Pollster · Commercial firm

Morning Consult

Research draft
Polls since 2024
276
Latest poll ended
September 6, 2026
House effect vs. other polls
R+2.0
Record vs. results, relative
D+0.5

Polls from the VoteHub polling API, used under CC BY 4.0. Each result links to the pollster's or sponsor's own release. Imported once a day; a poll VoteHub later changes keeps its earlier version on record here.

§1About

Drafted by AI from the public sources cited. Each sentence links to its source.

Morning Consult describes itself on its website as a decision intelligence business that turns daily consumer survey data into analysis for brands, markets and policy bodies.2,3 According to Research Live, it launched in 2014, is headquartered in Washington, D.C., and was led in 2020 by co-founder and chief executive Michael Ramlet.4 Research Live reported that a 2020 investment round in the company was led by Lupa Systems and Advance Venture Partners.4

Kind
Commercial firm2
Founded
20144

§2Who it works with

Why this matters: Owners, news partners and the firms behind a poll's interviews shape what gets asked, how, and what gets published.

News partners

  • Bloomberg News (2023–now). Morning Consult wrote that it conducted a seven-state survey on behalf of Bloomberg News in October 2023 and a monthly seven-state study for Bloomberg News during 2024.5,6
  • Politico (2016–now). According to Adweek, Politico and Morning Consult began a series of online political polls in the Politico Playbook newsletter in 2016.7

Founded by

  • Michael Ramlet. According to Research Live, Michael Ramlet is a co-founder of Morning Consult.4

Led by

  • Michael Ramlet. According to Research Live, Michael Ramlet was chief executive in 2020.4

Who paid for its polls

Sponsors named on its polls, most polls first8. A party-aligned flag is VoteHub's, per poll.
SponsorPollsBetweenFlagged party-aligned
Deseret News4November 13, 2025 – April 19, 2026No
University of Utah Hinckley Institute of Politics3February 13, 2026 – April 19, 2026No
Red Eagle Politics1August 18, 2025No
On Point Politics1August 18, 2025No
Gambling Is Not Investing1March 22, 2026No
Harvard University Center for American Political Studies1February 1, 2026No

§3Whom it works for

Why this matters: A firm that also works for one party's campaigns can still publish accurate polls, but readers deserve to know.

Doesn’t say whom it works for. The Morning Consult data and methodology page does not say whether it works for candidates or parties.3

Of its 276 polls listed since the 2024 election, VoteHub flags 0 as paid for by a Democratic-aligned sponsor and 0 by a Republican-aligned sponsor8.

§4How its numbers compare with other polls

Why this matters: A firm whose polls run steadily to one side of everyone else's is worth reading alongside others.

Each of its polls since the 2024 election is compared with other pollsters' polls of the same question whose field period ended within 14 days, each other pollster counted once8. The figure is the average gap, with a 95% margin. This compares it with other polls, not with the truth: the others can be the ones that are off.

Party margin
R+2.0 (±0.4) across 62 polls of the generic ballot and 2026 races, in 1 contest.
Net approval: Donald Trump
+4.0 points (±0.6) across 91 polls, against other polls of the same question.
Net favorability: JD Vance
+3.5 points (±0.7) across 63 polls, against other polls of the same question.
Net favorability: Donald Trump
+3.2 points (±0.9) across 51 polls, against other polls of the same question.

D+ means its polls showed Democrats doing better than other polls did; R+, Republicans. A figure from fewer than 5 polls isn't shown.

§5Record against results

Why this matters: The one test that doesn't depend on other polls: how close a firm's final polls came to what voters did.

From FiveThirtyEight's final public data9,10: general-election polls between a Democrat and a Republican in the last three weeks before each election, compared with the certified result. FiveThirtyEight rated each name polls were published under separately. Across all 8,957 such polls, the average miss was D+0.7, so the relative figure takes out the misses every pollster shared that year.

Error is the poll's D−R margin minus the result's; D+ means it showed Democrats doing better than they did.
Published asPollsElectionsAverage missRelative to other pollsTypical size of miss538's last rating
Morning Consult742016–2022D+4.0D+0.54.5 pts1.9 of 3

ABC News closed FiveThirtyEight in March 2025; its data stops at the 2022 elections. 2026 results will be added once states certify them.

§6Its polls

The 100 most recent polls of its we list, newest first.
In the fieldQuestionResultWithPaid for bySample
September 4–September 6, 2026Generic congressional ballot · 2026Dem 46 · Rep 422,203 RV
July 6–July 12, 2026Generic congressional ballot · 2026Dem 46 · Rep 4324,000 RV
June 19–June 22, 2026Job approval · Donald TrumpDisapprove 54.3 · Approve 43.12,200 RV
June 19–June 22, 2026Favorability · Donald TrumpUnfavorable 54 · Favorable 42— RV
June 19–June 22, 2026Favorability · JD VanceUnfavorable 46 · Favorable 42— RV
June 19–June 22, 2026Generic congressional ballot · 2026Dem 46 · Rep 42— RV
June 12–June 15, 2026Job approval · Donald TrumpDisapprove 53.4 · Approve 43.12,200 RV
June 8–June 14, 2026Generic congressional ballot · 2026Dem 45.8 · Rep 41.924,000 RV
June 6–June 8, 2026Job approval · Donald TrumpDisapprove 54 · Approve 442,200 RV
June 6–June 8, 2026Favorability · Donald TrumpUnfavorable 54 · Favorable 432,200 RV
June 6–June 8, 2026Favorability · JD VanceUnfavorable 46 · Favorable 422,200 RV
June 1–June 7, 2026Generic congressional ballot · 2026Dem 46 · Rep 4224,849 RV
May 25–May 31, 2026Generic congressional ballot · 2026Dem 45 · Rep 42— RV
May 29–May 31, 2026Job approval · Donald TrumpDisapprove 55 · Approve 432,200 RV
May 22–May 24, 2026Favorability · JD VanceUnfavorable 47 · Favorable 422,204 RV
May 18–May 24, 2026Generic congressional ballot · 2026Dem 46 · Rep 4229,255 RV
May 22–May 24, 2026Favorability · Donald TrumpUnfavorable 55 · Favorable 422,204 RV
May 18–May 24, 2026Generic congressional ballot · 2026Dem 46 · Rep 4224,849 RV
May 22–May 24, 2026Job approval · Donald TrumpDisapprove 54 · Approve 432,204 RV
May 15–May 17, 2026Generic congressional ballot · 2026Dem 47 · Rep 412,203 RV
May 11–May 17, 2026Generic congressional ballot · 2026Dem 46 · Rep 4228,525 RV
May 15–May 17, 2026Job approval · Donald TrumpDisapprove 55 · Approve 422,203 RV
May 4–May 10, 2026Generic congressional ballot · 2026Dem 45 · Rep 4224,000 RV
May 8–May 10, 2026Job approval · Donald TrumpDisapprove 55 · Approve 432,200 RV
April 30–May 3, 2026Generic congressional ballot · 2026Dem 46 · Rep 432,200 RV
April 30–May 3, 2026Job approval · Donald TrumpDisapprove 53 · Approve 442,200 RV
April 27–May 3, 2026Generic congressional ballot · 2026Dem 46 · Rep 4324,000 RV
April 24–April 27, 2026Generic congressional ballot · 2026Dem 45 · Rep 422,201 RV
April 24–April 27, 2026Favorability · JD VanceUnfavorable 45 · Favorable 422,201 RV
April 24–April 27, 2026Favorability · Donald TrumpUnfavorable 52 · Favorable 442,201 RV
April 24–April 27, 2026Job approval · Donald TrumpDisapprove 53 · Approve 452,201 RV
April 20–April 26, 2026Generic congressional ballot · 2026Dem 45 · Rep 4228,235 RV
April 17–April 20, 2026Generic congressional ballot · 2026Dem 45 · Rep 422,203 RV
April 17–April 20, 2026Job approval · Donald TrumpDisapprove 53 · Approve 442,203 RV
April 17–April 20, 2026Favorability · JD VanceDem 45 · Rep 422,203 RV
April 17–April 20, 2026Favorability · Donald TrumpUnfavorable 50 · Favorable 452,203 RV
April 13–April 19, 2026Generic congressional ballot · 2026Dem 45 · Rep 4227,869 RV
April 15–April 19, 2026Job approval · Donald TrumpDisapprove 54 · Approve 42Deseret News2,057 RV
April 15–April 19, 2026Job approval · JD VanceDisapprove 47 · Approve 44Deseret News2,057 RV
April 6–April 12, 2026Generic congressional ballot · 2026Dem 46 · Rep 4212,505 RV
April 10–April 12, 2026Job approval · Donald TrumpDisapprove 53 · Approve 442,200 RV
April 6–April 9, 2026Job approval · Donald TrumpDisapprove 53 · Approve 442,200 RV
April 6–April 9, 2026Generic congressional ballot · 2026Dem 46 · Rep 422,200 RV
April 1–April 7, 2026Job approval · Donald TrumpDisapprove 55 · Approve 3945,000 A
April 3–April 6, 2026Generic congressional ballot · 2026Dem 45 · Rep 422,200 RV
March 30–April 5, 2026Generic congressional ballot · 2026Dem 45 · Rep 4212,505 RV
April 3–April 5, 2026Favorability · JD VanceFavorable 43 · Unfavorable 432,203 RV
April 3–April 5, 2026Favorability · Donald TrumpUnfavorable 50 · Favorable 452,203 RV
March 27–March 29, 2026Favorability · Donald TrumpUnfavorable 53 · Favorable 432,203 RV
March 23–March 29, 2026Generic congressional ballot · 2026Dem 45 · Rep 4226,725 RV
March 27–March 29, 2026Favorability · JD VanceUnfavorable 46 · Favorable 432,203 RV
March 23–March 29, 2026Generic congressional ballot · 2026Dem 45 · Rep 4226,725 RV
March 27–March 29, 2026Job approval · Donald TrumpDisapprove 54 · Approve 432,203 RV
March 17–March 22, 2026Generic congressional ballot · 2026Dem 47 · Rep 42Gambling Is Not Investing15,029 A
March 13–March 16, 2026Favorability · Donald TrumpUnfavorable 54 · Favorable 422,201 RV
March 13–March 16, 2026Favorability · JD VanceUnfavorable 46 · Favorable 422,201 RV
March 13–March 16, 2026Job approval · Donald TrumpDisapprove 54 · Approve 432,201 RV
March 13–March 16, 2026Generic congressional ballot · 2026Dem 48 · Rep 402,201 RV
March 9–March 15, 2026Generic congressional ballot · 2026Dem 45 · Rep 4226,634 RV
March 6–March 8, 2026Generic congressional ballot · 2026Dem 47 · Rep 432,202 RV
March 6–March 8, 2026Favorability · Donald TrumpUnfavorable 53 · Favorable 432,202 RV
March 2–March 8, 2026Job approval · Donald TrumpDisapprove 55 · Approve 3945,000 A
March 6–March 8, 2026Favorability · JD VanceUnfavorable 47 · Favorable 412,202 RV
March 6–March 8, 2026Job approval · Donald TrumpDisapprove 53 · Approve 442,202 RV
February 27–March 1, 2026Job approval · Donald TrumpDisapprove 54 · Approve 442,200 RV
February 28, 2026Job approval · Donald TrumpDisapprove 53 · Approve 441,618 RV
February 16–February 22, 2026Generic congressional ballot · 2026Dem 45 · Rep 4226,087 RV
February 20–February 22, 2026Favorability · JD VanceUnfavorable 46 · Favorable 402,202 RV
February 20–February 22, 2026Generic congressional ballot · 2026Dem 46 · Rep 422,202 RV
February 20–February 22, 2026Job approval · Donald TrumpDisapprove 53 · Approve 452,202 RV
February 20–February 22, 2026Favorability · Donald TrumpUnfavorable 54 · Favorable 422,202 RV
February 13–February 16, 2026Favorability · Donald TrumpUnfavorable 54 · Favorable 422,200 RV
February 13–February 16, 2026Job approval · Donald TrumpDisapprove 55 · Approve 432,200 RV
February 13–February 16, 2026Favorability · JD VanceUnfavorable 46 · Favorable 402,200 RV
February 9–February 15, 2026Generic congressional ballot · 2026Dem 45 · Rep 4212,505 RV
February 10–February 13, 2026Job approval · Donald TrumpDisapprove 55 · Approve 42Deseret News2,002 RV
February 6–February 9, 2026Generic congressional ballot · 2026Dem 45 · Rep 412,200 RV
February 6–February 9, 2026Favorability · Donald TrumpUnfavorable 53 · Favorable 432,200 RV
February 6–February 9, 2026Favorability · JD VanceUnfavorable 47 · Favorable 412,200 RV
February 6–February 9, 2026Job approval · Donald TrumpDisapprove 53 · Approve 442,200 RV
February 2–February 8, 2026Generic congressional ballot · 2026Dem 45 · Rep 4229,303 RV
February 2–February 8, 2026Job approval · Donald TrumpDisapprove 54 · Approve 4045,000 A
January 30–February 1, 2026Generic congressional ballot · 2026Dem 47 · Rep 422,201 RV
January 30–February 1, 2026Favorability · Donald TrumpUnfavorable 52 · Favorable 452,201 RV
January 30–February 1, 2026Job approval · Donald TrumpDisapprove 53 · Approve 452,201 RV
January 26–February 1, 2026Generic congressional ballot · 2026Dem 44 · Rep 4212,505 RV
January 30–February 1, 2026Favorability · JD VanceUnfavorable 47 · Favorable 41Harvard University Center for American Political Studies2,201 RV
January 23–January 25, 2026Generic congressional ballot · 2026Dem 45 · Rep 432,201 RV
January 23–January 25, 2026Favorability · JD VanceUnfavorable 47 · Favorable 412,201 RV
January 19–January 25, 2026Generic congressional ballot · 2026Dem 44 · Rep 4312,505 RV
January 23–January 25, 2026Favorability · Donald TrumpUnfavorable 52 · Favorable 452,201 RV
January 23–January 25, 2026Job approval · Donald TrumpDisapprove 51 · Approve 462,201 RV
January 16–January 18, 2026Generic congressional ballot · 2026Dem 45 · Rep 432,201 RV
January 16–January 18, 2026Favorability · Donald TrumpUnfavorable 53 · Favorable 432,201 RV
January 16–January 18, 2026Job approval · Donald TrumpDisapprove 51 · Approve 462,201 RV
January 16–January 18, 2026Favorability · JD VanceUnfavorable 46 · Favorable 402,201 RV
January 12–January 18, 2026Generic congressional ballot · 2026Dem 44 · Rep 4212,505 RV
January 9–January 12, 2026Favorability · JD VanceUnfavorable 46 · Favorable 402,201 RV
January 9–January 12, 2026Generic congressional ballot · 2026Dem 46 · Rep 432,201 RV
January 9–January 12, 2026Favorability · Donald TrumpUnfavorable 53 · Favorable 432,201 RV

§7What we looked for and didn't find

  • No leadership page was found on its website, so leadership and headquarters are as reported by Research Live in 2020.
  • No current ownership breakdown was found beyond the 2020 investment round.
  • Its data page says it works with a network of panel partners but does not name them.
  • The 2016 Morning Consult announcement of the Politico partnership now returns not found, and no end date for that partnership was found.
  • Searches found no AAPOR statement, court ruling or filing, regulator action, aggregator statement about excluding or reweighting its polls, or retraction by the firm.
  • The Silver Bulletin ratings table and the VoteHub methodology pages could not be read, so aggregator checks rest on published text from aggregators and news searches.