Pollster · Works for one party

OnMessage

Also published as OnMessage Inc, OnMessage Inc..

Research draft

Polls since 2024: 7
Latest poll ended: March 8, 2026
Record vs. results, relative: R+4.7

Polls from the VoteHub polling API, used under CC BY 4.0. Each result links to the pollster's or sponsor's own release. Imported once a day; a poll VoteHub later changes keeps its earlier version on record here.

§1About

Drafted by AI from the public sources cited. Each sentence links to its source.

OnMessage Inc. describes itself as a strategy and communications firm offering campaign, creative, digital, opinion research and issue advocacy services, with offices in Alexandria, Virginia; Annapolis, Maryland; and Charlotte, North Carolina.¹ Its team page lists Curt Anderson, Wes Anderson and Brad Todd as founding partners, and its biography of Wes Anderson says he leads the firm's polling divisions.^2,3

Kind: Works for one party^3,4

§2Who it works with

Why this matters: Owners, news partners and the firms behind a poll's interviews shape what gets asked, how, and what gets published.

Founded by

Curt Anderson. Its team page lists Curt Anderson as a founding partner.^2,4
Wes Anderson. Its team page lists Wes Anderson as a founding partner.^2,3
Brad Todd. Its team page lists Brad Todd as a founding partner.^2,5

Led by

Wes Anderson. Its website says founding partner Wes Anderson leads its polling divisions.³

Who paid for its polls

Sponsors named on its polls, most polls first⁶. A party-aligned flag is VoteHub's, per poll.
Sponsor	Polls	Between	Flagged party-aligned
Rescuing the American Dream	3	February 19, 2025	No
Insurance Watchdog Coalition	1	March 8, 2026	No
Senate Opportunity Fund	1	October 16, 2024	Republican-aligned sponsor (1)

§3Whom it works for

Why this matters: A firm that also works for one party's campaigns can still publish accurate polls, but readers deserve to know.

Works for Republican candidates or groups. Its website biography of founding partner Wes Anderson calls him a GOP pollster who has polled for the RNC, NRSC, NRCC, RGA, RAGA and right-of-center organizations, and its biography of founding partner Curt Anderson lists work for Republican officeholders and the RNC; none of the pages read names a Democratic client. This rests on its own description and the clients it names.^3,4

Republican National Committee. Its biography of Wes Anderson says he has polled for the RNC.³
National Republican Senatorial Committee. Its biography of Wes Anderson says he has polled for the NRSC.³
National Republican Congressional Committee (2010–now). Its biography of Wes Anderson says he has polled for the NRCC and was its lead pollster in 2010.³
Republican Governors Association. Its biography of Wes Anderson says he has polled for the RGA.³
Republican Attorneys General Association. Its biography of Wes Anderson says he has polled for RAGA.³
Rick Scott (2018–now). Its biography of Wes Anderson cites his work for Rick Scott's 2018 U.S. Senate campaign in Florida.³
Josh Hawley (2018–now). Its biography of Wes Anderson cites his work for Josh Hawley's 2018 U.S. Senate campaign in Missouri.³
Robert Aderholt. Its Our Work page lists case studies for Robert Aderholt for Congress in Alabama.⁷

Of its 7 polls listed since the 2024 election, VoteHub flags 0 as paid for by a Democratic-aligned sponsor and 1 by a Republican-aligned sponsor⁶.

Federal campaigns and committees that paid it

From 2023 through 2026, 24 federal committees reported paying OnMessage $7,216,705 for polling, surveys or research^8,9,10,11. By the party each committee reports to the FEC: 0 Democratic, 14 Republican, and 10 none (most PACs and super PACs report none).

The largest payers, by amount paid for polling, surveys or research. Only federal committees report to the FEC; state and local campaigns, work paid through another consultant, and polling billed as consulting are not here. Matched by the payee name on the filing: ONMESSAGE INC; ONMESSAGE INC.; ONMESSAGE, INC; ONMESSAGE, INC..
Committee	Kind	Party it reports	Paid for polling	Between
JOSH HAWLEY FOR SENATE	Senate campaign	Republican	$2,531,514	February 16, 2023 – November 5, 2024
RICK SCOTT FOR FLORIDA	Senate campaign	Republican	$1,416,002	February 24, 2023 – October 25, 2024
AMERICA PAC	Super PAC	None reported	$625,040	October 18, 2024 – March 21, 2025
NRCC	Party committee	Republican	$495,945	October 16, 2023 – September 18, 2026
THE SENTINEL ACTION FUND	Super PAC	None reported	$479,281	October 8, 2024 – December 29, 2025
MATT ROSENDALE FOR MONTANA	House campaign	Republican	$237,246	March 16, 2023 – April 8, 2024
HUDSON FOR CONGRESS	House campaign	Republican	$137,523	February 12, 2024 – June 5, 2026
FRIENDS OF JIMMY PATRONIS, INC.	House campaign	Republican	$136,038	January 11, 2025 – March 21, 2025
RESTORATION OF AMERICA PAC	Super PAC	None reported	$133,570	October 10, 2024
SHOW-ME STRONG PAC	Super PAC	None reported	$131,835	December 18, 2025 – May 1, 2026
BETH VAN DUYNE FOR CONGRESS	House campaign	Republican	$125,782	October 6, 2023 – October 1, 2025
CONSERVATIVES FOR AMERICAN EXCELLENCE INC.	Super PAC	None reported	$119,835	May 10, 2024 – May 18, 2026

§4Record against results

Why this matters: The one test that doesn't depend on other polls: how close a firm's final polls came to what voters did.

From FiveThirtyEight's final public data^12,13: general-election polls between a Democrat and a Republican in the last three weeks before each election, compared with the certified result. FiveThirtyEight rated each name polls were published under separately. Across all 8,957 such polls, the average miss was D+0.7, so the relative figure takes out the misses every pollster shared that year.

Error is the poll's D−R margin minus the result's; D+ means it showed Democrats doing better than they did.
Published as	Polls	Elections	Average miss	Relative to other polls	Typical size of miss	538's last rating
OnMessage Inc.	12	2003–2018	R+5.5	R+4.7	6.8 pts	1.1 of 3 · 1% partisan work

ABC News closed FiveThirtyEight in March 2025; its data stops at the 2022 elections. 2026 results will be added once states certify them.

§5Its polls

The 8 polls of its we list, newest first.
In the field	Question	Result	Paid for by	Sample
March 3–March 8, 2026	U.S. Senate · 2026 Ohio	Sherrod Brown 47 · Jon Husted 45	Insurance Watchdog Coalition	600 LV
March 2–March 3, 2026	Job approval · Donald Trump	Disapprove 54 · Approve 45		1,800 LV
September 15–September 18, 2025	Governor · 2025 Virginia	Abigail Spanberger 50 · Winsome Earle-Sears 45		800 LV
September 15–September 18, 2025	Attorney general · 2025 Virginia	Jay Jones 46 · Jason Miyares 46		800 LV
February 17–February 19, 2025	Job approval · Donald Trump	Approve 50 · Disapprove 47	Rescuing the American Dream	1,000 LV
February 17–February 19, 2025	Favorability · JD Vance	Favorable 47 · Unfavorable 46	Rescuing the American Dream	1,000 LV
February 17–February 19, 2025	Favorability · Donald Trump	Favorable 50 · Unfavorable 47	Rescuing the American Dream	1,000 LV
October 14–October 16, 2024	Favorability · JD Vance	Favorable 43 · Unfavorable 38	Senate Opportunity FundRepublican-aligned sponsor	800 LV

§6What we looked for and didn't find

No founding year was found on its website.
No ownership information beyond the named partners was found.
Insurance Watchdog Coalition and Rescuing the American Dream appear as sponsors on some of its polls; no standing arrangement with either was found on the pages read.
Its March 2025 national survey page names no sponsor and gives no methodology.
No standing news partners or fieldwork vendors were found.
Searches found no AAPOR statement, court ruling or filing, regulator action, aggregator statement about excluding or reweighting its polls, or retraction by the firm.