 by a Republican-aligned sponsor6.

Federal campaigns and committees that paid it

From 2023 through 2026, 28 federal committees reported paying Fabrizio, Lee & Associates $25,480,170 for polling, surveys or research7,8,9,10. By the party each committee reports to the FEC: 0 Democratic, 18 Republican, and 10 none (most PACs and super PACs report none).

The largest payers, by amount paid for polling, surveys or research. Only federal committees report to the FEC; state and local campaigns, work paid through another consultant, and polling billed as consulting are not here. Matched by the payee name on the filing: FABRIZIO LEE & ASSOCIATES LLC; FABRIZIO LEE & ASSOCIATES; FABRIZIO LEE & ASSOCIATES LLC; FABRIZIO LEE & ASSOCIATES, LLC; ….
CommitteeKindParty it reportsPaid for pollingBetween
REPUBLICAN NATIONAL COMMITTEEParty committeeRepublican$14,298,345May 8, 2024 – September 30, 2026
MAKE AMERICA GREAT AGAIN INC.Super PACNone reported$8,528,405January 3, 2023 – November 5, 2024
CONSERVATIVES FOR AMERICAN EXCELLENCE INC.Super PACNone reported$360,320September 16, 2025 – July 23, 2026
WHATLEY FOR SENATESenate campaignRepublican$349,200October 20, 2025 – May 28, 2026
AMERICA FIRST AGRICULTURE ACTION INC.Super PACNone reported$220,750September 10, 2025 – November 10, 2025
MORE JOBS, LESS GOVERNMENTPACNone reported$194,700November 10, 2023 – September 23, 2024
FIGHT FOR KENTUCKYSuper PACNone reported$190,110March 30, 2026 – May 8, 2026
PINE TREE RESULTS PACSuper PACNone reported$159,500February 9, 2026 – June 18, 2026
LALOTA FOR CONGRESSHouse campaignRepublican$135,475July 1, 2024 – June 23, 2026
RANDY FINE FOR CONGRESSHouse campaignRepublican$121,465March 12, 2025 – March 27, 2025
PROTECT FREEDOM POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEESuper PACNone reported$92,650February 26, 2024 – October 4, 2024
NRCCParty committeeRepublican$88,650August 29, 2024 – September 18, 2026

§4How its numbers compare with other polls

Why this matters: A firm whose polls run steadily to one side of everyone else's is worth reading alongside others.

Each of its polls since the 2024 election is compared with other pollsters' polls of the same question whose field period ended within 14 days, each other pollster counted once6. The figure is the average gap, with a 95% margin. This compares it with other polls, not with the truth: the others can be the ones that are off.

Party margin
D+0.9 (±1.2) across 8 polls of the generic ballot and 2026 races, in 5 contests.
Without a party-aligned sponsor
D+0.5 (±1.1) across 7 polls

D+ means its polls showed Democrats doing better than other polls did; R+, Republicans. A figure from fewer than 5 polls isn't shown.

§5Record against results

Why this matters: The one test that doesn't depend on other polls: how close a firm's final polls came to what voters did.

From FiveThirtyEight's final public data11,12: general-election polls between a Democrat and a Republican in the last three weeks before each election, compared with the certified result. FiveThirtyEight rated each name polls were published under separately. Across all 8,957 such polls, the average miss was D+0.7, so the relative figure takes out the misses every pollster shared that year.

Error is the poll's D−R margin minus the result's; D+ means it showed Democrats doing better than they did.
Published asPollsElectionsAverage missRelative to other pollsTypical size of miss538's last rating
Fabrizio, Lee & Associates102008–2022R+0.9R+1.04.2 pts1.7 of 3 · 0% partisan work
Fabrizio Lee & Associates/Impact Research12022D+0.6R+1.70.6 pts1.7 of 3

ABC News closed FiveThirtyEight in March 2025; its data stops at the 2022 elections. 2026 results will be added once states certify them.

§6Its polls

The 30 polls of its we list, newest first.
In the fieldQuestionResultWithPaid for bySample
September 20–September 22, 2026Governor · 2026 MaineHannah Pingree 52 · Bobby Charles 39 · Rick Bennett 6Impact ResearchAARP982 LV
September 20–September 22, 2026U.S. Senate · 2026 MaineTroy Jackson 50 · Susan Collins 47Impact ResearchAARP982 LV
September 8–September 11, 2026U.S. House · 2026 AK-01Nick Begich 57 · Bill Hill 43Impact ResearchAARP800 LV
September 8–September 11, 2026Governor · 2026 AlaskaJonathan Kreiss-Tomkins 55 · Bernadette Wilson 45Impact ResearchAARP800 LV
September 8–September 11, 2026U.S. Senate · 2026 AlaskaMary Peltola 53 · Dan Sullivan 47Impact ResearchAARP800 LV
August 9–August 11, 2026U.S. Senate · 2026 MichiganAbdul El-Sayed 48 · Mike Rogers 47Impact ResearchAARP877 LV
August 9–August 11, 2026Governor · 2026 MichiganJocelyn Benson 49 · John James 44Impact ResearchAARP877 LV
July 26–July 28, 2026Governor · 2026 ArizonaKatie Hobbs 52 · Andy Biggs 44Impact ResearchAARP913 LV
July 21–July 22, 2026U.S. House · 2026 FL-13Anna Paulina Luna 49 · Leela Gray 41400 LV
July 13–July 16, 2026Governor · 2026 GeorgiaKeisha Lance Bottoms 48 · Rick Jackson 46Impact ResearchAARP1,060 LV
July 13–July 16, 2026U.S. Senate · 2026 GeorgiaJon Ossoff 52 · Mike Collins 43Impact ResearchAARP1,060 LV
June 1–June 3, 2026U.S. Senate · 2026 MaineSusan Collins 46 · Graham Platner 46Pine Tree ResultsRepublican-aligned sponsor800 LV
January 20–January 24, 2026U.S. Senate · 2026 MaineSusan Collins 45 · Graham Platner 44Pine Tree ResultsRepublican-aligned sponsor800 LV
January 20–January 24, 2026U.S. Senate · 2026 MaineSusan Collins 45 · Janet Mills 44Pine Tree ResultsRepublican-aligned sponsor800 LV
December 15–December 17, 2025Generic congressional ballot · 2026Dem 45 · Rep 38Building America's FutureRepublican-aligned sponsor1,000 RV
July 16–July 20, 2025Job approval · Donald TrumpDisapprove 52 · Approve 46Impact ResearchThe Wall Street Journal1,500 RV
July 16–July 20, 2025Generic congressional ballot · 2026Dem 46 · Rep 43Impact ResearchThe Wall Street Journal1,500 RV
July 16–July 20, 2025Favorability · Supreme CourtUnfavorable 49 · Favorable 44Impact ResearchThe Wall Street Journal1,500 RV
July 16–July 20, 2025Favorability · Donald TrumpUnfavorable 52 · Favorable 45Impact ResearchThe Wall Street Journal1,500 RV
March 27–April 1, 2025Job approval · Donald TrumpDisapprove 51 · Approve 46Impact ResearchThe Wall Street Journal1,500 RV
March 27–April 1, 2025Favorability · Donald TrumpUnfavorable 51 · Favorable 47Impact ResearchThe Wall Street Journal1,500 RV
March 27–April 1, 2025Generic congressional ballot · 2026Dem 44 · Rep 43Impact ResearchThe Wall Street Journal1,500 RV
March 27–April 1, 2025Favorability · JD VanceUnfavorable 50 · Favorable 43Impact ResearchThe Wall Street Journal1,500 RV
January 27–February 1, 2025Job approval · Donald TrumpApprove 48 · Disapprove 47Impact ResearchAARP3,000 RV
January 27–February 1, 2025Generic congressional ballot · 2026Dem 43 · Rep 43Impact ResearchAARP3,000 RV
January 9–January 14, 2025Favorability · JD VanceUnfavorable 45 · Favorable 44GBAOThe Wall Street Journal750 RV
October 19–October 22, 2024Favorability · JD VanceUnfavorable 47 · Favorable 45GBAOThe Wall Street Journal1,500 RV
August 24–August 28, 2024Favorability · JD VanceUnfavorable 50 · Favorable 40GBAOThe Wall Street Journal1,500 RV
July 23–July 25, 2024Favorability · JD VanceUnfavorable 44 · Favorable 42GBAOThe Wall Street Journal1,000 RV
November 16–November 22, 2021Job approval · CongressDisapprove 66 · Approve 28Impact ResearchThe Wall Street Journal1,500 RV

§7What we looked for and didn't find

  • No office location was found on the pages read.
  • No start or end dates were found for the Wall Street Journal arrangement; our data also show joint bylines with GBAO, but no page read confirms that partnership.
  • AARP's 2026 battleground polls credit Fabrizio-Ward, which our directory lists as a separate pollster, so AARP is not recorded here as a client of this firm.
  • Its clients page also lists corporations and associations; these are not recorded as standing poll clients.
  • No fieldwork or panel vendor was named on the pages read.
  • Searches found no AAPOR statement, court ruling or filing, regulator action, aggregator statement about excluding or reweighting its polls, or retraction by the firm.