Pollster

Blueprint Polling

Research draft
Polls since 2024
9
Latest poll ended
October 24, 2026

Polls from the VoteHub polling API, used under CC BY 4.0. Each result links to the pollster's or sponsor's own release. Imported once a day; a poll VoteHub later changes keeps its earlier version on record here.

§1About

Drafted by AI from the public sources cited. Each sentence links to its source.

Blueprint describes itself on its website as a public opinion research initiative that studies what Democrats need to do to win, through frequent polling, message testing and analysis.1,2 Its press page names Evan Roth Smith as its lead pollster.3 According to The American Prospect in November 2023, Blueprint was then a new polling project funded by LinkedIn co-founder Reid Hoffman, and its first poll was fielded by YouGov and overseen by Slingshot Strategies, where Smith is a founding partner.4,5

§2Who it works with

Why this matters: Owners, news partners and the firms behind a poll's interviews shape what gets asked, how, and what gets published.

Polls jointly with

  • Slingshot Strategies (2023–now). According to The American Prospect, Slingshot Strategies oversaw Blueprint's first poll in 2023 and was the only firm Blueprint paid for that project; Slingshot's site lists Evan Roth Smith, Blueprint's lead pollster, as a founding partner.3,4,5

Fieldwork or panel by

  • YouGov (2023–now). According to The American Prospect, YouGov fielded Blueprint's first poll in 2023, and Blueprint's homepage refers to a Blueprint/YouGov survey.2,4

Led by

  • Evan Roth Smith. Blueprint's press page names Evan Roth Smith as its lead pollster.3

§3Whom it works for

Why this matters: A firm that also works for one party's campaigns can still publish accurate polls, but readers deserve to know.

Works for Democratic candidates or groups. Blueprint's about page says it is dedicated to empowering Democrats and provides data to campaigns, advocacy groups and journalists; this rests on its own description, and it names no party committees or campaigns as clients.1

Of its 9 polls listed since the 2024 election, VoteHub flags 3 as paid for by a Democratic-aligned sponsor and 0 by a Republican-aligned sponsor6.

§4Record against results

Why this matters: The one test that doesn't depend on other polls: how close a firm's final polls came to what voters did.

From FiveThirtyEight's final public data7,8: general-election polls between a Democrat and a Republican in the last three weeks before each election, compared with the certified result. FiveThirtyEight rated each name polls were published under separately. Across all 8,957 such polls, the average miss was D+0.7, so the relative figure takes out the misses every pollster shared that year.

Error is the poll's D−R margin minus the result's; D+ means it showed Democrats doing better than they did.
Published asPollsElectionsAverage missRelative to other pollsTypical size of miss538's last rating
Blueprint Polling22022D+2.9R+1.62.9 pts2.4 of 3

ABC News closed FiveThirtyEight in March 2025; its data stops at the 2022 elections. 2026 results will be added once states certify them.

§52026 record against the count

Why this matters: How close this pollster's last 2026 polls came to how people voted, measured the way FiveThirtyEight measured earlier elections.

2 polls of 2 races between a Democrat and a Republican, with field periods ending in the 21 days before November 3, 2026, compared with each race's count. Some of those races are still being counted, so these figures use the unofficial count and will change until states certify.

Average miss
D+1.2
Relative to other polls of the same races
D+5.6
Typical size of miss
1.2 pts

Error is the poll's D−R margin minus the count's, as shares of all votes in the race; D+ means it showed Democrats doing better than they did. From fewer than 5 polls, so read it as a few data points, not a pattern.

§6Its polls

The 9 polls of its we list, newest first.
In the fieldQuestionResultWithPaid for bySample
October 22–October 24, 2026Governor · 2026 AlabamaTommy Tuberville 48 · Doug Jones 45695 LV
October 22–October 24, 2026U.S. Senate · 2026 AlabamaBarry Moore 48 · Everett Wess 40695 LV
March 6–March 8, 2026U.S. House · 2026 FL-27María Elvira Salazar 47 · Robin Peguero 40Democratic-aligned sponsor451 RV
March 6–March 8, 2026U.S. House · 2026 FL-27María Elvira Salazar 46 · Eliott Rodriguez 43Democratic-aligned sponsor451 RV
February 23–February 24, 2026U.S. Senate · 2026 Texas DemocraticJames Talarico 51.9 · Jasmine Crockett 40 · Ahmad Hassan 0.2Democratic-aligned sponsor472 LV
March 13–March 14, 2025Favorability · Donald TrumpUnfavorable 51 · Favorable 461,400 RV
March 13–March 14, 2025Job approval · Donald TrumpDisapprove 51 · Approve 451,400 RV
March 13–March 14, 2025Favorability · JD VanceUnfavorable 47 · Favorable 411,400 RV
February 16–February 17, 2025Job approval · Donald TrumpDisapprove 48 · Approve 471,383 RV

§7What we looked for and didn't find

  • No founding date, legal structure, location or funding disclosure was found on Blueprint's own pages, so kind is left null; its funding is as reported by The American Prospect in 2023.
  • The fieldwork vendor is confirmed only for its first poll; the 2025 release page read does not name who fielded it.
  • No standing news partners or named clients were found.
  • The Florida Politics sample release and the Webflow-hosted report PDF were not read.