Pollster

St. Pete Polls

Research draft
Polls since 2024
4
Latest poll ended
October 7, 2026
Record vs. results, relative
R+0.9

Polls from the VoteHub polling API, used under CC BY 4.0. Each result links to the pollster's or sponsor's own release. Imported once a day; a poll VoteHub later changes keeps its earlier version on record here.

§1About

Drafted by AI from the public sources cited. Each sentence links to its source.

St. Pete Polls is a Florida polling operation whose 2022 reports give an office in St. Petersburg, name Matt Florell as president, and carry a Fextel, Inc. copyright notice.1,2 Those reports say its polls are conducted through an automated phone call system using the state's registered voter lists, with results weighted by race, age, gender and media market.1 According to a 2013 Creative Loafing Tampa profile, Florell's main business was leasing and managing hosted phone systems, and he had begun polling local St. Petersburg races about two years earlier.3

§2Who it works with

Why this matters: Owners, news partners and the firms behind a poll's interviews shape what gets asked, how, and what gets published.

News partners

  • Florida Politics. St. Pete Polls statewide reports dated May 3 and June 17, 2022 each say the survey was conducted for FloridaPolitics.com.1,2

Led by

  • Matt Florell. Its 2022 poll reports name Matt Florell as president.1,2

Who paid for its polls

Sponsors named on its polls, most polls first4. A party-aligned flag is VoteHub's, per poll.
SponsorPollsBetweenFlagged party-aligned
Florida Politics4September 17, 2026 – October 7, 2026No

§3Whom it works for

Why this matters: A firm that also works for one party's campaigns can still publish accurate polls, but readers deserve to know.

Doesn’t say whom it works for. The St. Pete Polls website and reports read do not say whether it works for candidates or parties.1,5

Of its 4 polls listed since the 2024 election, VoteHub flags 0 as paid for by a Democratic-aligned sponsor and 0 by a Republican-aligned sponsor4.

§4Record against results

Why this matters: The one test that doesn't depend on other polls: how close a firm's final polls came to what voters did.

From FiveThirtyEight's final public data6,7: general-election polls between a Democrat and a Republican in the last three weeks before each election, compared with the certified result. FiveThirtyEight rated each name polls were published under separately. Across all 8,957 such polls, the average miss was D+0.7, so the relative figure takes out the misses every pollster shared that year.

Error is the poll's D−R margin minus the result's; D+ means it showed Democrats doing better than they did.
Published asPollsElectionsAverage missRelative to other pollsTypical size of miss538's last rating
St. Pete Polls242012–2022D+0.1R+0.94.8 pts2.4 of 3

ABC News closed FiveThirtyEight in March 2025; its data stops at the 2022 elections. 2026 results will be added once states certify them.

§5Its polls

The 4 polls of its we list, newest first.
In the fieldQuestionResultWithPaid for bySample
October 5–October 7, 2026Governor · 2026 FloridaByron Donalds 45 · David Jolly 45Florida Politics836 LV
October 5–October 7, 2026U.S. Senate · 2026 FloridaAshley Moody 47 · Angie Nixon 45Florida Politics836 LV
September 15–September 17, 2026Governor · 2026 FloridaByron Donalds 43.5 · David Jolly 43.4Florida Politics913 LV
September 15–September 17, 2026U.S. Senate · 2026 FloridaAshley Moody 45.2 · Angie Nixon 44.8Florida Politics913 LV

§6What we looked for and didn't find

  • No founding year was found, and its pages do not describe its legal form or how it relates to Fextel, Inc. beyond the copyright notice, so kind is left empty.
  • The stpetepolls.org home page read shows mostly 2013-era content and its methodology page returned not found; the Florida Politics articles carrying its 2025 and 2026 polls returned HTTP 402, so the most recent primary documents read are from 2022.
  • No start or end date for the Florida Politics arrangement was found, and no other clients were named.
  • Searches on 2026-11-06 for AAPOR statements, court rulings or settlements, regulator actions including FCC robocall enforcement, aggregator decisions and retractions or corrections found none naming St. Pete Polls, Matt Florell or Fextel, and Silver Bulletin's ratings chart on Datawrapper, updated January 12, 2026, grades it C+ rather than the F it gives banned pollsters.