Pollster

Big Village

Not yet researched
Polls since 2024
0
Latest poll ended
October 23, 2024
Record vs. results, relative
D+0.2

Polls from the VoteHub polling API, used under CC BY 4.0. Each result links to the pollster's or sponsor's own release. Imported once a day; a poll VoteHub later changes keeps its earlier version on record here.

§1Record against results

Why this matters: The one test that doesn't depend on other polls: how close a firm's final polls came to what voters did.

From FiveThirtyEight's final public data1,2: general-election polls between a Democrat and a Republican in the last three weeks before each election, compared with the certified result. FiveThirtyEight rated each name polls were published under separately. Across all 8,957 such polls, the average miss was D+0.7, so the relative figure takes out the misses every pollster shared that year.

Error is the poll's D−R margin minus the result's; D+ means it showed Democrats doing better than they did.
Published asPollsElectionsAverage missRelative to other pollsTypical size of miss538's last rating
Big Village772006–2022D+0.3D+0.24.1 pts1.2 of 3

ABC News closed FiveThirtyEight in March 2025; its data stops at the 2022 elections. 2026 results will be added once states certify them.

§2Its polls

The 24 polls of its we list, newest first.
In the fieldQuestionResultWithPaid for bySample
October 18–October 23, 2024Favorability · JD VanceUnfavorable 48.7 · Favorable 42.91,592 LV
October 18–October 23, 2024Favorability · JD VanceUnfavorable 47.9 · Favorable 411,739 RV
October 18–October 23, 2024Favorability · JD VanceUnfavorable 45.8 · Favorable 38.22,026 A
October 2–October 4, 2024Favorability · JD VanceUnfavorable 44.5 · Favorable 38.91,013 A
October 2–October 4, 2024Favorability · JD VanceUnfavorable 47.8 · Favorable 45.6755 LV
October 2–October 4, 2024Favorability · JD VanceUnfavorable 47.6 · Favorable 43841 RV
September 23–September 25, 2024Favorability · JD VanceUnfavorable 48.6 · Favorable 40.11,663 RV
September 23–September 25, 2024Favorability · JD VanceUnfavorable 49.6 · Favorable 411,524 LV
September 23–September 25, 2024Favorability · JD VanceUnfavorable 45.9 · Favorable 37.52,021 A
September 11–September 15, 2024Favorability · JD VanceUnfavorable 44 · Favorable 35.92,027 A
September 11–September 15, 2024Favorability · JD VanceUnfavorable 45.9 · Favorable 401,724 RV
September 11–September 15, 2024Favorability · JD VanceUnfavorable 47.5 · Favorable 42.31,568 LV
September 6–September 8, 2024Favorability · JD VanceUnfavorable 46.2 · Favorable 37.12,028 A
September 6–September 8, 2024Favorability · JD VanceUnfavorable 49.8 · Favorable 42.61,546 LV
September 6–September 8, 2024Favorability · JD VanceUnfavorable 48.8 · Favorable 401,722 RV
August 23–August 28, 2024Favorability · JD VanceUnfavorable 47.3 · Favorable 34.92,020 A
August 23–August 28, 2024Favorability · JD VanceUnfavorable 50.7 · Favorable 39.11,511 LV
August 23–August 28, 2024Favorability · JD VanceUnfavorable 49.6 · Favorable 37.61,681 RV
August 14–August 18, 2024Favorability · JD VanceUnfavorable 48.4 · Favorable 41.11,530 LV
August 14–August 18, 2024Favorability · JD VanceUnfavorable 47.9 · Favorable 39.21,698 RV
August 14–August 18, 2024Favorability · JD VanceUnfavorable 46.2 · Favorable 35.82,022 A
August 9–August 11, 2024Favorability · JD VanceUnfavorable 40.5 · Favorable 37.71,009 A
August 9–August 11, 2024Favorability · JD VanceUnfavorable 43.5 · Favorable 40.1848 RV
August 9–August 11, 2024Favorability · JD VanceUnfavorable 45.2 · Favorable 41.6757 LV