Pollster · Commercial firm

Victory Insights

Research draft
Polls since 2024
5
Latest poll ended
October 23, 2025

Polls from the VoteHub polling API, used under CC BY 4.0. Each result links to the pollster's or sponsor's own release. Imported once a day; a poll VoteHub later changes keeps its earlier version on record here.

§1About

Drafted by AI from the public sources cited. Each sentence links to its source.

Victory Insights LLC describes itself on its website as a political polling, data and outreach firm serving campaigns, public affairs efforts and private sector clients, and says it was founded to disrupt the polling industry after pollsters missed the 2016 Trump wave.1,2 Its 2025 North Carolina and New York City releases are signed by Ben Galbraith as senior pollster.3,4 Its July 2025 North Carolina release says the poll was not commissioned by any candidate or political committee and was conducted by text-to-web, interactive voice response and live calls it describes as conducted by an AI agent.3 Its polls page lists releases from 2020 through October 2026, many of them on Republican primaries in Florida and other states.5

Kind
Commercial firm1,2

§2Whom it works for

Why this matters: A firm that also works for one party's campaigns can still publish accurate polls, but readers deserve to know.

Doesn’t say whom it works for. Its website does not say whether it works for one party, its July and October 2025 releases say those polls were not commissioned by any candidate or committee, and the pages read name no campaign or party clients.2,3,4

Of its 5 polls listed since the 2024 election, VoteHub flags 0 as paid for by a Democratic-aligned sponsor and 0 by a Republican-aligned sponsor6.

Federal campaigns and committees that paid it

From 2023 through 2026, 3 federal committees reported paying Victory Insights $29,300 for polling, surveys or research7,8,9,10. By the party each committee reports to the FEC: 0 Democratic, 3 Republican, and 0 none (most PACs and super PACs report none).

The largest payers, by amount paid for polling, surveys or research. Only federal committees report to the FEC; state and local campaigns, work paid through another consultant, and polling billed as consulting are not here. Matched by the payee name on the filing: VICTORY INSIGHTS; VICTORY INSIGHTS LLC.
CommitteeKindParty it reportsPaid for pollingBetween
KEITH GROSS FOR FLORIDAHouse campaignRepublican$25,000October 17, 2023
PETER HERNANDEZ FOR CONGRESSHouse campaignRepublican$4,000November 27, 2023
BETTS FOR TEXASHouse campaignRepublican$300February 12, 2026

§3Record against results

Why this matters: The one test that doesn't depend on other polls: how close a firm's final polls came to what voters did.

From FiveThirtyEight's final public data11,12: general-election polls between a Democrat and a Republican in the last three weeks before each election, compared with the certified result. FiveThirtyEight rated each name polls were published under separately. Across all 8,957 such polls, the average miss was D+0.7, so the relative figure takes out the misses every pollster shared that year.

Error is the poll's D−R margin minus the result's; D+ means it showed Democrats doing better than they did.
Published asPollsElectionsAverage missRelative to other pollsTypical size of miss538's last rating
Victory Insights22022D+9.6D+0.69.6 pts1.3 of 3

ABC News closed FiveThirtyEight in March 2025; its data stops at the 2022 elections. 2026 results will be added once states certify them.

§4Its polls

The 5 polls of its we list, newest first.
In the fieldQuestionResultWithPaid for bySample
October 22–October 23, 2025Mayor · 2025 New York CityZohran Mamdani 47 · Andrew Cuomo 29 · Curtis Sliwa 16500 LV
July 28–July 30, 2025U.S. Senate · 2026 North CarolinaRoy Cooper 44.4 · Michael Whatley 43.5600 LV
June 7–June 10, 2025Governor · 2026 FloridaByron Donalds 36.7 · David Jolly 31.4600 LV
November 26–November 29, 2024U.S. Senate · 2026 North CarolinaRoy Cooper 45.5 · Lara Trump 44.3800 LV
November 26–November 29, 2024U.S. Senate · 2026 North CarolinaRoy Cooper 45.1 · Thom Thillis 44.1800 LV

§5What we looked for and didn't find

  • No founding year, leadership list or headquarters was found; its website gives a phone number but no address, and Ben Galbraith's role is known only from the senior pollster signature on its releases.
  • The victoryinsights.com address given in its releases now shows a parked domain page; the firm's site was read at victory-insights.com.
  • No news partner, non-news client or fieldwork vendor was named on the pages read.
  • On 2026-11-06 AAPOR's statements list (five pages), FiftyPlusOne's August 2026 notice suspending pollsters and web searches for court cases, regulator actions, aggregator statements and retractions or corrections naming Victory Insights found none; NBC News reported in August 2023 that the RNC did not count one of its national polls toward a candidate's debate qualification because it sampled 38 states, a party's debate rule rather than a finding that is listed under pointers, and no FEC ruling on that candidate's related complaint was found.