Normington, Petts & Associates

§1About

✎ Drafted by AI from the public sources cited. Each sentence links to its source.

Normington Petts describes itself on its website as a polling and campaign strategy firm with an office at 1100 H Street NW in Washington, D.C.¹ Its Principals page names David Petts as a founding partner and Jill Normington as a partner, and says both were part of the Hillary for America polling team in 2016.² Its Clients page lists federal, statewide and local officeholders and more than 30 organizations, among them the independent expenditure arms of the DCCC, DSCC and DGA, House Majority PAC, Senate Majority PAC, EMILY's List, the Center for American Progress and Planned Parenthood.³

Kind

Commercial firm¹

§2Who it works with

Why this matters: Owners, news partners and the firms behind a poll's interviews shape what gets asked, how, and what gets published.

Who paid for its polls

§3Whom it works for

Why this matters: A firm that also works for one party's campaigns can still publish accurate polls, but readers deserve to know.

Works for Democratic candidates or groups. Based on the clients it names: its Clients page lists the independent expenditure arms of the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee, Democratic Senatorial Campaign Committee and Democratic Governors Association, and a 2024 DCCC memo says the DCCC commissioned a poll from it. No Republican committee or candidate is named as a client on the pages read, and the site makes no statement of its own about party.^2,3,5

• Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee. Its Clients page lists the DCCC independent expenditure arm, and an October 2024 DCCC memo says the committee commissioned a poll of California's 45th District from the firm.^3,5
• Democratic Senatorial Campaign Committee. Its Clients page lists the DSCC independent expenditure arm, and its Principals page says Jill Normington has advised that program.^2,3
• Democratic Governors Association. Its Clients page lists the DGA independent expenditure arm, and its Principals page says both partners have worked for the DGA.^2,3
• Hillary for America (2016–2016). Its Principals page says both partners were part of the Hillary for America polling team in 2016.²
• Tammy Baldwin. Its Principals page lists Senator Tammy Baldwin among Jill Normington's current political clients.²
• Tammy Duckworth. Its Principals page lists Senator Tammy Duckworth among Jill Normington's current political clients.²
• Brian Schatz. Its Principals page lists Senator Brian Schatz among Jill Normington's current political clients.²

Of its 11 polls listed since the 2024 election, VoteHub flags 6 as paid for by a Democratic-aligned sponsor and 0 by a Republican-aligned sponsor⁴.

Federal campaigns and committees that paid it

From 2023 through 2026, 24 federal committees reported paying Normington, Petts & Associates $3,564,191 for polling, surveys or research^6,7,8,9. By the party each committee reports to the FEC: 15 Democratic, 0 Republican, and 9 none (most PACs and super PACs report none).

§4Record against results

Why this matters: The one test that doesn't depend on other polls: how close a firm's final polls came to what voters did.

From FiveThirtyEight's final public data^10,11: general-election polls between a Democrat and a Republican in the last three weeks before each election, compared with the certified result. FiveThirtyEight rated each name polls were published under separately. Across all 8,957 such polls, the average miss was D+0.7, so the relative figure takes out the misses every pollster shared that year.

ABC News closed FiveThirtyEight in March 2025; its data stops at the 2022 elections. 2026 results will be added once states certify them.

§52026 record against the count

Why this matters: How close this pollster's last 2026 polls came to how people voted, measured the way FiveThirtyEight measured earlier elections.

One poll of one race between a Democrat and a Republican, with field periods ending in the 21 days before November 3, 2026, compared with each race's count. Some of those races are still being counted, so these figures use the unofficial count and will change until states certify.

Average miss

R+8.9

Relative to other polls of the same races

Even

Typical size of miss

8.9 pts

Error is the poll's D−R margin minus the count's, as shares of all votes in the race; D+ means it showed Democrats doing better than they did. From fewer than 5 polls, so read it as a few data points, not a pattern.

§6Its polls

§7What we looked for and didn't find

• No founding year was found; its Principals page does not give one.
• No standing news partner was found; Third Way and Yes Michigan appear as sponsors on some of its polls in our data, and no standing arrangement with either was confirmed.
• No fieldwork vendor or co-pollster was found.
• Searches for AAPOR statements, court cases, regulator actions, aggregator exclusion statements and retractions found nothing naming the firm.