Pollster · Commercial firm

Targoz Market Research

AAPOR Transparency Initiative since January 27, 20251Research draft
Polls since 2024
23
Latest poll ended
October 25, 2026
House effect vs. other polls
R+3.1
Record vs. results, relative
D+0.5

Polls from the VoteHub polling API, used under CC BY 4.0. Each result links to the pollster's or sponsor's own release. Imported once a day; a poll VoteHub later changes keeps its earlier version on record here.

§1About

Drafted by AI from the public sources cited. Each sentence links to its source.

Targoz Market Research is a Nashville, Tennessee firm that says it does public opinion research, consumer intelligence and market strategy work for corporations, government agencies, industry associations and nonprofits.2,3 Its about page names Randy Ellison as president and founder and says the firm was founded in 2007.3 It also sells PollSmart, a self-service statewide polling product.4 It says it conducted the January 2026 Beacon Poll for the Beacon Center of Tennessee and its TennSight platform, and a South Carolina Policy Council disclosure lists that group as the sponsor of a poll Targoz fielded from January 24 to February 1, 2026.5,6

Kind
Commercial firm2,3
Founded
20072,3

§2Who it works with

Why this matters: Owners, news partners and the firms behind a poll's interviews shape what gets asked, how, and what gets published.

Polls regularly for

  • The James Madison Institute (2025–now). Targoz says it conducted the JMI Poll of Florida Voters for the James Madison Institute in September 2025 and again in February 2026.7,8

Fieldwork or panel by

  • PureSpectrum (2026–now). The South Carolina Policy Council's disclosure for a January 2026 Targoz poll says the sample was sourced through PureSpectrum from up to 23 online panel providers.6

Founded by

  • Randy Ellison (2007). The Targoz about page names Randy Ellison as founder.3

Led by

  • Randy Ellison. The Targoz about page names Randy Ellison as president.3

Published with

Names its polls have been published under, alongside other pollsters or news outlets.

Who paid for its polls

Sponsors named on its polls, most polls first9. A party-aligned flag is VoteHub's, per poll.
SponsorPollsBetweenFlagged party-aligned
Overton Insights6March 28, 2025 – June 26, 2025No
The James Madison Institute6September 18, 2025 – October 4, 2026No
Beacon Center of Tennessee3April 27, 2026 – August 26, 2026No
South Carolina Policy Council2October 25, 2026No

§3Whom it works for

Why this matters: A firm that also works for one party's campaigns can still publish accurate polls, but readers deserve to know.

Doesn’t say whom it works for. The Targoz website calls the firm independent and objective but does not say whether it works for candidates or parties; the clients it names in 2025 and 2026 posts are the James Madison Institute, the Beacon Center of Tennessee and the South Carolina Policy Council.2,3,8

Of its 23 polls listed since the 2024 election, VoteHub flags 0 as paid for by a Democratic-aligned sponsor and 0 by a Republican-aligned sponsor9.

§4How its numbers compare with other polls

Why this matters: A firm whose polls run steadily to one side of everyone else's is worth reading alongside others.

Each of its polls since the 2024 election is compared with other pollsters' polls of the same question whose field period ended within 14 days, each other pollster counted once9. The figure is the average gap, with a 95% margin. This compares it with other polls, not with the truth: the others can be the ones that are off.

Party margin
R+3.1 (±2.4) across 7 polls of the generic ballot and 2026 races, in 4 contests.

D+ means its polls showed Democrats doing better than other polls did; R+, Republicans. A figure from fewer than 5 polls isn't shown.

§5Record against results

Why this matters: The one test that doesn't depend on other polls: how close a firm's final polls came to what voters did.

From FiveThirtyEight's final public data10,11: general-election polls between a Democrat and a Republican in the last three weeks before each election, compared with the certified result. FiveThirtyEight rated each name polls were published under separately. Across all 8,957 such polls, the average miss was D+0.7, so the relative figure takes out the misses every pollster shared that year.

Error is the poll's D−R margin minus the result's; D+ means it showed Democrats doing better than they did.
Published asPollsElectionsAverage missRelative to other pollsTypical size of miss538's last rating
Targoz Market Research242018–2022D+2.2D+0.55.9 pts1.8 of 3

ABC News closed FiveThirtyEight in March 2025; its data stops at the 2022 elections. 2026 results will be added once states certify them.

§6Its polls

The 23 polls of its we list, newest first.
In the fieldQuestionResultWithPaid for bySample
October 16–October 25, 2026Governor · 2026 South CarolinaAlan Wilson 51 · Jermaine Johnson 41 · Michael Addison 1 · Walid Hakim 1South Carolina Policy Council895 LV
October 16–October 25, 2026U.S. Senate · 2026 South CarolinaDarline Graham 47 · Annie Andrews 46 · Kasie Whitener 2 · Mark Hackett 1South Carolina Policy Council895 LV
September 28–October 4, 2026Governor · 2026 FloridaByron Donalds 52 · David Jolly 42The James Madison Institute857 LV
September 28–October 4, 2026U.S. Senate · 2026 FloridaAshley Moody 50 · Angie Nixon 38The James Madison Institute1,200 RV
September 28–October 4, 2026U.S. Senate · 2026 FloridaAshley Moody 52 · Angie Nixon 42The James Madison Institute857 LV
September 28–October 4, 2026Governor · 2026 FloridaByron Donalds 48 · David Jolly 391,200 RV
August 15–August 26, 2026U.S. Senate · 2026 TennesseeBill Hagerty 51 · Marquita Bradshaw 31Beacon Center of Tennessee1,157 RV
August 15–August 26, 2026Governor · 2026 TennesseeMarsha Blackburn 46 · Jerri Green 33 · Independent 8Beacon Center of Tennessee1,149 RV
July 20–July 26, 2026Governor · 2026 FloridaByron Donalds 45 · David Jolly 38The James Madison Institute1,026 RV
July 20–July 26, 2026Governor · 2026 FloridaJay Collins 44 · David Jolly 39The James Madison Institute1,027 LV
April 20–April 27, 2026Governor · 2026 TennesseeMarsha Blackburn 51 · Jerri Green 27Beacon Center of Tennessee1,157 RV
February 13–February 16, 2026Governor · 2026 FloridaByron Donalds 36 · David Jolly 341,200 RV
October 27–October 29, 2025Presidential primary · 2028 RepublicanJD Vance 34 · Donald Trump Jr. 22 · Ron DeSantis 12 · Robert F. Kennedy Jr. 8 · Marco Rubio 7 · Vivek Ramaswamy 5 · 1 moreOverton Insights444 RV
October 27–October 29, 2025Job approval · Donald TrumpDisapprove 55 · Approve 43Overton Insights1,200 RV
October 27–October 29, 2025Presidential primary · 2028 DemocraticKamala Harris 35 · Gavin Newsom 23 · Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 7 · Pete Buttigieg 7 · Cory Booker 5 · Josh Shapiro 5 · 4 moreOverton Insights396 RV
October 27–October 29, 2025Favorability · JD VanceUnfavorable 49 · Favorable 40Overton Insights1,200 RV
September 16–September 18, 2025Governor · 2026 FloridaByron Donalds 36 · David Jolly 32The James Madison Institute1,118 RV
June 23–June 26, 2025Presidential primary · 2028 DemocraticKamala Harris 30 · Pete Buttigieg 10 · Gavin Newsom 8 · Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 7 · Cory Booker 7 · Tim Walz 4 · 11 more396 RV
June 23–June 26, 2025Presidential primary · 2028 DemocraticKamala Harris 38 · Pete Buttigieg 11 · Gavin Newsom 10 · Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 7 · Josh Shapiro 7 · Tim Walz 7 · 4 more396 RV
June 23–June 26, 2025Job approval · Donald TrumpDisapprove 54 · Approve 431,200 RV
March 24–March 28, 2025Job approval · Donald TrumpDisapprove 51 · Approve 461,200 RV
March 24–March 28, 2025Presidential primary · 2028 RepublicanJ.D. Vance 36 · Donald Trump Jr. 31 · Ron DeSantis 13 · Vivek Ramswamy 6 · Marco Rubio 6536 RV
March 24–March 28, 2025Presidential primary · 2028 DemocraticKamala Harris 48 · Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 15 · Gavin Newsom 10 · Josh Shapiro 9 · Gretchen Whitmer 6 · Wes Moore 3 · 1 more512 RV

§7What we looked for and didn't find

  • Our data show joint Overton Insights/Targoz Market Research bylines, but the Overton Insights pages read do not mention Targoz, so no relationship is recorded.
  • The Beacon Center and South Carolina Policy Council polls are each documented once on the pages read, so neither is recorded as a standing client.
  • Ownership was not stated on the pages read.
  • No news-outlet partner was found.
  • Searches found no AAPOR statement, court ruling or filing, regulator action, aggregator statement about excluding or reweighting its polls, or retraction by the firm.