Pollster · Academic

University of Massachusetts Lowell Center for Public Opinion

AAPOR Transparency Initiative since April 16, 20151Research draft
Polls since 2024
13
Latest poll ended
October 19, 2026
House effect vs. other polls
D+0.1
Record vs. results, relative
D+0.2

Polls from the VoteHub polling API, used under CC BY 4.0. Each result links to the pollster's or sponsor's own release. Imported once a day; a poll VoteHub later changes keeps its earlier version on record here.

§1About

Drafted by AI from the public sources cited. Each sentence links to its source.

The Center for Public Opinion at the University of Massachusetts Lowell says it presents events and polling on political and social issues to give students and faculty opportunities for civic engagement and research.2,3 Its contacts page names Joshua Dyck as director, Rodrigo Castro Cornejo and Kelly Socia as associate directors, and John Cluverius as director of survey research.4 A September 2026 university release says the center was marking its 15th anniversary year and that UMass Lowell funded that Maine poll, which YouGov fielded.5

Kind
Academic3

§2Who it works with

Why this matters: Owners, news partners and the firms behind a poll's interviews shape what gets asked, how, and what gets published.

Part of

  • University of Massachusetts Lowell. The center's pages are part of the UMass Lowell website, and its methodology statements name the university as the Transparency Initiative member.3,6

Fieldwork or panel by

  • YouGov. Its March 2026 national methodology statement lists the center as sponsor and questionnaire designer and YouGov as the fieldwork firm, and its September 2026 Maine release says YouGov fielded that poll.5,6

Led by

  • Joshua Dyck. The center's contacts page names Joshua Dyck as director.4

Published with

Names its polls have been published under, alongside other pollsters or news outlets.

  • University of Massachusetts Lowell Center for Public Opinion/YouGov: YouGov · 13 polls listed

§3Whom it works for

Why this matters: A firm that also works for one party's campaigns can still publish accurate polls, but readers deserve to know.

Says it does no work for parties or candidates. Its September 2026 Maine release describes the survey as nonpartisan and says UMass Lowell funded it; the pages read do not say whether the center takes work from candidates or parties.5

Of its 13 polls listed since the 2024 election, VoteHub flags 0 as paid for by a Democratic-aligned sponsor and 0 by a Republican-aligned sponsor7.

§4How its numbers compare with other polls

Why this matters: A firm whose polls run steadily to one side of everyone else's is worth reading alongside others.

Each of its polls since the 2024 election is compared with other pollsters' polls of the same question whose field period ended within 14 days, each other pollster counted once7. The figure is the average gap, with a 95% margin. This compares it with other polls, not with the truth: the others can be the ones that are off.

Party margin
D+0.1 (±1.9) across 8 polls of the generic ballot and 2026 races, in 8 contests.

D+ means its polls showed Democrats doing better than other polls did; R+, Republicans. A figure from fewer than 5 polls isn't shown.

§5Record against results

Why this matters: The one test that doesn't depend on other polls: how close a firm's final polls came to what voters did.

From FiveThirtyEight's final public data8,9: general-election polls between a Democrat and a Republican in the last three weeks before each election, compared with the certified result. FiveThirtyEight rated each name polls were published under separately. Across all 8,957 such polls, the average miss was D+0.7, so the relative figure takes out the misses every pollster shared that year.

Error is the poll's D−R margin minus the result's; D+ means it showed Democrats doing better than they did.
Published asPollsElectionsAverage missRelative to other pollsTypical size of miss538's last rating
University of Massachusetts Lowell Center for Public Opinion212012–2022D+1.6D+0.23.4 pts2.9 of 3

ABC News closed FiveThirtyEight in March 2025; its data stops at the 2022 elections. 2026 results will be added once states certify them.

§6Its polls

The 13 polls of its we list, newest first.
In the fieldQuestionResultWithPaid for bySample
October 2–October 19, 2026Governor · 2026 New HampshireKelly Ayotte 48 · Cinde Warmington 42 · Stephen Villee 3YouGov600 LV
October 2–October 19, 2026U.S. Senate · 2026 New HampshireChris Pappas 48 · John Sununu 41 · Edmond Laplante 4YouGov600 LV
October 7–October 18, 2026U.S. Senate · 2026 MassachusettsEd Markey 55 · John Deaton 26YouGov850 LV
October 7–October 18, 2026Governor · 2026 MassachusettsMaura Healy 57 · Michael Minogue 29 · Andrea James 4YouGov850 LV
September 18–September 28, 2026Governor · 2026 TexasGreg Abbott 48 · Gina Hinojosa 44 · Pat Dixon 1YouGov850 LV
September 18–September 28, 2026U.S. Senate · 2026 TexasJames Talarico 45 · Ken Paxton 45 · Ted Brown 2YouGov850 LV
August 28–September 14, 2026Governor · 2026 MaineHannah Pingree 49 · Bobby Charles 38YouGov650 LV
August 28–September 14, 2026U.S. Senate · 2026 MaineTroy Jackson 48 · Susan Collins 43YouGov650 LV
May 13–May 16, 2026U.S. Senate · 2026 MaineGraham Platner 48 · Susan Collins 43YouGov650 LV
March 26–March 30, 2026Generic congressional ballot · 2026Dem 38 · Rep 35YouGov1,000 A
March 26–March 30, 2026Job approval · Donald TrumpDisapprove 61 · Approve 39YouGov1,000 A
March 26–March 30, 2026Favorability · Donald TrumpUnfavorable 54 · Favorable 36YouGov1,000 A
March 26–March 30, 2026Favorability · JD VanceUnfavorable 45 · Favorable 35YouGov1,000 A

§7What we looked for and didn't find

  • No founding year was found; the September 2026 release refers only to a 15th anniversary year.
  • No standing news partner or outside client was named in the releases read.
  • No ownership beyond the university was found, and the pages read do not say which college or department the center sits in.
  • Searches for AAPOR statements, court cases, regulator actions, aggregator exclusion statements and retractions found nothing naming the center.