Expedition Strategies

§1About

✎ Drafted by AI from the public sources cited. Each sentence links to its source.

Expedition Strategies describes itself on its website as a strategic communications firm that works with campaigns, companies and advocacy groups and draws on behavioral science and opinion research.^1,2 Its team page names Pete Brodnitz as founder and president and lists a managing director, a director and an analyst.³ Its about page says it advised the winning campaigns of six U.S. senators and more than a dozen heads of state or government, and its client list includes political clients outside the United States.^2,4

Kind

Commercial firm^1,2

§2Who it works with

Why this matters: Owners, news partners and the firms behind a poll's interviews shape what gets asked, how, and what gets published.

Who paid for its polls

§3Whom it works for

Why this matters: A firm that also works for one party's campaigns can still publish accurate polls, but readers deserve to know.

Works for Democratic candidates or groups. The party committees and caucuses its client list names are all Democratic ones (the Democratic Governors Association, the Florida Democratic Party, and the Texas Democratic Senate Caucus and Nevada Democratic Assembly Caucus), it lists independent expenditure work for House Majority PAC, and the candidates it lists include Senators Tim Kaine, Ron Wyden and Mazie Hirono; none of the pages read names a Republican committee or candidate. This rests on the clients it names; its pages do not describe the firm as working for one party.⁴

• Democratic Governors Association. Its client list names independent expenditure work for the Democratic Governors Association, including Delaware's 2024 governor's race.⁴
• Florida Democratic Party. Its client list names the Florida Democratic Party among party caucuses and committees it helped directly.⁴
• Tim Kaine. Its client list names Tim Kaine for races for governor and senator in Virginia, including 2024.⁴
• Ron Wyden. Its client list names Senator Ron Wyden of Oregon, including his 2022 race.⁴
• Tim Walz. Its client list names Tim Walz as a congressional client and, with Peggy Flanagan, for Minnesota governor in 2022.⁴

Of its 2 polls listed since the 2024 election, VoteHub flags 2 as paid for by a Democratic-aligned sponsor and 0 by a Republican-aligned sponsor⁵.

Federal campaigns and committees that paid it

From 2023 through 2026, 12 federal committees reported paying Expedition Strategies $1,893,025 for polling, surveys or research^6,7,8,9. By the party each committee reports to the FEC: 8 Democratic, 0 Republican, and 4 none (most PACs and super PACs report none).

§4Record against results

Why this matters: The one test that doesn't depend on other polls: how close a firm's final polls came to what voters did.

From FiveThirtyEight's final public data^10,11: general-election polls between a Democrat and a Republican in the last three weeks before each election, compared with the certified result. FiveThirtyEight rated each name polls were published under separately. Across all 8,957 such polls, the average miss was D+0.7, so the relative figure takes out the misses every pollster shared that year.

ABC News closed FiveThirtyEight in March 2025; its data stops at the 2022 elections. 2026 results will be added once states certify them.

§5Its polls

§6What we looked for and didn't find

• No founding year or headquarters location was found on its website.
• No ownership information was found beyond its founder and president.
• Its website names no news outlet partners and no fieldwork or panel vendors.
• Alex Kelloff and House Majority PAC appear as sponsors of some of its polls; the Politico-hosted poll document could not be fetched and the X post was not read.
• Searches found no AAPOR statement, court ruling or filing, regulator action, aggregator statement about excluding or reweighting its polls, or retraction by the firm.