Pollster · Nonprofit

State Navigate

Research draft
Polls since 2024
6
Latest poll ended
October 28, 2026

Polls from the VoteHub polling API, used under CC BY 4.0. Each result links to the pollster's or sponsor's own release. Imported once a day; a poll VoteHub later changes keeps its earlier version on record here.

§1About

Drafted by AI from the public sources cited. Each sentence links to its source.

State Navigate describes itself as a nonpartisan 501(c)(3) nonprofit that publishes state legislative and governor data, forecasts, news and polls.1,2 Its about page says founder Chaz Nuttycombe became executive director in July 2025, that its staff work from four states in the Northeast and South, and that its board, chaired by Monica Huegel, is evenly divided by party identification.2 Governing reported in November 2024 that Nuttycombe, who forecast legislative elections through CNalysis, planned to start State Navigate after that year's election.3 Its donors page lists 2026 gifts from organizations including Dominion Energy, West Virginia Strong and the West Virginia Building and Construction Trades, and from sitting state legislators in Virginia, West Virginia and South Carolina.4 Its poll articles, such as an October 2026 Vermont governor poll of 1,752 likely voters, credit the work to its own polling team.5

Kind
Nonprofit1,2

§2Who it works with

Why this matters: Owners, news partners and the firms behind a poll's interviews shape what gets asked, how, and what gets published.

Founded by

  • Chaz Nuttycombe. Its about page says Chaz Nuttycombe founded State Navigate.2

Led by

  • Chaz Nuttycombe (2025-07–now). Its about page says Nuttycombe became executive director in July 2025.2

§3Whom it works for

Why this matters: A firm that also works for one party's campaigns can still publish accurate polls, but readers deserve to know.

Says it does no work for parties or candidates. It describes itself as nonpartisan and says it does not endorse or support any candidate, campaign, PAC or politician; its polling fund page says parties, candidates, PACs and caucus or campaign committees may not sponsor its polls or poll questions and that it does no private polling.1,6

Of its 6 polls listed since the 2024 election, VoteHub flags 0 as paid for by a Democratic-aligned sponsor and 0 by a Republican-aligned sponsor7.

§42026 record against the count

Why this matters: How close this pollster's last 2026 polls came to how people voted, measured the way FiveThirtyEight measured earlier elections.

2 polls of 2 races between a Democrat and a Republican, with field periods ending in the 21 days before November 3, 2026, compared with each race's count. Some of those races are still being counted, so these figures use the unofficial count and will change until states certify.

Average miss
D+0.4
Relative to other polls of the same races
R+3.0
Typical size of miss
3.2 pts

Error is the poll's D−R margin minus the count's, as shares of all votes in the race; D+ means it showed Democrats doing better than they did. From fewer than 5 polls, so read it as a few data points, not a pattern.

§5Its polls

The 6 polls of its we list, newest first.
In the fieldQuestionResultWithPaid for bySample
October 26–October 28, 2026Governor · 2026 MinnesotaAmy Klobuchar 52 · Lisa Demuth 42 · Steven Young 3806 LV
October 23–October 25, 2026Governor · 2026 VermontPhil Scott 49 · Amanda Janoo 461,752 LV
October 26–October 28, 2025Governor · 2025 VirginiaAbigail Spanberger 54.4 · Winsome Earle-Sears 41.1614 LV
October 26–October 28, 2025Attorney general · 2025 VirginiaJay Jones 49.4 · Jason Miyares 45.6614 LV
October 17–October 20, 2025Governor · 2025 VirginiaAbigail Spanberger 55 · Winsome Earle-Sears 42689 LV
October 17–October 20, 2025Attorney general · 2025 VirginiaJay Jones 50 · Jason Miyares 45689 LV

§6What we looked for and didn't find

  • No founding date was found; Governing reported the plan in November 2024 and the about page dates Nuttycombe's directorship from July 2025.
  • Its polling fund page describes text-to-web polling of registered voters but names no fieldwork or sample vendor, and the 2026 poll articles read do not name one.
  • No standing news partner or poll sponsor was found.
  • The Virginia poll page among its sample releases returned not found.
  • A web search found no retraction or correction by it, and AAPOR's statements list (five pages, read on 2026-11-06) names none; targeted searches for court cases, regulator actions and aggregator statements could not be run after the session's web search budget ran out.