RedBox Research

§1About

✎ Drafted by AI from the public sources cited. Each sentence links to its source.

RedBox Research is the polling unit of A Fight Worth Having, which its poll pages describe as a super PAC registered with the FEC as C00933085; the pages say A Fight Worth Having sponsors the polls and RedBox conducts them.^1,2 Its how-we-poll page says RedBox does its own sampling, questionnaires, fielding, weighting and analysis without an outside firm, inviting voters drawn from state voter files by text message to answer a web survey, with Telnyx delivering the texts and L2 supplying phone numbers missing from voter records.¹ The same page says it publishes every poll before Election Day and scores it against the results in public, and its request page offers commissioned polls to campaigns, PACs, parties, unions, nonprofits, newsrooms and businesses.^1,3 A Fight Worth Having's about page says its people recruited Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez to run for Congress and helped launch the Green New Deal, and its site describes Corbin Trent as a former communications director for Ocasio-Cortez and a co-founder of Justice Democrats, without naming its officers.^4,5 Its Florida release of November 2, 2026 reports a text-to-web poll of 2,898 likely voters fielded October 30 to 31, 2026 and says some weighting targets were set after earlier results had been seen.^2,6

§2Who it works with

Why this matters: Owners, news partners and the firms behind a poll's interviews shape what gets asked, how, and what gets published.

Who paid for its polls

§3Whom it works for

Why this matters: A firm that also works for one party's campaigns can still publish accurate polls, but readers deserve to know.

Doesn’t say whom it works for. The RedBox pages do not state a party, name no campaign or party clients, and offer polls to any type of organization; its parent, A Fight Worth Having, is a super PAC whose about page describes its people's role in recruiting Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez to run for Congress but does not state a party. This rests on the firm's own pages.^1,3,4

Of its 2 polls listed since the 2024 election, VoteHub flags 1 as paid for by a Democratic-aligned sponsor and 0 by a Republican-aligned sponsor⁷.

§42026 record against the count

Why this matters: How close this pollster's last 2026 polls came to how people voted, measured the way FiveThirtyEight measured earlier elections.

2 polls of 2 races between a Democrat and a Republican, with field periods ending in the 21 days before November 3, 2026, compared with each race's count. Some of those races are still being counted, so these figures use the unofficial count and will change until states certify.

Average miss

D+0.6

Relative to other polls of the same races

D+3.8

Typical size of miss

0.6 pts

Error is the poll's D−R margin minus the count's, as shares of all votes in the race; D+ means it showed Democrats doing better than they did. From fewer than 5 polls, so read it as a few data points, not a pattern.

§5Its polls

§6What we looked for and didn't find

• Kind is left empty: the pages read describe an in-house polling unit of a super PAC that also sells commissioned polls, and do not say how it is organized.
• Its pages do not say when RedBox began polling, and no founder or leader is named for RedBox or for A Fight Worth Having.
• No standing news partners or outside clients were found.
• Searches found no independent coverage of the firm, and searches and AAPOR's statements page found no AAPOR statement, court ruling or filing, regulator action, aggregator statement about excluding or reweighting its polls, or retraction by the firm.