Pollster · Commercial firm
Alaska Survey Research
- Polls since 2024
- 21
- Latest poll ended
- October 25, 2026
- Record vs. results, relative
- D+3.3
Polls from the VoteHub polling API, used under CC BY 4.0. Each result links to the pollster's or sponsor's own release. Imported once a day; a poll VoteHub later changes keeps its earlier version on record here.
§1About
Drafted by AI from the public sources cited. Each sentence links to its source.
Alaska Survey Research is an Anchorage polling firm; the Anchorage Daily News describes its owner, Ivan Moore, as a longtime Alaska pollster.1 Alaska Public Media listed Moore as owner of Alaska Survey Research when he appeared on its Talk of Alaska program in April 2024.2 The Peninsula Clarion reported in April 2019 that the firm released a statewide survey of 739 registered voters.3
- Kind
- Commercial firm1
§2Who it works with
Why this matters: Owners, news partners and the firms behind a poll's interviews shape what gets asked, how, and what gets published.
§3Whom it works for
Why this matters: A firm that also works for one party's campaigns can still publish accurate polls, but readers deserve to know.
Doesn’t say whom it works for. None of the sources read say whether the firm works for candidates or parties.1,
Of its 21 polls listed since the 2024 election, VoteHub flags 0 as paid for by a Democratic-aligned sponsor and 0 by a Republican-aligned sponsor4.
Federal campaigns and committees that paid it
From 2023 through 2026, 2 federal committees reported paying Alaska Survey Research $185,550 for polling, surveys or research5,
| Committee | Kind | Party it reports | Paid for polling | Between |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ALASKANS FOR NICK BEGICH | House campaign | Republican | $136,500 | February 1, 2024 – July 16, 2026 |
| ALASKANS FOR MARY | Senate campaign | Democratic | $49,050 | April 14, 2026 – July 20, 2026 |
§4Record against results
Why this matters: The one test that doesn't depend on other polls: how close a firm's final polls came to what voters did.
From FiveThirtyEight's final public data9,
| Published as | Polls | Elections | Average miss | Relative to other polls | Typical size of miss | 538's last rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alaska Survey Research | 9 | 2004–2018 | D+7.8 | D+3.3 | 7.9 pts | 1.9 of 3 |
ABC News closed FiveThirtyEight in March 2025; its data stops at the 2022 elections. 2026 results will be added once states certify them.
§5Its polls
| In the field | Question | Result | With | Paid for by | Sample |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| October 23–October 25, 2026 | Governor · 2026 Alaska | Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins 53.4 · Bernadette Wilson 46.6 | 1,068 LV | ||
| October 15–October 18, 2026 | Governor · 2026 Alaska | Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins 55 · Bernadette Wilson 45 | 1,568 LV | ||
| August 20–August 23, 2026 | U.S. House · 2026 AK-01 | Nick Begich 50.6 · Bill Hill 39.1 · John Williams 5.7 · Eric Hafner 4.6 | 1,872 LV | ||
| August 20–August 23, 2026 | U.S. Senate · 2026 Alaska | Mary Peltola 50.6 · Dan Sullivan 49.4 | 1,495 LV | ||
| August 2–August 5, 2026 | U.S. Senate · 2026 Alaska | Mary Peltola 50.8 · Dan Sullivan 49.2 | 1,371 LV | ||
| August 2–August 5, 2026 | U.S. House · 2026 AK-01 | Nick Begich III 53.5 · Bill Hill 46.5 | 1,371 LV | ||
| August 2–August 5, 2026 | U.S. House · 2026 AK-01 | Nick Begich III 50.4 · Bill Hill 34.4 · Eric Hafner 15.2 | 1,371 LV | ||
| August 2–August 5, 2026 | U.S. House · 2026 AK-01 | Nick Begich III 47.9 · Bill Hill 33.2 · Eric Hafner 14.7 · Clay Strickland 4.2 | 1,371 LV | ||
| June 30–July 1, 2026 | Governor · 2026 Alaska | Tom Begich 50.9 · Bernadette Wilson 49.1 | 1,528 RV | ||
| June 4–June 7, 2026 | U.S. Senate · 2026 Alaska | Mary Peltola 49.4 · Dan Sullivan 44.2 · Gerald Heikes 3.7 · Dustin Darden 2.7 | 1,393 LV | ||
| May 14–May 17, 2026 | U.S. Senate · 2026 Alaska | Mary Peltola 48.4 · Dan Sullivan 43.8 · Dustin Darden 5.1 · Gerald Heikes 2.7 | 1,401 LV | ||
| April 16–April 19, 2026 | Governor · 2026 Alaska | Tom Begich 53.9 · Bernadette Wilson 46.1 | — LV | ||
| April 16–April 19, 2026 | Governor · 2026 Alaska | Tom Begich 44 · Bernadette Wilson 31 · Click Bishop 25 | 1,923 LV | ||
| April 16–April 19, 2026 | U.S. Senate · 2026 Alaska | Mary Peltola 52 · Dan Sullivan 48 | 1,946 LV | ||
| April 16–April 19, 2026 | Governor · 2026 Alaska | Tom Begich 54 · Bernadette Wilson 46 | 1,923 LV | ||
| April 16–April 19, 2026 | U.S. Senate · 2026 Alaska | Mary Peltola 50.8 · Dan Sullivan 47.3 | — LV | ||
| April 16–April 19, 2026 | Governor · 2026 Alaska | Tom Begich 41 · Bernadette Wilson 22 · Click Bishop 19 · Dave Bronson 19 | 1,923 LV | ||
| March 19–March 22, 2026 | U.S. Senate · 2026 Alaska | Mary Peltola 52.4 · Dan Sullivan 47.6 | 1,283 LV | ||
| January 8–January 11, 2026 | U.S. Senate · 2026 Alaska | Mary Peltola 48 · Dan Sullivan 46.4 | 1,681 LV | ||
| October 10–October 15, 2025 | U.S. Senate · 2026 Alaska | Mary Peltola 48 · Dan Sullvian 46 | 1,708 LV | ||
| July 29–August 1, 2025 | U.S. Senate · 2026 Alaska | Dan Sullivan 46.7 · Mary Peltola 42.5 | 1,613 LV |
§6What we looked for and didn't find
- Its website (alaskasurveyresearch.com) refused automated requests (HTTP 403), so its own description, methods and clients were not read.
- No founding year was found on a primary page.
- The recent releases in our poll records are posts on Ivan Moore's Bluesky account; no sponsor, fieldwork vendor or panel was found for them.
- No standing news partner, non-news client, co-pollster, campaign or party client was found.
- Findings search: web searches combining the name with AAPOR, aggregator exclusion, court, regulator and retraction terms found nothing that fits the finding rules, and AAPOR's statements page names none of this batch's firms.
- Court records were checked only through web searches; PACER and state court dockets were not searched.