Pollster · Academic

Monmouth University Polling Institute

AAPOR Transparency Initiative since January 8, 20151Research draft
Polls since 2024
2
Latest poll ended
December 10, 2024
Record vs. results, relative
R+0.2

Polls from the VoteHub polling API, used under CC BY 4.0. Each result links to the pollster's or sponsor's own release. Imported once a day; a poll VoteHub later changes keeps its earlier version on record here.

§1About

Drafted by AI from the public sources cited. Each sentence links to its source.

The Monmouth University Polling Institute was a polling unit of Monmouth University in West Long Branch, New Jersey; its December 2024 national release says the institute sponsored and conducted that Monmouth University Poll and was responsible for all aspects of survey design, weighting and analysis.2 Monmouth University's president wrote on March 12, 2025 that the university would close the institute effective July 1, 2025, saying its public polling mission was no longer aligned with the university's strategic goals and that polling had become harder and more expensive, and the institute's page says it ceased operations on July 1, 2025.3,4 The president's letter names Patrick Murray as the institute's founding director since its start in 2005.3

Kind
Academic2,3
Founded
20053

§2Who it works with

Why this matters: Owners, news partners and the firms behind a poll's interviews shape what gets asked, how, and what gets published.

Part of

  • Monmouth University (2005–2025). Monmouth University's president announced in a March 2025 letter that the university would close its polling institute effective July 1, 2025.3

News partners

  • The Washington Post (2023–now). Monmouth's September 2023 South Carolina release says the institute and The Washington Post jointly sponsored and conducted that poll, and according to The Hill the two released a further joint poll of New Hampshire voters in November 2023.5,6

Fieldwork or panel by

  • Braun Research. Monmouth's September 2023 and December 2024 releases say Braun Research provided interviewing services, and the December 2024 release says sample came from Dynata, Aristotle and a panel of earlier Monmouth respondents.2,5

Led by

  • Patrick Murray (2005–2025). The president's letter names Patrick Murray as founding director since the institute began in 2005, and the December 2024 release identifies him as director.2,3

§3Whom it works for

Why this matters: A firm that also works for one party's campaigns can still publish accurate polls, but readers deserve to know.

Doesn’t say whom it works for. The December 2024 release calls it the independent Monmouth University Polling Institute and says it sponsored its own poll, but the pages read do not say whether it worked for candidates or parties or name any campaign or party clients.2,4

Of its 2 polls listed since the 2024 election, VoteHub flags 0 as paid for by a Democratic-aligned sponsor and 0 by a Republican-aligned sponsor7.

§4Record against results

Why this matters: The one test that doesn't depend on other polls: how close a firm's final polls came to what voters did.

From FiveThirtyEight's final public data8,9: general-election polls between a Democrat and a Republican in the last three weeks before each election, compared with the certified result. FiveThirtyEight rated each name polls were published under separately. Across all 8,957 such polls, the average miss was D+0.7, so the relative figure takes out the misses every pollster shared that year.

Error is the poll's D−R margin minus the result's; D+ means it showed Democrats doing better than they did.
Published asPollsElectionsAverage missRelative to other pollsTypical size of miss538's last rating
Monmouth University Polling Institute782005–2021D+2.7R+0.25.1 pts2.9 of 3

ABC News closed FiveThirtyEight in March 2025; its data stops at the 2022 elections. 2026 results will be added once states certify them.

§5Its polls

The 96 polls of its we list, newest first.
In the fieldQuestionResultWithPaid for bySample
December 5–December 10, 2024Job approval · CongressDisapprove 74 · Approve 171,006 A
December 5–December 10, 2024Job approval · CongressDisapprove 75 · Approve 17946 RV
September 11–September 15, 2024Favorability · JD VanceUnfavorable 43 · Favorable 36803 RV
August 8–August 12, 2024Favorability · JD VanceUnfavorable 41 · Favorable 36801 RV
June 6–June 10, 2024Job approval · CongressDisapprove 82 · Approve 141,106 A
June 6–June 10, 2024Job approval · CongressDisapprove 82 · Approve 141,034 RV
April 18–April 22, 2024Job approval · CongressDisapprove 81 · Approve 12746 RV
April 18–April 22, 2024Job approval · CongressDisapprove 79 · Approve 14808 A
February 8–February 12, 2024Job approval · CongressDisapprove 79 · Approve 14902 A
November 30–December 4, 2023Job approval · CongressDisapprove 77 · Approve 17803 A
November 30–December 4, 2023Job approval · CongressDisapprove 78 · Approve 16743 RV
September 19–September 24, 2023Job approval · CongressDisapprove 75 · Approve 16737 RV
September 19–September 24, 2023Job approval · CongressDisapprove 74 · Approve 17814 A
July 12–July 17, 2023Job approval · CongressDisapprove 69 · Approve 20840 RV
July 12–July 17, 2023Job approval · CongressDisapprove 68 · Approve 22910 A
May 18–May 23, 2023Job approval · CongressDisapprove 74 · Approve 18907 RV
May 18–May 23, 2023Job approval · CongressDisapprove 72 · Approve 18981 A
March 16–March 20, 2023Job approval · CongressDisapprove 69 · Approve 21748 RV
March 16–March 20, 2023Job approval · CongressDisapprove 68 · Approve 23805 A
January 26–January 30, 2023Job approval · CongressDisapprove 67 · Approve 19805 A
January 26–January 30, 2023Job approval · CongressDisapprove 69 · Approve 19757 RV
December 8–December 12, 2022Job approval · CongressDisapprove 62 · Approve 26805 A
December 8–December 12, 2022Job approval · CongressDisapprove 62 · Approve 28739 RV
October 13–October 17, 2022Job approval · CongressDisapprove 69 · Approve 23808 A
October 13–October 17, 2022Job approval · CongressDisapprove 69 · Approve 23756 RV
September 21–September 25, 2022Job approval · CongressDisapprove 66 · Approve 23806 A
September 21–September 25, 2022Job approval · Supreme CourtDisapprove 54 · Approve 37806 A
September 21–September 25, 2022Job approval · Supreme CourtDisapprove 56 · Approve 38750 RV
September 21–September 25, 2022Job approval · CongressDisapprove 67 · Approve 23750 RV
July 28–August 1, 2022Job approval · CongressDisapprove 74 · Approve 17808 A
July 28–August 1, 2022Job approval · Supreme CourtDisapprove 58 · Approve 39751 RV
July 28–August 1, 2022Job approval · Supreme CourtDisapprove 59 · Approve 37808 A
July 28–August 1, 2022Job approval · CongressDisapprove 74 · Approve 18751 RV
June 23–June 27, 2022Job approval · CongressDisapprove 78 · Approve 15910 RV
June 24–June 27, 2022Job approval · Supreme CourtDisapprove 53 · Approve 41747 A
June 24–June 27, 2022Job approval · Supreme CourtDisapprove 52 · Approve 42694 RV
June 23–June 27, 2022Job approval · CongressDisapprove 78 · Approve 15978 A
May 5–May 9, 2022Job approval · Supreme CourtDisapprove 51 · Approve 39751 RV
May 5–May 9, 2022Job approval · CongressDisapprove 77 · Approve 16751 RV
May 5–May 9, 2022Job approval · CongressDisapprove 77 · Approve 15807 A
May 5–May 9, 2022Job approval · Supreme CourtDisapprove 52 · Approve 38807 A
March 10–March 14, 2022Job approval · Supreme CourtApprove 42 · Disapprove 42809 A
March 10–March 14, 2022Job approval · CongressDisapprove 72 · Approve 20746 RV
March 10–March 14, 2022Job approval · CongressDisapprove 71 · Approve 21809 A
March 10–March 14, 2022Job approval · Supreme CourtDisapprove 43 · Approve 42746 RV
January 20–January 24, 2022Job approval · CongressDisapprove 76 · Approve 18735 RV
January 20–January 24, 2022Job approval · CongressDisapprove 74 · Approve 19794 A
December 2–December 6, 2021Job approval · CongressDisapprove 66 · Approve 23808 A
December 2–December 6, 2021Job approval · CongressDisapprove 67 · Approve 24753 RV
November 4–November 8, 2021Job approval · CongressDisapprove 70 · Approve 18811 A
November 4–November 8, 2021Job approval · CongressDisapprove 71 · Approve 19726 RV
September 9–September 13, 2021Job approval · Supreme CourtDisapprove 46 · Approve 43747 RV
September 9–September 13, 2021Job approval · Supreme CourtDisapprove 45 · Approve 42802 A
September 9–September 13, 2021Job approval · CongressDisapprove 65 · Approve 22747 RV
September 9–September 13, 2021Job approval · CongressDisapprove 65 · Approve 22802 A
July 21–July 26, 2021Job approval · CongressDisapprove 62 · Approve 23804 A
July 21–July 26, 2021Job approval · CongressDisapprove 63 · Approve 22753 RV
June 9–June 14, 2021Job approval · CongressDisapprove 65 · Approve 21810 A
June 9–June 14, 2021Job approval · CongressDisapprove 65 · Approve 21758 RV
April 8–April 12, 2021Job approval · CongressDisapprove 56 · Approve 35800 A
April 8–April 12, 2021Job approval · CongressDisapprove 59 · Approve 33743 RV
February 25–March 1, 2021Job approval · CongressDisapprove 59 · Approve 30802 A
February 25–March 1, 2021Job approval · CongressDisapprove 61 · Approve 29731 RV
January 21–January 24, 2021Job approval · CongressDisapprove 51 · Approve 35809 A
January 21–January 24, 2021Job approval · CongressDisapprove 51 · Approve 34736 RV
November 12–November 16, 2020Job approval · CongressDisapprove 64 · Approve 23810 A
May 28–June 1, 2020Job approval · CongressDisapprove 71 · Approve 21742 RV
May 28–June 1, 2020Job approval · CongressDisapprove 69 · Approve 22807 A
April 30–May 4, 2020Job approval · CongressDisapprove 55 · Approve 32808 A
April 30–May 4, 2020Job approval · CongressDisapprove 55 · Approve 31739 RV
April 3–April 7, 2020Job approval · CongressDisapprove 55 · Approve 32857 A
April 3–April 7, 2020Job approval · CongressDisapprove 56 · Approve 31743 RV
February 6–February 9, 2020Job approval · CongressDisapprove 70 · Approve 20827 RV
February 6–February 9, 2020Job approval · CongressDisapprove 69 · Approve 20902 A
January 16–January 20, 2020Job approval · CongressDisapprove 64 · Approve 24847 RV
January 16–January 20, 2020Job approval · CongressDisapprove 62 · Approve 24903 A
December 4–December 8, 2019Job approval · CongressDisapprove 65 · Approve 22903 A
December 4–December 8, 2019Job approval · CongressDisapprove 67 · Approve 21838 RV
October 30–November 3, 2019Job approval · CongressDisapprove 64 · Approve 23908 A
October 30–November 3, 2019Job approval · CongressDisapprove 66 · Approve 23835 RV
September 23–September 29, 2019Job approval · CongressDisapprove 68 · Approve 211,161 A
September 23–September 29, 2019Job approval · CongressDisapprove 70 · Approve 191,017 RV
August 16–August 20, 2019Job approval · CongressDisapprove 72 · Approve 16689 RV
August 16–August 20, 2019Job approval · CongressDisapprove 71 · Approve 17800 A
June 12–June 17, 2019Job approval · CongressDisapprove 72 · Approve 17660 RV
June 12–June 17, 2019Job approval · CongressDisapprove 69 · Approve 19751 A
May 16–May 20, 2019Job approval · CongressDisapprove 73 · Approve 19719 RV
May 16–May 20, 2019Job approval · CongressDisapprove 71 · Approve 20802 A
April 11–April 15, 2019Job approval · CongressDisapprove 64 · Approve 23711 RV
April 11–April 15, 2019Job approval · CongressDisapprove 62 · Approve 24801 A
March 1–March 4, 2019Job approval · CongressDisapprove 70 · Approve 22746 RV
March 1–March 4, 2019Job approval · CongressDisapprove 68 · Approve 23802 A
January 25–January 27, 2019Job approval · CongressDisapprove 72 · Approve 18805 A
January 25–January 27, 2019Job approval · CongressDisapprove 73 · Approve 18735 RV
November 9–November 12, 2018Job approval · CongressDisapprove 65 · Approve 23716 RV
November 9–November 12, 2018Job approval · CongressDisapprove 63 · Approve 23802 A

§6What we looked for and didn't find

  • The institute's site no longer carries an about page, so its own description of its mission and any statement on partisan work were not read.
  • No end date for the Washington Post arrangement was found on a primary page; news search results describe a further joint South Carolina poll in early 2024.
  • Earlier news partnerships, such as with Gannett New Jersey, were seen only in search results and opinion pieces and were not confirmed on a primary page.
  • Searches found no AAPOR statement, court ruling, regulator action, aggregator statement about excluding or reweighting its polls, or retraction or correction; Patrick Murray's 2019 statement calling one national poll an outlier and his 2021 column on the New Jersey governor's race did not withdraw or revise those polls and are listed under pointers.