Pollster · News outlet
Rasmussen Reports
- Polls since 2024
- 4
- Latest poll ended
- May 20, 2026
- Record vs. results, relative
- R+1.3
Polls from the VoteHub polling API, used under CC BY 4.0. Each result links to the pollster's or sponsor's own release. Imported once a day; a poll VoteHub later changes keeps its earlier version on record here.
§1About
Drafted by AI from the public sources cited. Each sentence links to its source.
Rasmussen Reports describes itself as a nonpartisan electronic media company that collects, publishes and distributes public opinion polling, running national tracking surveys every night and adding state and other polls regularly.1 Its FAQ says it is owned by Noson Lawen Partners, a US private equity firm, and run by Ted Carroll of Noson Lawen Partners, managing editor Robert Stacy McCain and director of polling operations Mark Mitchell; a 2019 company page says it is based in Asbury Park, New Jersey.2,
§2Who it works with
Why this matters: Owners, news partners and the firms behind a poll's interviews shape what gets asked, how, and what gets published.
Owned by
Fieldwork or panel by
Founded by
§3Whom it works for
Why this matters: A firm that also works for one party's campaigns can still publish accurate polls, but readers deserve to know.
Says it does no work for parties or candidates. Its about page calls it a nonpartisan media company, and its FAQ says it has a bipartisan staff, does not endorse political philosophies, parties or special interest groups, and does not give money to candidates or parties. This rests on the firm's own description; the pages read name no campaign or party clients.1,
Of its 4 polls listed since the 2024 election, VoteHub flags 0 as paid for by a Democratic-aligned sponsor and 1 by a Republican-aligned sponsor5.
Federal campaigns and committees that paid it
From 2023 through 2026, 2 federal committees reported paying Rasmussen Reports $8,500 for polling, surveys or research6,
| Committee | Kind | Party it reports | Paid for polling | Between |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LYNCH FOR SENATE | Senate campaign | Republican | $5,000 | May 27, 2025 |
| DELIVERING FOR AMERICA PAC | Super PAC | None reported | $3,500 | February 10, 2026 |
§4Record against results
Why this matters: The one test that doesn't depend on other polls: how close a firm's final polls came to what voters did.
From FiveThirtyEight's final public data10,
| Published as | Polls | Elections | Average miss | Relative to other polls | Typical size of miss | 538's last rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports) | 499 | 2000–2012 | R+2.3 | R+1.3 | 4.7 pts | Not graded (inactive) |
| Rasmussen Reports | 137 | 2012–2022 | D+1.7 | R+0.7 | 4.8 pts | Left out of the final ratings |
ABC News closed FiveThirtyEight in March 2025; its data stops at the 2022 elections. 2026 results will be added once states certify them.
§5Documented findings
Why this matters: Only findings by a professional body, a court, a regulator, an aggregator's own published decision, or the pollster itself are listed, each cited to that decision.
- 538 (ABC News), March 2024. According to Political Wire, which quoted The Washington Post, 538 stopped including Rasmussen Reports polls in its polling averages and forecasts in March 2024. In June 2023 Rasmussen Reports had published an email from the 538 editorial director of data analytics saying 538 was considering a formal ban, asking about the firm's methods and its ties to some outlets, and saying a ban would also remove it from historical averages and pollster ratings.4,
12 - Silver Bulletin, January 22, 2026. Silver Bulletin's polling-average methodology, dated January 22, 2026 and read on 2026-11-06, says it currently classifies Rasmussen Reports polls as partisan, giving as its reason that the firm has a history of working with Republican campaigns on some of its surveys without fully disclosing those relationships. The page says polls classified as partisan are handled under different house-effect assumptions in its generic ballot average, and that its approval averages make no partisan distinction.13
§6Its polls
| In the field | Question | Result | With | Paid for by | Sample |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 13–May 20, 2026 | Generic congressional ballot · 2026 | Dem 47 · Rep 41 | 2,161 LV | ||
| January 25–February 27, 2026 | Presidential primary · 2028 Democratic | Kamala Harris 34 · Gavin Newsom 20 · Josh Shapiro 10 · Pete Buttigieg 10 · Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 7 · Cory Booker 6 · 1 more | 1,155 LV | ||
| January 7–January 8, 2026 | Generic congressional ballot · 2026 | Dem 47 · Rep 41 | 2,273 LV | ||
| October 8–October 9, 2025 | Governor · 2025 New Jersey | Mikie Sherrill 46 · Jack Ciattarelli 40 | Republican-aligned sponsor | 955 LV |
§7What we looked for and didn't find
- The 538 statement announcing the March 2024 decision was not read: fivethirtyeight.com pages are not used in this pass and The Washington Post report returned HTTP 403, so the finding rests on Political Wire's excerpt and on the 2023 email Rasmussen Reports published.
- Its current pages do not say whether Pulse Opinion Research still conducts its fieldwork or name any online panel vendor.
- No standing news partners or non-news clients were found on its pages.
- Beyond the finding recorded, searches and AAPOR's statements page found no AAPOR statement, court ruling or filing, regulator action, or retraction by the firm.