
Pollster · Academic
Hendrix College
- Polls since 2024
- 2
- Latest poll ended
- October 13, 2026
- Record vs. results, relative
- R+2.1
Polls from the VoteHub polling API, used under CC BY 4.0. Each result links to the pollster's or sponsor's own release. Imported once a day; a poll VoteHub later changes keeps its earlier version on record here.
§1About
Drafted by AI from the public sources cited. Each sentence links to its source.
Hendrix College is a liberal arts college in Conway, Arkansas, founded in 1876 and affiliated with the United Methodist Church since 1884, according to its about page.2 Its polls are released as the Talk Business & Politics-Hendrix College Poll; the October 2026 release says Jay Barth, emeritus professor of politics at Hendrix, helped craft and analyze the poll of 709 likely Arkansas voters, collected October 8 to 13, 2026 by text message and live callers.3 A 2018 Talk Business & Politics article says the polling partnership began in 2010 and was then being renewed and expanded to at least six polls a year, with Barth leading a student team.4
§2Who it works with
Why this matters: Owners, news partners and the firms behind a poll's interviews shape what gets asked, how, and what gets published.
News partners
- Talk Business & Politics (2010–now). Talk Business & Politics wrote in 2018 that its polling partnership with Hendrix College began in 2010, and its August and October 2026 releases are published as Talk Business & Politics-Hendrix College polls.3,
4, 5
Polls jointly with
- Impact Management Group (2015–now). Talk Business & Politics wrote in February 2015 that it had begun a collaboration with Hendrix College and Little Rock-based Impact Management Group, which conducted that month's survey, and its October 2026 release says Robert Coon, managing partner of Impact Management Group, helped craft and analyze the poll.3,
6
Who paid for its polls
| Sponsor | Polls | Between | Flagged party-aligned |
|---|---|---|---|
| Talk Business & Politics | 2 | August 13, 2026 – October 13, 2026 | No |
§3Whom it works for
Why this matters: A firm that also works for one party's campaigns can still publish accurate polls, but readers deserve to know.
Doesn’t say whom it works for. The Hendrix College about page says nothing about political work. Talk Business & Politics, its standing partner, says it seeks bipartisan input for its polls and describes Barth as active in Democratic Party politics and Coon's firm as working with Republican candidates; that describes the people involved rather than assigning a party to the college, so this rests on the college's own pages, which do not state one.2,
Of its 2 polls listed since the 2024 election, VoteHub flags 0 as paid for by a Democratic-aligned sponsor and 0 by a Republican-aligned sponsor7.
§4Record against results
Why this matters: The one test that doesn't depend on other polls: how close a firm's final polls came to what voters did.
From FiveThirtyEight's final public data8,
| Published as | Polls | Elections | Average miss | Relative to other polls | Typical size of miss | 538's last rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hendrix College | 15 | 2010–2018 | D+3.7 | R+2.1 | 6.7 pts | 0.9 of 3 |
ABC News closed FiveThirtyEight in March 2025; its data stops at the 2022 elections. 2026 results will be added once states certify them.
§52026 record against the count
Why this matters: How close this pollster's last 2026 polls came to how people voted, measured the way FiveThirtyEight measured earlier elections.
One poll of one race between a Democrat and a Republican, with field periods ending in the 21 days before November 3, 2026, compared with each race's count. Some of those races are still being counted, so these figures use the unofficial count and will change until states certify.
- Average miss
- D+2.8
- Relative to other polls of the same races
- D+3.5
- Typical size of miss
- 2.8 pts
Error is the poll's D−R margin minus the count's, as shares of all votes in the race; D+ means it showed Democrats doing better than they did. From fewer than 5 polls, so read it as a few data points, not a pattern.
§6Its polls
| In the field | Question | Result | With | Paid for by | Sample |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| October 8–October 13, 2026 | U.S. Senate · 2026 Arkansas | Tom Cotton 50 · Hallie Shoffner 41 · Jeff Wadlin 5 | Talk Business & Politics | 709 LV | |
| August 12–August 13, 2026 | U.S. House · 2026 AR-02 | Chris Jones 48 · French Hill 44 | Talk Business & Politics | 1,112 LV |
§7What we looked for and didn't find
- The 2026 releases do not name the firm that collected the interviews; only the 2015 release says Impact Management Group conducted the survey.
- No Hendrix College page describing the poll or naming the college's president was read.
- Searches found no AAPOR statement, court ruling, regulator action, aggregator statement about excluding or reweighting its polls, or retraction; an opinion piece criticizing one poll's question wording is listed under pointers.