Pollster · Commercial firm

American Research Group

Research draft
Polls since 2024
33
Latest poll ended
June 20, 2026
Record vs. results, relative
R+0.8

Polls from the VoteHub polling API, used under CC BY 4.0. Each result links to the pollster's or sponsor's own release. Imported once a day; a poll VoteHub later changes keeps its earlier version on record here.

§1About

Drafted by AI from the public sources cited. Each sentence links to its source.

American Research Group, Inc. publishes public opinion surveys, its own pollster accuracy ratings and survey tools on its website, which gives an office address in Manchester, New Hampshire.1 Its national economy page says it has conducted national surveys of consumers since 1985, lists itself as the sponsor of its monthly survey, and asks readers for financial support after losing subscribers.2 A 2007 CBS News biography of a pollster identified by the surname Bennett says he had been president of American Research Group since 1985, had earlier led the marketing research firm Blake and Dickinson, and was pollster for John Anderson's 1980 Republican presidential primary campaign.3

Kind
Commercial firm1,2
Founded
19852

§2Whom it works for

Why this matters: A firm that also works for one party's campaigns can still publish accurate polls, but readers deserve to know.

Doesn’t say whom it works for. The American Research Group pages read do not say whether it works for candidates or parties.1,2

Of its 33 polls listed since the 2024 election, VoteHub flags 0 as paid for by a Democratic-aligned sponsor and 0 by a Republican-aligned sponsor4.

Federal campaigns and committees that paid it

From 2023 through 2026, 1 federal committee reported paying American Research Group $13,500 for polling, surveys or research5,6,7,8. By the party each committee reports to the FEC: 0 Democratic, 0 Republican, and 1 none (most PACs and super PACs report none).

The largest payers, by amount paid for polling, surveys or research. Only federal committees report to the FEC; state and local campaigns, work paid through another consultant, and polling billed as consulting are not here. Matched by the payee name on the filing: AMERICAN RESEARCH GROUP, INC..
CommitteeKindParty it reportsPaid for pollingBetween
WE DESERVE BETTER, INC.Super PACNone reported$13,500January 2, 2024 – January 19, 2024

§3How its numbers compare with other polls

Why this matters: A firm whose polls run steadily to one side of everyone else's is worth reading alongside others.

Each of its polls since the 2024 election is compared with other pollsters' polls of the same question whose field period ended within 14 days, each other pollster counted once4. The figure is the average gap, with a 95% margin. This compares it with other polls, not with the truth: the others can be the ones that are off.

Net approval: Donald Trump
−12.2 points (±1.5) across 33 polls, against other polls of the same question.

D+ means its polls showed Democrats doing better than other polls did; R+, Republicans. A figure from fewer than 5 polls isn't shown.

§4Record against results

Why this matters: The one test that doesn't depend on other polls: how close a firm's final polls came to what voters did.

From FiveThirtyEight's final public data9,10: general-election polls between a Democrat and a Republican in the last three weeks before each election, compared with the certified result. FiveThirtyEight rated each name polls were published under separately. Across all 8,957 such polls, the average miss was D+0.7, so the relative figure takes out the misses every pollster shared that year.

Error is the poll's D−R margin minus the result's; D+ means it showed Democrats doing better than they did.
Published asPollsElectionsAverage missRelative to other pollsTypical size of miss538's last rating
American Research Group872000–2020D+0.1R+0.84.2 pts2.3 of 3

ABC News closed FiveThirtyEight in March 2025; its data stops at the 2022 elections. 2026 results will be added once states certify them.

§5Its polls

The 33 polls of its we list, newest first.
In the fieldQuestionResultWithPaid for bySample
June 16–June 20, 2026Job approval · Donald TrumpDisapprove 66 · Approve 301,100 A
June 16–June 20, 2026Job approval · Donald TrumpDisapprove 67 · Approve 301,006 RV
May 16–May 20, 2026Job approval · Donald TrumpDisapprove 64 · Approve 311,100 A
May 16–May 20, 2026Job approval · Donald TrumpDisapprove 65 · Approve 311,009 RV
April 16–April 20, 2026Job approval · Donald TrumpDisapprove 64 · Approve 321,010 RV
April 16–April 20, 2026Job approval · Donald TrumpDisapprove 63 · Approve 321,100 A
March 16–March 20, 2026Job approval · Donald TrumpDisapprove 63 · Approve 341,100 A
March 16–March 20, 2026Job approval · Donald TrumpDisapprove 63 · Approve 341,008 RV
February 16–February 20, 2026Job approval · Donald TrumpDisapprove 62 · Approve 361,100 A
February 16–February 20, 2026Job approval · Donald TrumpDisapprove 62 · Approve 361,000 RV
January 16–January 20, 2026Job approval · Donald TrumpDisapprove 63 · Approve 351,100 A
December 17–December 20, 2025Job approval · Donald TrumpDisapprove 62 · Approve 35999 RV
December 17–December 20, 2025Job approval · Donald TrumpDisapprove 62 · Approve 351,100 A
November 17–November 20, 2025Job approval · Donald TrumpDisapprove 62 · Approve 35999 RV
November 17–November 20, 2025Job approval · Donald TrumpDisapprove 62 · Approve 351,100 A
October 17–October 20, 2025Job approval · Donald TrumpDisapprove 60 · Approve 371,100 A
October 17–October 20, 2025Job approval · Donald TrumpDisapprove 60 · Approve 371,001 RV
September 17–September 20, 2025Job approval · Donald TrumpDisapprove 58 · Approve 371,100 A
September 17–September 20, 2025Job approval · Donald TrumpDisapprove 58 · Approve 371,002 RV
August 17–August 20, 2025Job approval · Donald TrumpDisapprove 60 · Approve 381,004 RV
August 17–August 20, 2025Job approval · Donald TrumpDisapprove 59 · Approve 381,100 A
July 17–July 20, 2025Job approval · Donald TrumpDisapprove 59 · Approve 381,006 RV
July 17–July 20, 2025Job approval · Donald TrumpDisapprove 59 · Approve 381,100 A
June 17–June 20, 2025Job approval · Donald TrumpDisapprove 59 · Approve 381,009 RV
June 17–June 20, 2025Job approval · Donald TrumpDisapprove 55 · Approve 411,100 A
May 17–May 20, 2025Job approval · Donald TrumpDisapprove 55 · Approve 421,008 RV
May 17–May 20, 2025Job approval · Donald TrumpDisapprove 55 · Approve 411,100 A
April 17–April 20, 2025Job approval · Donald TrumpDisapprove 53 · Approve 431,010 RV
April 17–April 20, 2025Job approval · Donald TrumpDisapprove 53 · Approve 431,100 A
March 17–March 20, 2025Job approval · Donald TrumpDisapprove 51 · Approve 451,100 A
March 17–March 20, 2025Job approval · Donald TrumpDisapprove 51 · Approve 461,011 RV
February 17–February 20, 2025Job approval · Donald TrumpDisapprove 51 · Approve 431,004 RV
February 17–February 20, 2025Job approval · Donald TrumpDisapprove 51 · Approve 431,100 A

§6What we looked for and didn't find

  • No about or leadership page was found on its website; leadership rests on a 2007 CBS News biography that gives only a surname, so no led-by relationship is recorded.
  • The founding year is the year its website says it began national consumer surveys; no incorporation record was read.
  • No ownership, clients, news partners or fieldwork vendors were found, and its economy page does not describe its interview mode.
  • Searches found no AAPOR statement, court ruling or filing, regulator action, aggregator statement about excluding or reweighting its polls, or retraction by the firm.