Pollster

DCCC Targeting and Analytics Department

Research draft
Polls since 2024
6
Latest poll ended
October 21, 2026
Record vs. results, relative
D+2.5

Polls from the VoteHub polling API, used under CC BY 4.0. Each result links to the pollster's or sponsor's own release. Imported once a day; a poll VoteHub later changes keeps its earlier version on record here.

§1About

Drafted by AI from the public sources cited. Each sentence links to its source.

The DCCC, which calls itself the official campaign arm of the Democrats in the House of Representatives and lists a Washington, D.C. address, issues polling memos from an in-house department signed as the DCCC Targeting and Analytics Department in 2018 and as the DCCC Analytics Department in 2024 and 2026.1,2,3,4 Its 2026 memos describe internal DCCC Analytics polls of likely voters in single congressional districts, conducted by phone and text-to-web.4,5 A DCCC job posting from April 2026 for a polling analyst in its Analytics/Targeting department says the role supports internal polling and modeling programs, including work with outside modeling, technology and phone vendors.6

§2Who it works with

Why this matters: Owners, news partners and the firms behind a poll's interviews shape what gets asked, how, and what gets published.

Part of

Published with

Names its polls have been published under, alongside other pollsters or news outlets.

§3Whom it works for

Why this matters: A firm that also works for one party's campaigns can still publish accurate polls, but readers deserve to know.

Works for Democratic candidates or groups. It is a department of the DCCC, which describes itself as the official campaign arm of House Democrats whose goal is helping Democratic House candidates win; this rests on its parent committee's own description.1,4

Of its 6 polls listed since the 2024 election, VoteHub flags 6 as paid for by a Democratic-aligned sponsor and 0 by a Republican-aligned sponsor7.

§4Record against results

Why this matters: The one test that doesn't depend on other polls: how close a firm's final polls came to what voters did.

From FiveThirtyEight's final public data8,9: general-election polls between a Democrat and a Republican in the last three weeks before each election, compared with the certified result. FiveThirtyEight rated each name polls were published under separately. Across all 8,957 such polls, the average miss was D+0.7, so the relative figure takes out the misses every pollster shared that year.

Error is the poll's D−R margin minus the result's; D+ means it showed Democrats doing better than they did.
Published asPollsElectionsAverage missRelative to other pollsTypical size of miss538's last rating
DCCC Targeting and Analytics Department82016–2022D+4.8D+2.57.8 pts1.1 of 3 · 1% partisan work

ABC News closed FiveThirtyEight in March 2025; its data stops at the 2022 elections. 2026 results will be added once states certify them.

§52026 record against the count

Why this matters: How close this pollster's last 2026 polls came to how people voted, measured the way FiveThirtyEight measured earlier elections.

3 polls of 3 races between a Democrat and a Republican, with field periods ending in the 21 days before November 3, 2026, compared with each race's count. Some of those races are still being counted, so these figures use the unofficial count and will change until states certify.

Average miss
R+4.7
Relative to other polls of the same races
Even
Typical size of miss
6.0 pts

Error is the poll's D−R margin minus the count's, as shares of all votes in the race; D+ means it showed Democrats doing better than they did. From fewer than 5 polls, so read it as a few data points, not a pattern.

§6Its polls

The 6 polls of its we list, newest first.
In the fieldQuestionResultWithPaid for bySample
October 20–October 21, 2026U.S. House · 2026 CO-03Dwayne Romero 47 · Jeff Hurd 46Democratic Congressional Campaign CommitteeDemocratic-aligned sponsor402 LV
October 17–October 19, 2026U.S. House · 2026 FL-07Bale Dalton 45 · Ryan Elijah 45Democratic Congressional Campaign CommitteeDemocratic-aligned sponsor414 LV
October 12–October 13, 2026U.S. House · 2026 OH-10Kristina Knickerbocker 47 · Mike Turner 44 · Thomas McMasters 4Democratic Congressional Campaign CommitteeDemocratic-aligned sponsor535 LV
October 7–October 13, 2026U.S. House · 2026 TX-28Henry Cuellar 54 · Tano Tijerina 34Democratic Congressional Campaign CommitteeDemocratic-aligned sponsor563 LV
September 22–September 23, 2026U.S. House · 2026 OH-09Marcy Kaptur 48 · Derek Merrin 48Democratic Congressional Campaign CommitteeDemocratic-aligned sponsor481 LV
September 21–September 23, 2026U.S. House · 2026 WI-01Brian Steil 48 · Mitchell Berman 48Democratic Congressional Campaign CommitteeDemocratic-aligned sponsor495 LV

§7What we looked for and didn't find

  • None of the pollster kinds in our format fits a party committee's in-house department, so kind is left empty.
  • No founding year or department head was found.
  • The memos read name no phone or text vendor; the job posting refers to outside phone vendors without naming them.
  • On 2026-11-06 AAPOR's statements list (five pages), FiftyPlusOne's August 2026 notice suspending pollsters and web searches for court cases, regulator actions, aggregator statements and retractions or corrections concerning DCCC Analytics polls found none; the one FEC matter found on DCCC polling (MUR 7391, closed in 2019 with no reason to believe a violation occurred) concerned polling bought from an outside firm rather than this department's polls and is listed under pointers.