Pollster · Academic

Christopher Newport University Wason Center for Civic Leadership

Also published as Christopher Newport University.

Research draft
Polls since 2024
7
Latest poll ended
October 23, 2025
Record vs. results, relative
D+1.5

Polls from the VoteHub polling API, used under CC BY 4.0. Each result links to the pollster's or sponsor's own release. Imported once a day; a poll VoteHub later changes keeps its earlier version on record here.

§1About

Drafted by AI from the public sources cited. Each sentence links to its source.

The Wason Center for Civic Leadership at Christopher Newport University describes itself as a trusted, nonpartisan source of polling on elections and public policy in Virginia, with student Wason Scholars helping to write questions, collect responses and analyze results.2,3 Its polling page names an annual State of the Commonwealth Survey along with election surveys, and its home page says the center has existed for more than a decade.2,3 Its October 2025 survey release lists Cami Castleberry as director and Rebecca Bromley-Trujillo as research director.4

Kind
Academic2,3

§2Who it works with

Why this matters: Owners, news partners and the firms behind a poll's interviews shape what gets asked, how, and what gets published.

Part of

  • Christopher Newport University. Its pages present the center as part of Christopher Newport University.2,3

Fieldwork or panel by

  • Dynata (2025–now). Its two October 2025 Virginia survey releases say live calling was conducted by Dynata interviewers.4,5

Led by

  • Cami Castleberry. Its October 2025 survey release lists Cami Castleberry as the center's director.4

§3Whom it works for

Why this matters: A firm that also works for one party's campaigns can still publish accurate polls, but readers deserve to know.

Says it does no work for parties or candidates. Its polling and home pages describe the center as nonpartisan. This rests on its own description.2,3

Of its 7 polls listed since the 2024 election, VoteHub flags 0 as paid for by a Democratic-aligned sponsor and 0 by a Republican-aligned sponsor6.

§4Record against results

Why this matters: The one test that doesn't depend on other polls: how close a firm's final polls came to what voters did.

From FiveThirtyEight's final public data7,8: general-election polls between a Democrat and a Republican in the last three weeks before each election, compared with the certified result. FiveThirtyEight rated each name polls were published under separately. Across all 8,957 such polls, the average miss was D+0.7, so the relative figure takes out the misses every pollster shared that year.

Error is the poll's D−R margin minus the result's; D+ means it showed Democrats doing better than they did.
Published asPollsElectionsAverage missRelative to other pollsTypical size of miss538's last rating
Christopher Newport University Wason Center for Civic Leadership132010–2021D+3.1D+1.53.8 pts2.8 of 3

ABC News closed FiveThirtyEight in March 2025; its data stops at the 2022 elections. 2026 results will be added once states certify them.

§5Its polls

The 7 polls of its we list, newest first.
In the fieldQuestionResultWithPaid for bySample
October 21–October 23, 2025Governor · 2025 VirginiaAbigail Spanberger 50 · Winsome Earle-Sears 43803 LV
October 21–October 23, 2025Attorney general · 2025 VirginiaJason Miyares 46 · Jay Jones 45803 LV
October 4–October 6, 2025Attorney general · 2025 VirginiaJay Jones 49 · Jason Miyares 43805 LV
September 29–October 1, 2025Governor · 2025 VirginiaAbigail Spanberger 52 · Winsome Earle-Sears 42805 LV
September 8–September 14, 2025Attorney general · 2025 VirginiaJay Jones 48 · Jason Miyares 41808 LV
September 8–September 14, 2025Governor · 2025 VirginiaAbigail Spanberger 52 · Winsome Earle-Sears 40808 LV
January 6–January 13, 2025Governor · 2025 VirginiaAbigail Spanberger 44 · Winsome Earle-Sears 39806 RV

§6What we looked for and didn't find

  • No founding year was found on current Wason Center pages; a 2018 university news article that searches linked to a founding date returned not found.
  • Its pages name no funders and no standing news partners.
  • Only the two October 2025 survey releases read name a fieldwork vendor; vendors for earlier surveys were not checked.
  • No campaign or party clients were found.
  • Searches found no AAPOR statement, court ruling or filing, regulator action, aggregator statement about excluding or reweighting its polls, or retraction.