Pollster · Commercial firm
The Tyson Group
- Polls since 2024
- 5
- Latest poll ended
- October 8, 2026
- Record vs. results, relative
- D+0.2
Polls from the VoteHub polling API, used under CC BY 4.0. Each result links to the pollster's or sponsor's own release. Imported once a day; a poll VoteHub later changes keeps its earlier version on record here.
§1About
Drafted by AI from the public sources cited. Each sentence links to its source.
The Tyson Group describes itself on its website as a national full-service public opinion research consultancy offering phone and online surveys, focus groups and text message campaigns.1 Its website names Ryan Tyson as its founder, president and chief executive and lists Alex Alvarado and Derek Falcon as partners.1 A 2021 guest biography on the Breaking Battlegrounds podcast described it as a Florida-based center-right polling and market research firm with polling experience in 48 states.2 Its June 2025 national survey says it used a probability-based online panel, and its July 2026 Florida memo says interviews were done by live phone and text-to-web.3,
- Kind
- Commercial firm1
§2Who it works with
Why this matters: Owners, news partners and the firms behind a poll's interviews shape what gets asked, how, and what gets published.
Founded by
- Ryan Tyson. Its website says Ryan Tyson founded The Tyson Group.1
Led by
Who paid for its polls
| Sponsor | Polls | Between | Flagged party-aligned |
|---|---|---|---|
| Alliance for a Better Future | 2 | September 27, 2026 – October 8, 2026 | Republican-aligned sponsor (2) |
§3Whom it works for
Why this matters: A firm that also works for one party's campaigns can still publish accurate polls, but readers deserve to know.
Works for Republican candidates or groups. Its website names work by founder Ryan Tyson for Republicans only: independent expenditure campaigns supporting President Trump, polling for Governor Ron DeSantis, advice to Senator Marco Rubio and the 2020 Trump campaign in Florida; a 2021 podcast biography described the firm as center-right. This rests on the clients it names.1,
- Ron DeSantis. Its website says Ryan Tyson served as pollster and senior adviser to Governor Ron DeSantis.1
- Donald Trump (2020–now). Its website says Ryan Tyson was a senior adviser to the 2020 Trump campaign in Florida and has advised independent expenditure campaigns supporting President Trump.1
Of its 5 polls listed since the 2024 election, VoteHub flags 0 as paid for by a Democratic-aligned sponsor and 2 by a Republican-aligned sponsor5.
Federal campaigns and committees that paid it
From 2023 through 2026, 9 federal committees reported paying The Tyson Group $930,875 for polling, surveys or research6,
| Committee | Kind | Party it reports | Paid for polling | Between |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| RESTORE OUR NATION (RON PAC) | PAC | Republican | $609,675 | July 27, 2023 – October 25, 2023 |
| RIGHT FOR AMERICA | Super PAC | None reported | $96,000 | October 8, 2024 |
| STRONG LEADERS FUND | Super PAC | None reported | $70,750 | March 22, 2024 – April 25, 2024 |
| SALAZAR FOR CONGRESS | House campaign | Republican | $68,350 | July 9, 2024 – June 18, 2026 |
| FIGHT FOR FLORIDA PAC | Super PAC | None reported | $26,000 | June 17, 2024 |
| NRCC | Party committee | Republican | $18,500 | July 12, 2024 |
| CONSERVATIVE ACTION FUND | Super PAC | None reported | $15,600 | June 18, 2024 |
| AMERICAN PATRIOTS PAC | Super PAC | None reported | $13,500 | July 26, 2024 |
| BILIRAKIS FOR CONGRESS | House campaign | Republican | $12,500 | July 23, 2026 |
§4Record against results
Why this matters: The one test that doesn't depend on other polls: how close a firm's final polls came to what voters did.
From FiveThirtyEight's final public data10,
| Published as | Polls | Elections | Average miss | Relative to other polls | Typical size of miss | 538's last rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| The Tyson Group | 12 | 2004–2016 | D+0.5 | D+0.2 | 3.3 pts | 1.1 of 3 · 0% partisan work |
ABC News closed FiveThirtyEight in March 2025; its data stops at the 2022 elections. 2026 results will be added once states certify them.
§5Its polls
| In the field | Question | Result | With | Paid for by | Sample |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| October 6–October 8, 2026 | U.S. Senate · 2026 Michigan | Mike Rogers 46 · Abdul El-Sayed 44 | Alliance for a Better FutureRepublican-aligned sponsor | 600 LV | |
| September 24–September 27, 2026 | U.S. Senate · 2026 Michigan | Abdul El-Sayed 44 · Mike Rogers 43 | Alliance for a Better FutureRepublican-aligned sponsor | 600 LV | |
| June 25–June 26, 2025 | Job approval · Donald Trump | Disapprove 51 · Approve 45 | 1,027 A | ||
| June 25–June 26, 2025 | Favorability · JD Vance | Unfavorable 47 · Favorable 46 | 1,027 A | ||
| June 25–June 26, 2025 | Favorability · Donald Trump | Unfavorable 50 · Favorable 47 | 1,027 A |
§6What we looked for and didn't find
- No founding year or headquarters address was found on its website.
- VoteHub lists Alliance for a Better Future as a sponsor of one of its polls; a Breitbart report on that October 2026 Michigan poll did not name the pollster, and no standing arrangement was found.
- No news partner or fieldwork vendor was named; the June 2025 survey does not name its panel provider.
- One search for court cases, regulator actions and lawsuits found none naming the firm; a news report on court records about a Tallahassee strategist is listed under pointers because it does not concern the firm's polls. No separate searches were run for AAPOR statements, aggregator statements or retractions.
- Searches on 2026-11-06 for AAPOR statements, court rulings or settlements, regulator actions, aggregator decisions and retractions or corrections found none naming The Tyson Group or its polls, and Silver Bulletin's ratings chart on Datawrapper, updated January 12, 2026, grades it B/C rather than the F it gives banned pollsters.