Pollster · Commercial firm

WPA Intelligence

Research draft
Polls since 2024
1
Latest poll ended
January 15, 2025
Record vs. results, relative
R+3.7

Polls from the VoteHub polling API, used under CC BY 4.0. Each result links to the pollster's or sponsor's own release. Imported once a day; a poll VoteHub later changes keeps its earlier version on record here.

§1About

Drafted by AI from the public sources cited. Each sentence links to its source.

WPA Intelligence is a polling and data firm; a questionnaire it prepared for the Club for Growth in January 2025 gives its address as 324 Second Street SE in Washington, D.C.1,2 A Columbia University School of Professional Studies speaker biography names Chris Wilson as chief executive of WPA Intelligence and says he started the firm in 2004 after serving as global director of research for Weber Shandwick International.2 The same biography says Wilson directed survey research and predictive analytics for Glenn Youngkin's 2021 campaign for governor of Virginia, work it says earned him the American Association of Political Consultants' Pollster of the Year award, and was data director for Never Back Down, a super PAC supporting Ron DeSantis, in 2023 and 2024.2

Kind
Commercial firm1,2
Founded
20042

§2Who it works with

Why this matters: Owners, news partners and the firms behind a poll's interviews shape what gets asked, how, and what gets published.

Polls regularly for

  • Club for Growth (2018–now). The Club for Growth website hosts WPA Intelligence work for its affiliates: an October 2018 memo for Club for Growth Action on a Texas statewide survey, an October 2024 memo for Club for Growth PAC on a Florida 13th District poll, and a January 2025 Georgia Senate questionnaire, and the Columbia biography lists the Club for Growth among the organizations the firm works with.1,2,3,4

Founded by

  • Chris Wilson (2004). The Columbia biography says Chris Wilson started WPA Intelligence in 2004.2

Led by

  • Chris Wilson. The Columbia biography names Chris Wilson as chief executive of WPA Intelligence.2

Who paid for its polls

Sponsors named on its polls, most polls first5. A party-aligned flag is VoteHub's, per poll.
SponsorPollsBetweenFlagged party-aligned
Club for Growth1January 15, 2025Republican-aligned sponsor (1)

§3Whom it works for

Why this matters: A firm that also works for one party's campaigns can still publish accurate polls, but readers deserve to know.

Works for Republican candidates or groups. The firm's own website could not be read, so this rests on the clients named in its chief executive's Columbia speaker biography: the Republican National Committee, the NRSC, the NRCC, the 2016 Cruz for President campaign and Glenn Youngkin's 2021 campaign for governor, along with the Club for Growth, FreedomWorks and the Family Research Council. No Democratic campaign or committee is named in the sources read.2

  • Republican National Committee. The Columbia biography lists the Republican National Committee among the organizations Wilson and WPA Intelligence work with.2
  • National Republican Senatorial Committee. The Columbia biography lists the NRSC among the organizations Wilson and WPA Intelligence work with.2
  • National Republican Congressional Committee. The Columbia biography lists the NRCC among the organizations Wilson and WPA Intelligence work with.2
  • Cruz for President (2016) (2016–2016). The Columbia biography says Wilson was director of research, analytics and digital strategy for the 2016 Cruz for President campaign.2
  • Glenn Youngkin for Governor (2021) (2021–2021). The Columbia biography says Wilson directed survey research and predictive analytics for Glenn Youngkin's 2021 campaign for governor of Virginia.2

Of its 1 poll listed since the 2024 election, VoteHub flags 0 as paid for by a Democratic-aligned sponsor and 1 by a Republican-aligned sponsor5.

Federal campaigns and committees that paid it

From 2023 through 2026, 29 federal committees reported paying WPA Intelligence $9,980,284 for polling, surveys or research6,7,8,9. By the party each committee reports to the FEC: 0 Democratic, 18 Republican, and 11 none (most PACs and super PACs report none).

The largest payers, by amount paid for polling, surveys or research. Only federal committees report to the FEC; state and local campaigns, work paid through another consultant, and polling billed as consulting are not here. Matched by the payee name on the filing: WPA INTELLIGENCE.
CommitteeKindParty it reportsPaid for pollingBetween
NEVER BACK DOWN INC.Super PACNone reported$7,898,746March 24, 2023 – February 20, 2024
LONE STAR LIBERTY PACSuper PACNone reported$337,852June 25, 2025 – May 18, 2026
PETE RICKETTS FOR SENATESenate campaignRepublican$222,986September 27, 2023 – July 3, 2025
CASE FOR CONGRESSHouse campaignRepublican$188,000January 25, 2024 – June 13, 2024
BRAD WILSON FOR U.S. SENATESenate campaignRepublican$158,104May 5, 2023 – May 23, 2024
JEFFERSON RISINGSuper PACNone reported$134,800May 3, 2024 – September 30, 2024
BIG RED LEADERSHIP PACSuper PACNone reported$111,821February 29, 2024 – October 21, 2024
FRED VON CANON FOR CONGRESSHouse campaignRepublican$106,859February 23, 2024 – March 1, 2024
THE GARVEY LEADERSHIP PACPACRepublican$80,294April 15, 2024 – May 17, 2024
REDDY FOR KANSASHouse campaignRepublican$71,550February 12, 2024 – October 15, 2024
VINCE FONG FOR CONGRESSHouse campaignRepublican$69,260February 15, 2024 – April 1, 2024
BICE FOR CONGRESSHouse campaignRepublican$68,600November 7, 2023 – July 23, 2024

§4Record against results

Why this matters: The one test that doesn't depend on other polls: how close a firm's final polls came to what voters did.

From FiveThirtyEight's final public data10,11: general-election polls between a Democrat and a Republican in the last three weeks before each election, compared with the certified result. FiveThirtyEight rated each name polls were published under separately. Across all 8,957 such polls, the average miss was D+0.7, so the relative figure takes out the misses every pollster shared that year.

Error is the poll's D−R margin minus the result's; D+ means it showed Democrats doing better than they did.
Published asPollsElectionsAverage missRelative to other pollsTypical size of miss538's last rating
WPA Intelligence171998–2022R+1.8R+3.76.7 pts1.7 of 3 · 1% partisan work

ABC News closed FiveThirtyEight in March 2025; its data stops at the 2022 elections. 2026 results will be added once states certify them.

§5Its polls

The 1 polls of its we list, newest first.
In the fieldQuestionResultWithPaid for bySample
January 14–January 15, 2025U.S. Senate · 2026 GeorgiaJon Ossoff 44 · Mike Collins 34Club for GrowthRepublican-aligned sponsor500 LV

§6What we looked for and didn't find

  • Its website, wpaintel.com, redirected on 2026-11-06 to a placeholder page for Pulse Decision Science that does not mention WPA; archived copies of its pages were refused by the Wayback Machine's bot block, and a 2017 Medium post announcing its change of name from WPA Opinion Research to WPA Intelligence returned HTTP 403. The firm's own description, team and client list were therefore not read, and whether it was renamed, sold or closed was not established.
  • Founded rests on the Columbia biography (2004); a 2017 court complaint listed under pointers says WPA has provided research services since 1998.
  • No standing news partners, co-pollsters or fieldwork vendors were found; its Club for Growth memos describe live telephone interviews but name no call center.
  • The sample release, a Politico article, refused automated requests and was not read.
  • Searches found a November 2017 federal class action complaint under the Telephone Consumer Protection Act, Mey v. WPA Intelligence (D.D.C. No. 1:17-cv-02350), listed under pointers; its outcome was not found because CourtListener refused automated requests, so no court finding is recorded.
  • Searches found no AAPOR statement, regulator action or retraction concerning the firm; aggregator statements about excluding or reweighting its polls are gathered in a separate sweep and were not searched here.