Pollster · Commercial firm

Focaldata

Research draft
Polls since 2024
48
Latest poll ended
June 30, 2026
House effect vs. other polls
D+0.2

Polls from the VoteHub polling API, used under CC BY 4.0. Each result links to the pollster's or sponsor's own release. Imported once a day; a poll VoteHub later changes keeps its earlier version on record here.

§1About

Drafted by AI from the public sources cited. Each sentence links to its source.

Focaldata is a London research company that says it combines AI with human expertise in qualitative and quantitative research, and says it is a registered member of the Market Research Society and the British Polling Council.1,2 Its about page lists Justin Ibbett as founder and chief executive, and Companies House shows Focaldata Limited incorporated on 6 January 2017 with market research and public opinion polling among its activities.3,4

Kind
Commercial firm1,4
Founded
20174

§2Who it works with

Why this matters: Owners, news partners and the firms behind a poll's interviews shape what gets asked, how, and what gets published.

News partners

  • Financial Times (2026-05–now). Focaldata wrote in May 2026 that it would run a monthly poll of American voters for the Financial Times through the 2026 midterm cycle, published on its site and on ft.com.2

Founded by

  • Justin Ibbett. The Focaldata about page lists Justin Ibbett as founder.3

Led by

  • Justin Ibbett. The Focaldata about page lists Justin Ibbett as chief executive and Richard Gibson as chairman.3

Who paid for its polls

Sponsors named on its polls, most polls first5. A party-aligned flag is VoteHub's, per poll.
SponsorPollsBetweenFlagged party-aligned
Financial Times24May 5, 2026 – June 30, 2026No

§3Whom it works for

Why this matters: A firm that also works for one party's campaigns can still publish accurate polls, but readers deserve to know.

Doesn’t say whom it works for. Focaldata's pages say its founder has advised major political parties and that it has supported more than 40 political campaigns, NGOs and government bodies, without naming parties or campaigns.1,3

Of its 48 polls listed since the 2024 election, VoteHub flags 0 as paid for by a Democratic-aligned sponsor and 0 by a Republican-aligned sponsor5.

§4How its numbers compare with other polls

Why this matters: A firm whose polls run steadily to one side of everyone else's is worth reading alongside others.

Each of its polls since the 2024 election is compared with other pollsters' polls of the same question whose field period ended within 14 days, each other pollster counted once5. The figure is the average gap, with a 95% margin. This compares it with other polls, not with the truth: the others can be the ones that are off.

Party margin
D+0.2 (±0.9) across 11 polls of the generic ballot and 2026 races, in 1 contest.
Net approval: Donald Trump
−0.4 points (±1.8) across 7 polls, against other polls of the same question.
Net favorability: Donald Trump
+0.8 points (±2.3) across 6 polls, against other polls of the same question.
Net favorability: JD Vance
+2.9 points (±3.9) across 6 polls, against other polls of the same question.

D+ means its polls showed Democrats doing better than other polls did; R+, Republicans. A figure from fewer than 5 polls isn't shown.

§5Its polls

The 48 polls of its we list, newest first.
In the fieldQuestionResultWithPaid for bySample
June 26–June 30, 2026Generic congressional ballot · 2026Dem 50 · Rep 43Financial Times1,795 RV
May 29–June 1, 2026Generic congressional ballot · 2026Dem 48 · Rep 43Financial Times1,537 RV
May 29–June 1, 2026Favorability · Donald TrumpUnfavorable 54 · Favorable 40Financial Times1,537 RV
May 29–June 1, 2026Presidential primary · 2028 RepublicanJD Vance 37 · Marco Rubio 18 · Ron DeSantis 9 · Donald Trump Jr. 9 · Robert F. Kennedy Jr. 5 · Vivek Ramaswamy 3 · 3 moreFinancial Times641 RV
May 29–June 1, 2026Presidential primary · 2028 RepublicanJD Vance 38 · Marco Rubio 18 · Donald Trump Jr. 10 · Ron DeSantis 9 · Robert F. Kennedy Jr. 5 · Vivek Ramaswamy 3 · 3 moreFinancial Times632 LV
May 29–June 1, 2026Presidential primary · 2028 DemocraticKamala Harris 36 · Gavin Newsom 16 · Pete Buttigieg 8 · Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 7 · Mark Kelly 5 · Josh Shapiro 3 · 4 moreFinancial Times685 A
May 29–June 1, 2026Presidential primary · 2028 DemocraticKamala Harris 36 · Gavin Newsom 17 · Pete Buttigieg 8 · Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 7 · Mark Kelly 5 · Andy Beshear 3 · 4 moreFinancial Times657 RV
May 29–June 1, 2026Presidential primary · 2028 DemocraticKamala Harris 37 · Gavin Newsom 17 · Pete Buttigieg 8 · Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 7 · Mark Kelly 5 · Andy Beshear 3 · 4 moreFinancial Times646 LV
May 29–June 1, 2026Favorability · JD VanceFavorable 32 · Unfavorable 29Financial Times1,719 A
May 29–June 1, 2026Favorability · JD VanceUnfavorable 34 · Favorable 30Financial Times1,537 RV
May 29–June 1, 2026Favorability · Donald TrumpUnfavorable 53 · Favorable 39Financial Times1,719 A
May 29–June 1, 2026Job approval · Donald TrumpDisapprove 56 · Approve 37Financial Times1,719 A
May 29–June 1, 2026Job approval · Donald TrumpDisapprove 56 · Approve 38Financial Times1,537 RV
May 29–June 1, 2026Generic congressional ballot · 2026Dem 45 · Rep 42Financial Times1,719 A
May 29, 2026Presidential primary · 2028 RepublicanJD Vance 37 · Marco Rubio 18 · Donald Trump Jr. 10 · Ron DeSantis 9 · Robert F. Kennedy Jr. 5 · Vivek Ramaswamy 3 · 3 moreFinancial Times667 A
May 1–May 5, 2026Job approval · Donald TrumpDisapprove 54.9 · Approve 36.9Financial Times3,612 A
May 1–May 5, 2026Generic congressional ballot · 2026Dem 51.9 · Rep 44.5Financial Times3,017 RV
May 1–May 5, 2026Job approval · Donald TrumpDisapprove 54.1 · Approve 39.2Financial Times3,167 RV
May 1–May 5, 2026Presidential primary · 2028 DemocraticKamala Harris 38.0 · Gavin Newsom 16.2 · Pete Buttigieg 8.9 · Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 8.5 · Mark Kelly 5.6 · Josh Shapiro 5.1 · 4 moreFinancial Times1,339 RV
May 1–May 5, 2026Presidential primary · 2028 DemocraticKamala Harris 38.6 · Gavin Newsom 15.6 · Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 8.5 · Pete Buttigieg 8.3 · Josh Shapiro 5.4 · JB Pritzker 5.1 · 4 moreFinancial Times1,430 A
May 1–May 5, 2026Presidential primary · 2028 RepublicanJD Vance 40.0 · Donald Trump Jr. 15.2 · Marco Rubio 13.9 · Ron DeSantis 7.5 · Robert F. Kennedy Jr. 5.3 · Ted Cruz 2.8 · 3 moreFinancial Times1,291 RV
May 1–May 5, 2026Presidential primary · 2028 RepublicanJD Vance 40.3 · Donald Trump Jr. 15.3 · Marco Rubio 13.4 · Ron DeSantis 7.3 · Robert F. Kennedy Jr. 5.7 · Ted Cruz 2.8 · 3 moreFinancial Times1,352 A
May 1–May 5, 2026Generic congressional ballot · 2026Dem 46.4 · Rep 38.8Financial Times3,612 A
May 1–May 5, 2026Favorability · Donald TrumpUnfavorable 54 · Favorable 39Financial Times3,612 A
May 1–May 5, 2026Favorability · JD VanceUnfavorable 44 · Favorable 373,612 A
March 6–March 10, 2026Presidential primary · 2028 DemocraticKamala Harris 39 · Gavin Newsom 22 · Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 11 · Pete Buttigieg 8 · Josh Shapiro 6 · JB Pritzker 4 · 4 more672 RV
March 6–March 10, 2026Presidential primary · 2028 RepublicanJD Vance 47 · Donald Trump Jr. 18 · Marco Rubio 15 · Ron DeSantis 10 · Robert F. Kennedy Jr. 4 · Ted Cruz 3 · 2 more560 RV
March 6–March 10, 2026Presidential primary · 2028 RepublicanJD Vance 46 · Donald Trump Jr. 18 · Marco Rubio 15 · Ron DeSantis 9 · Robert F. Kennedy Jr. 5 · Ted Cruz 4 · 2 more596 A
March 6–March 10, 2026Favorability · Donald TrumpUnfavorable 52 · Favorable 381,782 A
March 6–March 10, 2026Job approval · Donald TrumpDisapprove 51 · Approve 371,782 A
March 6–March 10, 2026Job approval · Donald TrumpDisapprove 51 · Approve 391,534 RV
March 6–March 10, 2026Favorability · JD VanceUnfavorable 44 · Favorable 341,782 A
March 6–March 10, 2026Generic congressional ballot · 2026Dem 48 · Rep 421,534 RV
March 6–March 10, 2026Generic congressional ballot · 2026Dem 45 · Rep 391,782 A
March 6–March 10, 2026Presidential primary · 2028 DemocraticKamala Harris 40 · Gavin Newsom 21 · Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 12 · Pete Buttigieg 7 · Josh Shapiro 6 · JB Pritzker 4 · 4 more702 A
February 10, 2026Generic congressional ballot · 2026Dem 46 · Rep 42— RV
February 10, 2026Presidential primary · 2028 RepublicanJD Vance 49 · Donald Trump Jr. 13 · Marco Rubio 8 · Ron DeSantis 7 · Robert F. Kennedy Jr. 6 · Vivek Ramaswamy 4 · 4 more406 LV
February 10, 2026Favorability · JD VanceUnfavorable 43 · Favorable 311,148 A
February 10, 2026Favorability · Donald TrumpUnfavorable 52 · Favorable 351,148 A
February 10, 2026Generic congressional ballot · 2026Dem 51 · Rep 44— LV
February 10, 2026Job approval · Donald TrumpDisapprove 53 · Approve 341,148 A
February 10, 2026Generic congressional ballot · 2026Dem 42 · Rep 381,148 A
February 10, 2026Presidential primary · 2028 DemocraticKamala Harris 37 · Gavin Newsom 20 · Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 10 · Pete Buttigieg 6 · Josh Shapiro 6 · Mark Kelly 5 · 4 more441 LV
January 23–January 26, 2026Presidential primary · 2028 RepublicanJD Vance 52 · Donald Trump Jr. 21 · Marco Rubio 8 · Ron DeSantis 8 · Nikki Haley 7 · Ted Cruz 4726 LV
January 23–January 26, 2026Favorability · Donald TrumpUnfavorable 51 · Favorable 372,037 A
January 23–January 26, 2026Generic congressional ballot · 2026Dem 39 · Rep 352,037 A
January 23–January 26, 2026Favorability · JD VanceUnfavorable 43 · Favorable 332,037 A
January 23–January 26, 2026Presidential primary · 2028 DemocraticKamala Harris 40 · Gavin Newsom 22 · Pete Buttigieg 9 · Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 9 · Mark Kelly 6 · JB Pritzker 4 · 4 more735 LV

§6What we looked for and didn't find

  • No ownership or investor information was found.
  • Its homepage cites a large pool of authenticated respondents but does not say whether it runs its own panel or name panel suppliers.
  • Its customer page describes one MRP project for the UK advocacy group HOPE not hate, with no dates; no standing non-news client was confirmed.
  • No political party or campaign clients are named on the pages read.
  • Searches found no British Polling Council ruling, AAPOR statement, court ruling or filing, regulator action, aggregator statement about excluding or reweighting its polls, or retraction by the firm.