Pollster

Redfield & Wilton Strategies

AAPOR Transparency Initiative since September 11, 20201Not yet researched
Polls since 2024
0
Latest poll ended
August 21, 2024
Record vs. results, relative
D+2.6

Polls from the VoteHub polling API, used under CC BY 4.0. Each result links to the pollster's or sponsor's own release. Imported once a day; a poll VoteHub later changes keeps its earlier version on record here.

§1Record against results

Why this matters: The one test that doesn't depend on other polls: how close a firm's final polls came to what voters did.

From FiveThirtyEight's final public data2,3: general-election polls between a Democrat and a Republican in the last three weeks before each election, compared with the certified result. FiveThirtyEight rated each name polls were published under separately. Across all 8,957 such polls, the average miss was D+0.7, so the relative figure takes out the misses every pollster shared that year.

Error is the poll's D−R margin minus the result's; D+ means it showed Democrats doing better than they did.
Published asPollsElectionsAverage missRelative to other pollsTypical size of miss538's last rating
Redfield & Wilton Strategies92020D+6.6D+2.66.6 pts1.8 of 3

ABC News closed FiveThirtyEight in March 2025; its data stops at the 2022 elections. 2026 results will be added once states certify them.

§2Its polls

The 1 polls of its we list, newest first.
In the fieldQuestionResultWithPaid for bySample
August 21, 2024Favorability · JD VanceUnfavorable 39 · Favorable 341,500 RV