Pollster

Patriot Polling

Research draft
Polls since 2024
2
Latest poll ended
March 16, 2026
Record vs. results, relative
R+3.1

Polls from the VoteHub polling API, used under CC BY 4.0. Each result links to the pollster's or sponsor's own release. Imported once a day; a poll VoteHub later changes keeps its earlier version on record here.

§1About

Drafted by AI from the public sources cited. Each sentence links to its source.

Patriot Polling's about page calls it a non-partisan organization that conducts surveys across America, mainly by telephone interviews weighted with its own demographic and turnout models, and says it is headquartered in Philadelphia.1 The about page says Lucca Ruggieri founded it in September 2022 and has been chief executive since, and lists Roberto Jay as quantitative director since January 2026, along with political and quantitative analysts from several universities.1 According to CBS News Philadelphia in January 2023, Ruggieri and Arhan Kaul started it as Pennsylvania high school students and reached voters through a third-party cold-calling system.2 According to CBS News Philadelphia in April 2024, Ruggieri, then a high school senior, was working as campaign manager for Republican Neil Young's campaign for Pennsylvania's 6th Congressional District.3 Its poll feed lists releases from October 2022 through October 2025, among them state and national election polls, a final 2024 presidential poll of 1,115 registered voters and a January 2025 survey of 416 residents of Greenland.4

Founded
2022-091

§2Who it works with

Why this matters: Owners, news partners and the firms behind a poll's interviews shape what gets asked, how, and what gets published.

Founded by

  • Lucca Ruggieri (2022-09). The about page says Lucca Ruggieri founded Patriot Polling in September 2022.1
  • Arhan Kaul. According to CBS News Philadelphia, Arhan Kaul started the firm with Ruggieri and was its chief polling director in January 2023; the current about page lists him as a quantitative analyst.1,2

Led by

  • Lucca Ruggieri (2022-09–now). The about page lists Lucca Ruggieri as chief executive since September 2022.1
  • Roberto Jay (2026-01–now). The about page lists Roberto Jay as quantitative director since January 2026.1

§3Whom it works for

Why this matters: A firm that also works for one party's campaigns can still publish accurate polls, but readers deserve to know.

Says it does no work for parties or candidates. Its about page calls it a non-partisan organization, and this value rests on that self-description. FiftyPlusOne reported in August 2026 that a 2026 Patriot Polling release was an internal survey for a congressional campaign and that a Florida governor campaign paid its chief executive for polling, without naming either candidate's party; that report is recorded as a finding.1,5

  • Keith Gross campaign (2026–now). According to FiftyPlusOne, a Patriot Polling release of July 29, 2026 was an internal survey of the Florida 2nd Congressional District general election conducted on behalf of the Keith Gross campaign.5

Of its 2 polls listed since the 2024 election, VoteHub flags 0 as paid for by a Democratic-aligned sponsor and 1 by a Republican-aligned sponsor6.

§4Record against results

Why this matters: The one test that doesn't depend on other polls: how close a firm's final polls came to what voters did.

From FiveThirtyEight's final public data7,8: general-election polls between a Democrat and a Republican in the last three weeks before each election, compared with the certified result. FiveThirtyEight rated each name polls were published under separately. Across all 8,957 such polls, the average miss was D+0.7, so the relative figure takes out the misses every pollster shared that year.

Error is the poll's D−R margin minus the result's; D+ means it showed Democrats doing better than they did.
Published asPollsElectionsAverage missRelative to other pollsTypical size of miss538's last rating
Patriot Polling72022R+5.6R+3.15.6 pts1.1 of 3

ABC News closed FiveThirtyEight in March 2025; its data stops at the 2022 elections. 2026 results will be added once states certify them.

§5Documented findings

Why this matters: Only findings by a professional body, a court, a regulator, an aggregator's own published decision, or the pollster itself are listed, each cited to that decision.

  • FiftyPlusOne, August 20, 2026. FiftyPlusOne said on August 20, 2026 that it was suspending Patriot Polling from its database, averages, models and forecasts until the firm sufficiently answered its methodological questions, and that the firm's earlier polls would stay on its site reclassified as partisan. It cited Florida Division of Elections records of a $1,500 payment marked as polling from the Fishback campaign to chief executive Lucca Ruggieri on January 21, 2026, a February 2026 Florida governor primary poll released without a sponsor, and a July 2026 release it described as an internal survey for the Keith Gross campaign, and it said Patriot Polling did not reply to repeated requests for comment.5

§6Its polls

The 2 polls of its we list, newest first.
In the fieldQuestionResultWithPaid for bySample
March 10–March 16, 2026Governor · 2026 WisconsinTom Tiffany 46 · Francesca Hong 42Republican-aligned sponsor812 LV
October 18–October 19, 2025Mayor · 2025 New York CityZohran Mamdani 43 · Andrew Cuomo 32 · Curtis Sliwa 19715 RV

§7What we looked for and didn't find

  • Its website does not say whether it is a company or a nonprofit, so kind is left empty.
  • No ownership or funding information was found.
  • No fieldwork vendor is named; CBS News Philadelphia reported in 2023 that it used an unnamed third-party cold-calling system.
  • No standing news partners or non-news clients were found; its about page says its polls have been featured and cited by FiveThirtyEight and The New York Times, which is not a partnership.
  • The Fishback payment and the Keith Gross release rest on FiftyPlusOne's account; the Florida Division of Elections records and the 2026 Florida releases it describes were not read, and those releases do not appear in the firm's poll feed.
  • The sample release hosted on Google Drive could not be read without signing in, and the poll pages on its site load their text with scripts, so only the feed summaries were read.
  • Beyond the finding recorded, searches and AAPOR's statements page found no AAPOR statement, court ruling or filing, regulator action, other aggregator statement about excluding or reweighting its polls, or retraction by the firm; news coverage of its January 2025 Greenland poll was commentary, not a finding.