Pollster · Academic
Michigan State University Institute for Public Policy and Social Research
- Polls since 2024
- 6
- Latest poll ended
- October 19, 2026
- House effect vs. other polls
- D+2.5
Polls from the VoteHub polling API, used under CC BY 4.0. Each result links to the pollster's or sponsor's own release. Imported once a day; a poll VoteHub later changes keeps its earlier version on record here.
§1About
Drafted by AI from the public sources cited. Each sentence links to its source.
The Institute for Public Policy and Social Research is a Michigan State University unit that, according to its about page, does public policy research, survey research and policy education and training, and runs the Office for Survey Research and the State of the State Survey.2 Its director page says political science professor Matt Grossmann has led its work since 2016.3 MSU's archives say the institute was formed around 1990 from the Social Science Research Bureau within the College of Social Science, and that college lists it among its centers and institutes.4,
- Kind
- Academic2
§2Who it works with
Why this matters: Owners, news partners and the firms behind a poll's interviews shape what gets asked, how, and what gets published.
Owns
Part of
Fieldwork or panel by
Led by
- Matt Grossmann (2016–now). Its director page names Matt Grossmann as director and says he has led the institute's work since 2016.3
Published with
Names its polls have been published under, alongside other pollsters or news outlets.
- Michigan State University Institute for Public Policy and Social Research/YouGov: YouGov · 6 polls listed
§3Whom it works for
Why this matters: A firm that also works for one party's campaigns can still publish accurate polls, but readers deserve to know.
Says it does no work for parties or candidates. The institute's about page says the State of the State Survey is designed to give policy leaders nonpartisan information; the pages read do not say whether the institute works for candidates or parties.2
Of its 6 polls listed since the 2024 election, VoteHub flags 0 as paid for by a Democratic-aligned sponsor and 0 by a Republican-aligned sponsor9.
§4How its numbers compare with other polls
Why this matters: A firm whose polls run steadily to one side of everyone else's is worth reading alongside others.
Each of its polls since the 2024 election is compared with other pollsters' polls of the same question whose field period ended within 14 days, each other pollster counted once9. The figure is the average gap, with a 95% margin. This compares it with other polls, not with the truth: the others can be the ones that are off.
- Party margin
- D+2.5 (±2.3) across 6 polls of the generic ballot and 2026 races, in 2 contests.
D+ means its polls showed Democrats doing better than other polls did; R+, Republicans. A figure from fewer than 5 polls isn't shown.
§5Record against results
Why this matters: The one test that doesn't depend on other polls: how close a firm's final polls came to what voters did.
From FiveThirtyEight's final public data10,
| Published as | Polls | Elections | Average miss | Relative to other polls | Typical size of miss | 538's last rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michigan State University Institute for Public Policy and Social Research | 2 | 2018 | R+0.5 | R+1.4 | 1.0 pts | 2.5 of 3 |
ABC News closed FiveThirtyEight in March 2025; its data stops at the 2022 elections. 2026 results will be added once states certify them.
§6Its polls
| In the field | Question | Result | With | Paid for by | Sample |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| October 2–October 19, 2026 | Governor · 2026 Michigan | Jocelyn Benson 53.3 · John James 40.9 | YouGov | 836 LV | |
| October 2–October 19, 2026 | U.S. Senate · 2026 Michigan | Abdul El-Sayed 48 · Mike Rogers 45.5 | YouGov | 836 LV | |
| August 10–August 20, 2026 | Governor · 2026 Michigan | Jocelyn Benson 52 · John James 43 | YouGov | 779 LV | |
| August 10–August 20, 2026 | Governor · 2026 Michigan | Jocelyn Benson 49 · John James 39 | YouGov | 913 RV | |
| August 10–August 20, 2026 | U.S. Senate · 2026 Michigan | Abdul El-Sayed 50 · Mike Rogers 45 | YouGov | 779 LV | |
| August 10–August 20, 2026 | U.S. Senate · 2026 Michigan | Abdul El-Sayed 48 · Mike Rogers 44 | YouGov | 913 RV |
§7What we looked for and didn't find
- No exact founding date was found; MSU's archives say only that the institute was formed around 1990, so founded is left empty.
- No standing news partner or outside sponsor was named in the releases read, and neither 2026 release says who funded the survey.
- No start date was found for the survey's use of YouGov's panel.
- A web search for AAPOR statements, retractions, corrections or errors involving the survey found none, and AAPOR's statements list (five pages, read on 2026-11-06) names none; targeted searches for court cases, regulator actions and aggregator statements could not be run after the session's web search budget ran out.