Quantus Insights

§1About

✎ Drafted by AI from the public sources cited. Each sentence links to its source.

Quantus Insights describes itself as a provider of polling, election forecasting, economic analysis and modeling, and its website also offers campaign consulting.¹ Its website lists Jack Murphy as chief executive and co-founder, Collin Rugg as president, and Jason Corley as co-founder and director of polling and elections.¹

Kind

Commercial firm¹

Founded

2024¹

§2Who it works with

Why this matters: Owners, news partners and the firms behind a poll's interviews shape what gets asked, how, and what gets published.

Who paid for its polls

§3Whom it works for

Why this matters: A firm that also works for one party's campaigns can still publish accurate polls, but readers deserve to know.

Doesn’t say whom it works for. The Quantus Insights website does not say whether it works for one party. It says members of its team handle clients that include U.S. Senate, governor and U.S. House campaigns, committees and advocacy groups, without naming a party.¹

Of its 101 polls listed since the 2024 election, VoteHub flags 0 as paid for by a Democratic-aligned sponsor and 21 by a Republican-aligned sponsor³.

§4How its numbers compare with other polls

Why this matters: A firm whose polls run steadily to one side of everyone else's is worth reading alongside others.

Each of its polls since the 2024 election is compared with other pollsters' polls of the same question whose field period ended within 14 days, each other pollster counted once³. The figure is the average gap, with a 95% margin. This compares it with other polls, not with the truth: the others can be the ones that are off.

Party margin

R+1.5 (±0.6) across 33 polls of the generic ballot and 2026 races, in 11 contests.

Without a party-aligned sponsor

R+1.5 (±0.7) across 28 polls

When paid for by a Republican-aligned sponsor

R+1.6 (±0.9) across 5 polls

Net approval: Donald Trump

+4.9 points (±0.7) across 31 polls, against other polls of the same question.

Net favorability: Donald Trump

+6.0 points (±2.8) across 5 polls, against other polls of the same question.

D+ means its polls showed Democrats doing better than other polls did; R+, Republicans. A figure from fewer than 5 polls isn't shown.

§52026 record against the count

Why this matters: How close this pollster's last 2026 polls came to how people voted, measured the way FiveThirtyEight measured earlier elections.

6 polls of 6 races between a Democrat and a Republican, with field periods ending in the 21 days before November 3, 2026, compared with each race's count. Some of those races are still being counted, so these figures use the unofficial count and will change until states certify.

Average miss

R+10.7

Relative to other polls of the same races

R+2.1

Typical size of miss

10.7 pts

Error is the poll's D−R margin minus the count's, as shares of all votes in the race; D+ means it showed Democrats doing better than they did. From 6 polls in all.

§6Its polls

§7What we looked for and didn't find

• Its website does not say where the firm is based.
• Its website gives conflicting start dates: one biography says the operation began in 2024 and another says the venture began in August 2025.
• No named clients or fieldwork vendors were found.
• Only one Trending Politics News release was read, so it is not established that the 2025 polls were a standing arrangement.
• Searches found no AAPOR statement, court ruling or filing, regulator action, aggregator statement about excluding or reweighting its polls, or retraction by the firm.
• The Silver Bulletin ratings table and the VoteHub methodology pages could not be read, so aggregator checks rest on published text from aggregators and news searches.
• No standing news partner found; Trending Politics News is named as the sponsor of one June 2025 poll, which the sponsor table shows.