Pollster · Commercial firm
Victory Insights
- Polls since 2024
- 5
- Latest poll ended
- October 23, 2025
Polls from the VoteHub polling API, used under CC BY 4.0. Each result links to the pollster's or sponsor's own release. Imported once a day; a poll VoteHub later changes keeps its earlier version on record here.
§1About
Drafted by AI from the public sources cited. Each sentence links to its source.
Victory Insights LLC describes itself on its website as a political polling, data and outreach firm serving campaigns, public affairs efforts and private sector clients, and says it was founded to disrupt the polling industry after pollsters missed the 2016 Trump wave.1,
§2Whom it works for
Why this matters: A firm that also works for one party's campaigns can still publish accurate polls, but readers deserve to know.
Doesn’t say whom it works for. Its website does not say whether it works for one party, its July and October 2025 releases say those polls were not commissioned by any candidate or committee, and the pages read name no campaign or party clients.2,
Of its 5 polls listed since the 2024 election, VoteHub flags 0 as paid for by a Democratic-aligned sponsor and 0 by a Republican-aligned sponsor6.
Federal campaigns and committees that paid it
From 2023 through 2026, 3 federal committees reported paying Victory Insights $29,300 for polling, surveys or research7,
| Committee | Kind | Party it reports | Paid for polling | Between |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| KEITH GROSS FOR FLORIDA | House campaign | Republican | $25,000 | October 17, 2023 |
| PETER HERNANDEZ FOR CONGRESS | House campaign | Republican | $4,000 | November 27, 2023 |
| BETTS FOR TEXAS | House campaign | Republican | $300 | February 12, 2026 |
§3Record against results
Why this matters: The one test that doesn't depend on other polls: how close a firm's final polls came to what voters did.
From FiveThirtyEight's final public data11,
| Published as | Polls | Elections | Average miss | Relative to other polls | Typical size of miss | 538's last rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Victory Insights | 2 | 2022 | D+9.6 | D+0.6 | 9.6 pts | 1.3 of 3 |
ABC News closed FiveThirtyEight in March 2025; its data stops at the 2022 elections. 2026 results will be added once states certify them.
§4Its polls
| In the field | Question | Result | With | Paid for by | Sample |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| October 22–October 23, 2025 | Mayor · 2025 New York City | Zohran Mamdani 47 · Andrew Cuomo 29 · Curtis Sliwa 16 | 500 LV | ||
| July 28–July 30, 2025 | U.S. Senate · 2026 North Carolina | Roy Cooper 44.4 · Michael Whatley 43.5 | 600 LV | ||
| June 7–June 10, 2025 | Governor · 2026 Florida | Byron Donalds 36.7 · David Jolly 31.4 | 600 LV | ||
| November 26–November 29, 2024 | U.S. Senate · 2026 North Carolina | Roy Cooper 45.5 · Lara Trump 44.3 | 800 LV | ||
| November 26–November 29, 2024 | U.S. Senate · 2026 North Carolina | Roy Cooper 45.1 · Thom Thillis 44.1 | 800 LV |
§5What we looked for and didn't find
- No founding year, leadership list or headquarters was found; its website gives a phone number but no address, and Ben Galbraith's role is known only from the senior pollster signature on its releases.
- The victoryinsights.com address given in its releases now shows a parked domain page; the firm's site was read at victory-insights.com.
- No news partner, non-news client or fieldwork vendor was named on the pages read.
- On 2026-11-06 AAPOR's statements list (five pages), FiftyPlusOne's August 2026 notice suspending pollsters and web searches for court cases, regulator actions, aggregator statements and retractions or corrections naming Victory Insights found none; NBC News reported in August 2023 that the RNC did not count one of its national polls toward a candidate's debate qualification because it sampled 38 states, a party's debate rule rather than a finding that is listed under pointers, and no FEC ruling on that candidate's related complaint was found.